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re: Milazzo cost us in both phases yesterday

Posted on 5/27/21 at 10:33 am to
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
287875 posts
Posted on 5/27/21 at 10:33 am to
Thompson is at about 22%

Gio 28%

Bianco 31% prob the next closet
Posted by DRock88
Member since Aug 2015
10245 posts
Posted on 5/27/21 at 10:41 am to
Did Paul confirm that he gave the steal signal? I completely checked out for about 24 hours after the game.
Posted by rrboy
USA
Member since Jan 2005
5477 posts
Posted on 5/27/21 at 10:43 am to
What about the two batters that struck out in the eighth inning with the bases loaded. The pitcher throws 87% fastballs. You know a fastball is coming. Put the freaking bat on the ball.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87176 posts
Posted on 5/27/21 at 10:48 am to
I didn't think it needed confirming. The kid stole. Was that not enough? Or are we thinking a sign was misread?
Posted by melkiper
Member since Apr 2010
248 posts
Posted on 5/27/21 at 10:49 am to
Hit and run with a 220 hitter and to try it 3 times in a row. How arrogant and stupid
Posted by DRock88
Member since Aug 2015
10245 posts
Posted on 5/27/21 at 10:53 am to
Yes, wondering if a sign was misread or just had a brain freeze on the count/outs or stole on his own.
This post was edited on 5/27/21 at 10:54 am
Posted by drdrfaulkner19
Lynn Haven, FL
Member since Nov 2020
196 posts
Posted on 5/27/21 at 11:04 am to
Blaming one person for a loss ignores consequences for each action in an event. You cannot lay out a timeline in the present for each action, because each has a different set of consequences that follow. There are sets of algorithmic patterns that can (and do occur) in a all things. If you say that a person should or shouldn't have done this or that--and it occurred--ignores a completely different set of circumstances that could occur afterwards. For example, had the double-steal worked, how do we know that the next pitch been hit to the pitcher, and the last out been made some other way? Or possibly-the next pitch hammered for a single and runners scored? What if the score had been tied and one of the Georgia batters hit a solo homer? Or if Marceaux had arm trouble and left the game? We cannot lay down a timeline and pick things out and say a player cost us a game (unless perhaps a thrown shoe was an integral factor), but the game progresses on a series of algorithms of which we don't have wisdom to fathom.

I don't like the outcome of the game, but I am not going to try to relive something that is dead in the past. As we expect ourselves to be treated, we need to treat others.
Posted by geauxtigers33
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2014
13735 posts
Posted on 5/27/21 at 11:04 am to
quote:

Yes, wondering if a sign was misread or just had a brain freeze on the count/outs or stole on his own.


I am willing to bet that it was a steal to try and stay out of Milazzo hitting into a double play. It ended up backfiring but it’s not like CPM would be the only manager in baseball to make that call in that spot.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87176 posts
Posted on 5/27/21 at 11:05 am to
quote:

I am willing to bet that it was a steal to try and stay out of Milazzo hitting into a double play. It ended up backfiring but it’s not like CPM would be the only manager in baseball to make that call in that spot.
Is his groundball rate higher or lower than his K rate?
Posted by geauxtigers33
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2014
13735 posts
Posted on 5/27/21 at 11:08 am to
I don’t know at all and I am not going to pretend to know. I am not saying it was the right call or sticking up for him making it there. I was just saying that it was probably the call and it’s not out of the ordinary for someone to make the decision.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87176 posts
Posted on 5/27/21 at 11:13 am to
quote:

it’s not out of the ordinary for someone to make the decision.
quote:

I am not... sticking up for him making it there


Generalizing it to a steal in a 3-2 count and saying that happens is defending it. 3-2/1-out steals do happen, of course. But they don't happen in a vacuum. It still matters who is running and who is hitting. The batter is usually a higher contact guy who is slow and likely to hit into a double play.
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
287875 posts
Posted on 5/27/21 at 11:23 am to
quote:

am willing to bet that it was a steal to try and stay out of Milazzo hitting into a double play.


40 K’s in 118 PA

0 double plays

Probability of striking out & hitting it into the air is far far far higher
Posted by Choupique19
The cheap seats
Member since Sep 2005
64469 posts
Posted on 5/27/21 at 11:31 am to
The “hit and run” part of the 3-2 count hit and run is for how the base runner is supposed to get his break. On a straight steal, the runner is trying to get the perfect jump and is at risk of being picked off if the pitcher makes a good move to the base. On a hit and run, the runner makes sure the pitcher is going to the plate before he breaks. He won’t get a good jump, but he’s trusting the batter to not strike out. The fact that Morgan was easily out on that play makes me believe it was a 3-2 hit and run.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87176 posts
Posted on 5/27/21 at 11:33 am to
Morgan? You mean Bianco right?
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
41633 posts
Posted on 5/27/21 at 11:40 am to
quote:

The “hit and run” part of the 3-2 count hit and run is for how the base runner is supposed to get his break. On a straight steal, the runner is trying to get the perfect jump and is at risk of being picked off if the pitcher makes a good move to the base. On a hit and run, the runner makes sure the pitcher is going to the plate before he breaks. He won’t get a good jump, but he’s trusting the batter to not strike out. The fact that Morgan was easily out on that play makes me believe it was a 3-2 hit and run.


You and others are using the wrong terminology.

“Hit and run” means the batter has to swing.

What happened was PM put the runners in motion. It wasn’t a straight steal in that the base runners weren’t trying to get a jump on the pitcher and advance.

At least I don’t think it was a straight steal, but it could have been and Morgan got a bad jump. But it certainly couldn’t have been a hit and run.
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
287875 posts
Posted on 5/27/21 at 11:41 am to
quote:

The “hit and run” part of the 3-2 count hit and run is for how the base runner is supposed to get his break.


So a steal


quote:

a hit and run, the runner makes sure the pitcher is going to the plate before he breaks


Like most stolen base attempts lol
Posted by DRock88
Member since Aug 2015
10245 posts
Posted on 5/27/21 at 11:42 am to
Bianco was running.
Posted by lsufball19
Franklin, TN
Member since Sep 2008
71040 posts
Posted on 5/27/21 at 11:47 am to
quote:

Fairly certain the best option is out for the year.


In SEC play, Travinski was 4/27 with 0 XBH, 14 Ks and just 3 BBs. Teams figured out ery early on that if you don't throw him fastballs, he can't hit. And his defense was atrocious
Posted by Choupique19
The cheap seats
Member since Sep 2005
64469 posts
Posted on 5/27/21 at 12:01 pm to
quote:

Morgan? You mean Bianco right?


I don’t know what I’m saying. I’m high.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87176 posts
Posted on 5/27/21 at 12:01 pm to
Our inability to hit off speed this year was a huge knock on Eddie. It wasn’t just good pitchers getting us out often with off speed.
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