re: Most Bama fans are predicting 40+ points

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I sure hope Bama doesn’t run LSU over like that truck

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Man,

Give me 5 minutes of dancing in the street over a lifetime of cowering on the shoulder!


frick that truck! Bring it on!

They will score around 20 pts. I think LSU will be willing to take more risk and Saban will play his typical conservative offense.

If we can have success in running, I think we have a chance.

Mississippi State had some good players on their lines, and LSU sent a bunch limping off the field, and some didn't return. Bring it Bama, 40 points for the Tigers maybe.

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When LSU wins by 10, I will be calling it a blowout every day for 365 on SECr

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If we win by 7, I'm going to call it an arse kicking. I'm just saying, 10 points does not (usually) a blowout make.

I like this jewel I picked up from youtube comments

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I think most people are looking at this game like Bama averages 54 points per game, and LSU should hold them to considerably less than that. But the STARTING offense averages around 80 points per four quarters. I really think this offense shows their invincibility in this game and puts up a totally shocking 50-burger on LSU at Death Valley. The offense is just too multidimensional for any defense to stop.?

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I'm a Bama guy through and through. And i love to sensible football conversations. Lets face it most fans fandom out-weigh logic.

Both teams will come out fired up. Expect a extremely physical game. This will be the key-can LSU's D line get pressure on Tua on a "consistent basis?" Bama's pass pro has been outstanding up to this point. The LSU dbs are a talented group, and i think they will test Bama's receivers (they are "relatively" small in statue- but are tough as nails). However, they must play with discipline, because a double move or two is likely to happen because of how aggressive they are.

Mind you- there is Jacob and Waddle that has to be accounted for as well.

You have to get pressure up front.

Did you actually watch the Alabama vs Arkansas game? Apparently not.

If they think that they can beat NFL teams, why would they think this game would be competitive?

I can only guess three reasons reason's for Bama fans' logic.

(1) Most fans only watch games which their team plays although Bama fans probably watch Auburn games hoping Auburn would lose. Those folks probably based their sole judgement of LSU from the LSU-Auburn game. And seeing how Tennessee and Mississippi State also beat Auburn, those fans likely underestimate LSU.

(2) Of the Bama fans that are true football fans and keep up with all SEC teams, they know their QB has not played in the 4th quarters which implies that Bama could have scored at least 60 vs. Texas A&M and probably more because defenses are usually at their weakest when the most tired - in the fourth quarter.

(3) True football fans understand that football is a game of match-ups. Mississippi State does not have great team speed and their QB is more of a runner than a passer. State could not pass against LSU and threw 4 interceptions which was the key to LSU's victory. Otherwise, the teams were fairly even in yardage and first downs. But while LSU's secondary could cover State's receivers on deep ball, A&M's secondary could not. State won that game with the deep ball, passing for 384 yards. So why would this group think Bama will score 40+? I don't know that they do. The folks assuming that score are probably from group 1. But some who understand the game and stats may still think that because Bama's QB is much more accurate than Mississippi State's. He has not thrown an interception this year, although that streak will probably end Saturday.

I find this game difficult to predict. Here is what I think will happen:

DEFENSE
LSU will try to pressure Bama's QB a lot but will also show blitz and then back off hoping to confuse Bama's young QB into making a mistake or at least force him to check off and count on the noise to keep some of Bama's offense from hearing the correct play, especially their receivers. QB throws route A and receiver runs B is a guaranteed incomplete and perhaps a pick. The risk is, if the QB guesses a blitz correctly and executes, it could give up a big play.

OFFENSE
LSU will come out throwing the ball. If successful LSU will continue to throw the ball until Bama stops it. Then LSU will turn to the run and try to control the clock and shorten the game.

So what will happen? It depends on if Bama can rip of a few big plays early which could quieten the crowd and could even force LSU out of their game plan. If Bama can do that, they'll be the team that gets the most picks and win. This is the only scenario that I see Bama winning big.

If LSU's offense can move the ball on the ground, then good things can happen for the Tigers. The defense can blitz, blitz, blitz forcing Bama to go for big plays. Bama will make some of those and score. And sometimes they won't. But successful or not, Bama's offense won't be on the field very long and Bama's defense won't be rested. Once Bama's defense is tired out, LSU can control the clock, keep the ball away from Bama's offense, and dictate the game. That leads to a Tiger victory, although probably not a blow out.

The huge unknown is how will Bama's quarterback react to pressure and the noise where almost everyone in the stadium is against him. He can get the ball out quickly so the best bet is to confuse him into making mistakes and capitalize when he does. Georgia tried pressure on him in the national title game with mixed success. They'd sack him but then give up a big play. but Georgia wasn't really ready for him and had a game plan for Bama's other QB which is the opposite of Bama's starter.

A likely result is that all of the possibilities will happen to some degree. LSU will upset Bama in a tight game or Bama will win by a score or two but not in a blow out.