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Running on contact from third base

Posted on 5/18/15 at 6:06 am
Posted by gumbeaux
Member since Jun 2004
4473 posts
Posted on 5/18/15 at 6:06 am
How do you feel about a runner on third running on contact no matter what?

It seems LSU has too many runners thrown out at the plate because of this philosophy. I would like to see the runner take a half-second and make a read on the ball to decide whether to take off or not.
Posted by Tiger1242
Member since Jul 2011
31957 posts
Posted on 5/18/15 at 6:09 am to
The idea is that any ball hit on the ground somewhere other than pitcher or rocked at 1/3 and the run scores. If you don't run on contact (actually running on down angle, see ball on ground and go) then you have to stay until the ball is in the outfield.
If you hesitate for 1/2 a second any ground ball in the infield and you are getting thrown out
Posted by tiger chaser
Birmingham Ala
Member since Feb 2008
7624 posts
Posted on 5/18/15 at 6:14 am to
Has to be a perfect throw ... Odds are in your favor.
Posted by tigerpawl
Can't get there from here.
Member since Dec 2003
22345 posts
Posted on 5/18/15 at 6:16 am to
quote:

If you hesitate for 1/2 a second any ground ball in the infield and you are getting thrown out
Don't overlook this. A 1/2 second (in this scenario) is a VERY long time.
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77578 posts
Posted on 5/18/15 at 6:21 am to
Not really. We generally get thrown out. As long as its a hard grounder and not a chopper, a decent throw to the plate nails us. Important to note LSU only seems to do this with a runner at 3rd and 1 out, never with 0 outs.
Posted by gumbeaux
Member since Jun 2004
4473 posts
Posted on 5/18/15 at 6:28 am to
quote:

The idea is that any ball hit on the ground somewhere other than pitcher or rocked at 1/3 and the run scores. If you don't run on contact (actually running on down angle, see ball on ground and go) then you have to stay until the ball is in the outfield.


I have seen LSU take off too many times with grounders to third or first. That is my concern. The same goes with the middle infielders playing in.
Posted by foshizzle
Washington DC metro
Member since Mar 2008
40599 posts
Posted on 5/18/15 at 6:53 am to
quote:

How do you feel about


I "feel" that CM and his staff spent lots of time reviewing the odds given their understanding of the players' physical abilities. I haven't at all. I'll add that the number of times a runner gets gunned down at the plate isn't really the relevant number - what matters is how many scores do you get when you run on contact vs. not doing so.
This post was edited on 5/18/15 at 6:54 am
Posted by LSU FAMILY
HOUMA
Member since Oct 2005
688 posts
Posted on 5/18/15 at 7:24 am to
Agree
Posted by ForeLSU
The Corner of Sanity and Madness
Member since Sep 2003
41525 posts
Posted on 5/18/15 at 7:36 am to
quote:

I "feel" that CM and his staff spent lots of time reviewing the odds given their understanding of the players' physical abilities.


along with "game context", ie the score, who's pitching, opponents fielding history, other runners on base, what inning it is, etc.
Posted by lsufan251875
Member since Jul 2008
3159 posts
Posted on 5/18/15 at 8:21 am to
Yes, it's no secret that LSU this year has had trouble with runners at third with less than two outs.

What is understated is the reason this seems like a bigger problem than it really is.

This team has had way more of those opportunities than any LSU team in several years. This offense is crushing it, and the more baserunners you have, the more mistakes will happen.
Posted by High C
viewing the fall....
Member since Nov 2012
53916 posts
Posted on 5/18/15 at 8:35 am to
quote:

Important to note LSU only seems to do this with a runner at 3rd and 1 out, never with 0 outs.


imo, this is the biggest factor when choosing whether or not to go on contact.
Posted by Erin Go Bragh
Beyond the Pale
Member since Dec 2007
14916 posts
Posted on 5/18/15 at 8:41 am to
The runner and third base coach have to be aware how the infielders are positioned. Sometimes all four will come in in order to cut the runner down at the plate. Other times only the corner positions are in and the middle fielders remain back at normal depth. Too often an LSU runner will take off on a ball hit to second when the second baseman is in on the grass. Diminishes our odds of a successful outcome.
This post was edited on 5/18/15 at 8:42 am
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
56655 posts
Posted on 5/18/15 at 8:47 am to
I think predetermining that you will always run home is a bad idea.

We do some strange things on the bases. How Scivique didn't score on those two ground balls on Friday is beyond my comprehension.

Posted by Mr.Perfect
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2013
17438 posts
Posted on 5/18/15 at 8:54 am to
I wish runners on first, who are NOT the winning run, would pay more attention and quit getting hit by the ball
Posted by Oizers
Member since Nov 2009
2646 posts
Posted on 5/18/15 at 8:55 am to
Stevenson scoring in the 3rd USC game is one of the reasons it is done. It puts pressure on the defense to make a play. Plus if the runner on 3rd freezes after the secondary lead, there is a chance the fielder throws that way anyway to get them in a rundown which has also happened this year too.
Posted by Gray Tiger
Prairieville, LA
Member since Jan 2004
36512 posts
Posted on 5/18/15 at 9:35 am to
Running on contact places more pressure on the defense. The runner has just two jobs, run fast and avoid the tag.There is no time lost mentally debating, just go.
The defense has to 1. catch the ball, 2. get it out of his glove, 3. line himself up to make the throw, 4. make the throw in the right spot and fast enough, 5. the catcher has to catch the ball and 6. make the tag.
It forces the other guy(s) to make a play. Sometimes they do and sometimes they don't. I like the odds for the runner.
Posted by Choupique19
The cheap seats
Member since Sep 2005
62041 posts
Posted on 5/18/15 at 9:50 am to
quote:

The runner and third base coach have to be aware how the infielders are positioned.


Please tell me that you don't really believe that Davis and the runner have no idea where the infield is playing?
Posted by Erin Go Bragh
Beyond the Pale
Member since Dec 2007
14916 posts
Posted on 5/18/15 at 10:01 am to
quote:

Please tell me that you don't really believe that Davis and the runner have no idea where the infield is playing?

I was stating a basic tenent of baserunning. Tell me you didn't infer something I didn't say.
Posted by Choupique19
The cheap seats
Member since Sep 2005
62041 posts
Posted on 5/18/15 at 10:03 am to
quote:

The runner and third base coach have to be aware how the infielders are positioned.


quote:

Too often an LSU runner will take off on a ball hit to second when the second baseman is in on the grass. Diminishes our odds of a successful outcome.


I thought you were saying that the LSU runners and 3rd base coach weren't aware of where the infielders were positioned.
Posted by Erin Go Bragh
Beyond the Pale
Member since Dec 2007
14916 posts
Posted on 5/18/15 at 10:06 am to
quote:

I thought you were saying that the LSU runners and 3rd base coach weren't aware of where the infielders were positioned.

That wasn't my intent. I am saying that at times they will take off with complete awareness that the infield is playing in and that a successful outcome is problematic.
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