re: Most pivotal game on the schedule

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Alabama schedule goes @Georgia, vs. Arkansas, @A&M, vs. Tennessee, vs. LSU, @MsSt and has a virtual bye week before playing @Auburn

-Likely losses include @Georgia, @Auburn and @A&M. Couple that with the fact LSU, Tennessee, Arkansas, and State could all potentially beat them, Bama will finish with 3 losses.

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I don't see it that way at all. Georgia and Auburn are the only two really challenging games on that schedule, other than MAYBE LSU. They are not going to lose to A&M or State, should be able to beat Tennessee pretty easily. Arkie they get at home and their defense is built to stop the Arkie offense. I don't think they'll struggle against the Piglets. In short, to lose three games, they will have to lose basically all of the games that are challenging. That's not likely. I'd say they probably drop one of those three, and in a stretch, maybe two.

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Auburn - Other challenging games for Auburn outside of the LSU game include road contests at Arkansas and A&M with a home date against Ole miss sandwiched in between. Oh yeah, and the week after a road game with A&M all they have to do is beat UGA..

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Georgia, A&M and Alabama present real threats to Auburn, and LSU might. They shouldn't have much trouble with Ole Miss and Muschamp will be able to handle Arkie's offense, so they could possibly lose anywhere from one to four games, but won't likely lose all four. So yes, getting a win over Auburn would be crucial to any SEC West hopes.

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It is more than likely that we could enter Bama week at 8-0 if we take care of Auburn.

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We better be if we want any chance at the West or CFP. The November schedule is ridiculous. Getting out of that with only two losses seems unlikely, but doing so would put us in a good spot if we can beat Auburn and Alabama. Lose to either of those, and it's not realistic to think of winning the division.

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When exactly was the most recent time this happened? I'll hang up and listen.

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2010, went 10-3. Any other questions?

This year's Alabama team has an awful QB situation, no playmakers at receiver and a questionable secondary. They have a lot of question marks despite what they have been over the past 8 years.

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This year's Alabama team has an awful QB situation

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Based on what exactly? Not saying you're wrong, you very well could be right, but this has been the same story every offseason at Alabama when a quarterback has been replaced. The last 3 first year starting quarterbacks have won a championship.

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no playmakers at receiver

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Only one from the '11 squad is on an NFL roster, and he rarely plays...again though, this is TBD. There are 3 former 5 stars in the receiving corps.

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They have a lot of question marks

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Who doesn't?
They have the best front 7 in the country, good backs, and talent on the offensive line. I just think "likely 3 losses" is a bit of a stretch

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Sorry I came at you wrong there man, just get fed up with some of the posters who actually are Bama/Saban obsessed. My bad.

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Its all good man.....

We will be fine if we lose to state or atm, the others we will need a tie breaker advantage over.

I like your line of thinking. Auburn definitely will set the tone for the season.

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Alabama will be the most important game... Even if LSU losses to MSU or AU and can get to the Bama game at 7-1.. AND Bama is at 7-1 or 8-0, A wn there will vault us into the top 5... The last three games then become a warm-up to the SEC championship......... So Bama is the most important... Yes I would rather lose a game early than being unbeaten and then lose to Bama...

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Pretty much

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- Alabama schedule goes @Georgia, vs. Arkansas, @A&M, vs. Tennessee, vs. LSU, @MsSt and has a virtual bye week before playing @Auburn

-Likely losses include @Georgia, @Auburn and @A&M. Couple that with the fact LSU, Tennessee, Arkansas, and State could all potentially beat them, Bama will finish with 3 losses.

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If by likely losses, you mean 1% chance, then maybe. That game last year was even worse than the 59-0 score indicated

I didn't start this thread to downplay the Miss St. Game or bash Alabama.

Just wanted to point out that the way the schedules line up and because of what they did to us last year, the Auburn game feels like a real "must win" if this team is going to have crack at an SEC title.

I simply backed up that point with a few observations and opinions. I'm well aware I could be dead wrong about all of this but it's just as likely I'm right. The SEC West will be a bloodbath this season. A two loss Western Champ is extremely possible and I'd say the most realistic scenario..but like I said, Bama could go 12-1 like most of you think they will.

Agreed, but I'm saying if there's a game we look back at and say we should of had that one, it will be Auburn at home.

Dropping that game will hurt bad if we end up in a two or three way tie for the west. If for no other reason because it's at home, where a talented LSU team should never lose.