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re: No way to have a “normal” football season this year
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:53 pm to StatMaster
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:53 pm to StatMaster
35k last year and 61k the year before have died from the flu ...almost 100k over the last 2 years..and that’s with a so called vaccine (that’s another subject concerning the ineffectiveness of flu vaccines)...and somehow we had “normal football seasons”. We currently have 400 deaths due to Corona and life as we know it has stopped. Hmmmmm
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:56 pm to StatMaster
So many tough times for people, physically, economically, and emotionally that when we eventually see Tiger sports, we will be thankful. The quality is somewhat immaterial. All are affected.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:59 pm to Lazy But Talented
I already took the tigers -5.5!
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:59 pm to StatMaster
What line of medicine you in doctor?
Posted on 3/22/20 at 5:14 pm to Cshaw91
I am in healthcare but not a doc
Posted on 3/22/20 at 5:16 pm to StatMaster
quote:
I am in healthcare but not a doc
Well I am a Doc and it sucks now but by labor day it will be fine
Posted on 3/22/20 at 5:20 pm to Lithium
quote:I hope you’re right. Just not sure how social distancing gets enough community immunity for everyone to return to group activities unless there’s a cure or vaccine in the near future.
Well I am a Doc and it sucks now but by labor day it will be fine
Posted on 3/22/20 at 5:28 pm to StatMaster
At the rate cases are increasing in Louisiana the whole state will have herd immunity by August
Posted on 3/22/20 at 5:38 pm to StatMaster
I agree the actions taken will cause a flattening of the curve as far as incident cases of COVID-19, but no one can predict how long this will be a problem. Also according to the numbers published (?how accurate are they?) far more people have died from the flu in the US than from COVID-19, the concern is that the mortality of COVID-19 is 2% vs 0.1% for the flu (again per published numbers I have seen). So it is 20 times more deadly than the flu. So there is more of a concern to limit the total number of cases. As a physician with experience in epidemiology and statistics I don't see how any of the actions taken will limit the eventual spread of coronavirus (and so COVID-19 cases), but I realize the actions taken are to try to prevent the healthcare system from becoming overwhelmed (though I don't think that is working either); this is done at the expense of the economy. Whether the damage to the economy (and needed staples to survive) or the death total from COVID-19 is worse, I haven't a clue. I pray our leaders do.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 6:24 pm to EulerRules
quote:
the concern is that the mortality of COVID-19 is 2% vs 0.1% for the flu
The mortality rate has been dropping steadily from over 6% to a little over 1% in the US...and the reason has nothing to do with medicine and everything to do with math. As more younger people with little chance of dying get tested (who previously weren’t getting tested), the mortality rate will continue to decrease. Of course without a vaccine, it won’t drop as low as the flu...but I wouldn’t be surprised to see a .5% mortality rate reasonably soon.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 6:28 pm to StatMaster
Life will go on by then you can’t shut the economy down for that long
Posted on 3/22/20 at 6:42 pm to StatMaster
I'm going to be optimistic. If we don't find a cure, it should spread at a fast clip and pass by Sept. Unless it doesn't leave a victim with a natural immunity, after one is infected and survives.
If we find a cure or prevention, even sooner.
If we find a cure or prevention, even sooner.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 6:58 pm to Genestealer55
Thanks. Please don't think I am making any attempt to justify the numbers I quoted other than what I had read. Personally I think there is a high uncertainty concerning the numbers published. Unfortunately we don't know how many people actually are contracting the virus because some cases are mild and others might not even have symptoms (so would not have the disease, COVID-19). And now reports from Italy say they have stopped counting the number of people that have died from COVID-19. So there are two separate mortality rates, one for contracting a coronavirus infection and one for people who develop the disease, COVID-19 (which is the mortality rate I was referring to). It's impossible to even get estimates on mortality when you don't know how many people have contracted coronavirus (or those with very mild symptoms) and how many have died from COVID-19. I frankly don't know who to believe. I am not blaming the government for that because I don't think they can know either. And we all know all governments will hide information from the general public when they feel it is necessary (eg I don't know the nuclear launch codes...and if you know, please don't tell me, because that is information I don't want to know - LOL).
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:06 pm to Genestealer55
quote:It went from like 3 cases to over 800 in LA in 2 weeks. Expand that growth rate out over 2 months then do it for the whole US while you're at it and see where it stands then. But keep thinking all is cool that it's nothing more than the flu.
35k last year and 61k the year before have died from the flu ...almost 100k over the last 2 years..and that’s with a so called vaccine (that’s another subject concerning the ineffectiveness of flu vaccines)...and somehow we had “normal football seasons”. We currently have 400 deaths due to Corona and life as we know it has stopped. Hmmmmm
This post was edited on 3/22/20 at 7:07 pm
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:13 pm to StatMaster
quote:
not sure how anything is ready to go by August.
Because that’s really what’s important right now.
This dude has his priorities straight. ??
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:28 pm to StatMaster
It will be over by the end of June, maybe sooner.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 8:23 pm to Genestealer55
You're ignorant as all hell. Do us a favor and end your gene pool now since you don't seem to care about human life.
It spreads faster than the flu. It has no vaccine. The more it infects the population the mortality rate will go up. Do you not see what's happening in Italy? They had over 1200 die in 2 days. They might even have a more aggressive second strain over there which means mutation.
The best hope we have is a mutation where it dies out. Summer might give us a short break but that's no guarantee right now and even if it happens, it's going to surface back up in fall/winter.
The people who are dying from the flu are people who refuse to get vaccines or extreme circumstances that are rare. If everyone got their vaccines disease dies off you dumb shite instead of putting the rest of the population at risk. Take the tinfoil hat off and gain some perspective.
It spreads faster than the flu. It has no vaccine. The more it infects the population the mortality rate will go up. Do you not see what's happening in Italy? They had over 1200 die in 2 days. They might even have a more aggressive second strain over there which means mutation.
The best hope we have is a mutation where it dies out. Summer might give us a short break but that's no guarantee right now and even if it happens, it's going to surface back up in fall/winter.
The people who are dying from the flu are people who refuse to get vaccines or extreme circumstances that are rare. If everyone got their vaccines disease dies off you dumb shite instead of putting the rest of the population at risk. Take the tinfoil hat off and gain some perspective.
This post was edited on 3/22/20 at 8:25 pm
Posted on 3/22/20 at 8:40 pm to StatMaster
quote:
No way to have a “normal” football season this year
Last year wasn’t exactly normal.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 8:41 pm to StatMaster
its not what anyone wants to hear, but i fear you may be right. the effectiveness of the next month will shed light on fall.
i can see a scenario where both happen. that is, society gets somewhat back to normal, then months later a new flattening of curve has to occur.
i can see a scenario where both happen. that is, society gets somewhat back to normal, then months later a new flattening of curve has to occur.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 8:51 pm to deuce985
Good thing the golf courses were still open... smh
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