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re: No way to have a “normal” football season this year

Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:53 pm to
Posted by Genestealer55
ARLINGTON
Member since May 2017
7272 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:53 pm to
35k last year and 61k the year before have died from the flu ...almost 100k over the last 2 years..and that’s with a so called vaccine (that’s another subject concerning the ineffectiveness of flu vaccines)...and somehow we had “normal football seasons”. We currently have 400 deaths due to Corona and life as we know it has stopped. Hmmmmm
Posted by lakelanier
Member since Oct 2014
973 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:56 pm to
So many tough times for people, physically, economically, and emotionally that when we eventually see Tiger sports, we will be thankful. The quality is somewhat immaterial. All are affected.
Posted by GeauxtigersMs36
The coast
Member since Jan 2018
7836 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:59 pm to
I already took the tigers -5.5!
Posted by Cshaw91
Member since Mar 2019
2311 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:59 pm to
What line of medicine you in doctor?
Posted by StatMaster
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2005
4291 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 5:14 pm to
I am in healthcare but not a doc
Posted by Lithium
Member since Dec 2004
61922 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 5:16 pm to
quote:

I am in healthcare but not a doc


Well I am a Doc and it sucks now but by labor day it will be fine
Posted by StatMaster
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2005
4291 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 5:20 pm to
quote:

Well I am a Doc and it sucks now but by labor day it will be fine
I hope you’re right. Just not sure how social distancing gets enough community immunity for everyone to return to group activities unless there’s a cure or vaccine in the near future.
Posted by Drizzt
Cimmeria
Member since Aug 2013
12879 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 5:28 pm to
At the rate cases are increasing in Louisiana the whole state will have herd immunity by August
Posted by EulerRules
Member since Dec 2019
1146 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 5:38 pm to
I agree the actions taken will cause a flattening of the curve as far as incident cases of COVID-19, but no one can predict how long this will be a problem. Also according to the numbers published (?how accurate are they?) far more people have died from the flu in the US than from COVID-19, the concern is that the mortality of COVID-19 is 2% vs 0.1% for the flu (again per published numbers I have seen). So it is 20 times more deadly than the flu. So there is more of a concern to limit the total number of cases. As a physician with experience in epidemiology and statistics I don't see how any of the actions taken will limit the eventual spread of coronavirus (and so COVID-19 cases), but I realize the actions taken are to try to prevent the healthcare system from becoming overwhelmed (though I don't think that is working either); this is done at the expense of the economy. Whether the damage to the economy (and needed staples to survive) or the death total from COVID-19 is worse, I haven't a clue. I pray our leaders do.
Posted by Genestealer55
ARLINGTON
Member since May 2017
7272 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 6:24 pm to
quote:

the concern is that the mortality of COVID-19 is 2% vs 0.1% for the flu


The mortality rate has been dropping steadily from over 6% to a little over 1% in the US...and the reason has nothing to do with medicine and everything to do with math. As more younger people with little chance of dying get tested (who previously weren’t getting tested), the mortality rate will continue to decrease. Of course without a vaccine, it won’t drop as low as the flu...but I wouldn’t be surprised to see a .5% mortality rate reasonably soon.
Posted by Maverick14
Sulphur, La
Member since Aug 2014
2353 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 6:28 pm to
Life will go on by then you can’t shut the economy down for that long
Posted by Gus007
TN
Member since Jul 2018
11979 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 6:42 pm to
I'm going to be optimistic. If we don't find a cure, it should spread at a fast clip and pass by Sept. Unless it doesn't leave a victim with a natural immunity, after one is infected and survives.

If we find a cure or prevention, even sooner.
Posted by EulerRules
Member since Dec 2019
1146 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 6:58 pm to
Thanks. Please don't think I am making any attempt to justify the numbers I quoted other than what I had read. Personally I think there is a high uncertainty concerning the numbers published. Unfortunately we don't know how many people actually are contracting the virus because some cases are mild and others might not even have symptoms (so would not have the disease, COVID-19). And now reports from Italy say they have stopped counting the number of people that have died from COVID-19. So there are two separate mortality rates, one for contracting a coronavirus infection and one for people who develop the disease, COVID-19 (which is the mortality rate I was referring to). It's impossible to even get estimates on mortality when you don't know how many people have contracted coronavirus (or those with very mild symptoms) and how many have died from COVID-19. I frankly don't know who to believe. I am not blaming the government for that because I don't think they can know either. And we all know all governments will hide information from the general public when they feel it is necessary (eg I don't know the nuclear launch codes...and if you know, please don't tell me, because that is information I don't want to know - LOL).
Posted by Tigers4Lyfe
Member since Nov 2010
4489 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:06 pm to
quote:

35k last year and 61k the year before have died from the flu ...almost 100k over the last 2 years..and that’s with a so called vaccine (that’s another subject concerning the ineffectiveness of flu vaccines)...and somehow we had “normal football seasons”. We currently have 400 deaths due to Corona and life as we know it has stopped. Hmmmmm
It went from like 3 cases to over 800 in LA in 2 weeks. Expand that growth rate out over 2 months then do it for the whole US while you're at it and see where it stands then. But keep thinking all is cool that it's nothing more than the flu.
This post was edited on 3/22/20 at 7:07 pm
Posted by memphis tiger
Memphis, TN
Member since Feb 2006
20720 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:13 pm to
quote:

not sure how anything is ready to go by August.


Because that’s really what’s important right now.
This dude has his priorities straight. ??
Posted by eltigre2
The Woodlands, Tx
Member since Feb 2019
626 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:28 pm to
It will be over by the end of June, maybe sooner.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 8:23 pm to
You're ignorant as all hell. Do us a favor and end your gene pool now since you don't seem to care about human life.

It spreads faster than the flu. It has no vaccine. The more it infects the population the mortality rate will go up. Do you not see what's happening in Italy? They had over 1200 die in 2 days. They might even have a more aggressive second strain over there which means mutation.

The best hope we have is a mutation where it dies out. Summer might give us a short break but that's no guarantee right now and even if it happens, it's going to surface back up in fall/winter.

The people who are dying from the flu are people who refuse to get vaccines or extreme circumstances that are rare. If everyone got their vaccines disease dies off you dumb shite instead of putting the rest of the population at risk. Take the tinfoil hat off and gain some perspective.
This post was edited on 3/22/20 at 8:25 pm
Posted by ElderTiger
Planet Earth
Member since Dec 2010
6997 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 8:40 pm to
quote:

No way to have a “normal” football season this year


Last year wasn’t exactly normal.
Posted by gerkin
Member since Sep 2011
1191 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 8:41 pm to
its not what anyone wants to hear, but i fear you may be right. the effectiveness of the next month will shed light on fall.

i can see a scenario where both happen. that is, society gets somewhat back to normal, then months later a new flattening of curve has to occur.
Posted by ztro4
Prairieville, LA
Member since Jul 2011
1124 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 8:51 pm to
Good thing the golf courses were still open... smh
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