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LSU's current RPI
Posted on 1/14/16 at 10:24 am
Posted on 1/14/16 at 10:24 am
For those concerned about such things, LSU's (ESPN) RPI currently sits at 101 after last night's win. Obviously that's not very good. But.... look at the RPI of the next 5 opponents:
Ark (84)
@A&M(11)
@Bama(38)
UGA (64)
Okla.(4)
Certainly not an easy stretch, but if LSU can have a good 2.5 weeks, their RPI could quickly go from 101 into the 50's or perhaps lower. Now of course they have to win most of those games, but it's too early to freak out about the RPI right now
Ark (84)
@A&M(11)
@Bama(38)
UGA (64)
Okla.(4)
Certainly not an easy stretch, but if LSU can have a good 2.5 weeks, their RPI could quickly go from 101 into the 50's or perhaps lower. Now of course they have to win most of those games, but it's too early to freak out about the RPI right now
12
Posted on 1/14/16 at 10:26 am to Alt26
If we can beat A&M and OU we'd be in great shape. But it also wouldnt surprise me if we beat both of them then lose 2 of those other 3 games 
Posted on 1/14/16 at 10:28 am to Alt26
quote:Would love to win both, but would be happy with one.
@A&M(11)
@Bama(38)
Posted on 1/14/16 at 10:29 am to thunderbird1100
Beating A&M on the road would do wonders for our RPI and our chances with selection committee
Posted on 1/14/16 at 10:29 am to thunderbird1100
If we win Arkansas, @A&M, Oklahoma and lose @Bama & Georgia, sign me the frick up.
Posted on 1/14/16 at 10:31 am to Alt26
Ark (84)
@A&M(11) *Huge, must win game on road
@Bama(38)
UGA (64)
Okla.(4) *Must win over top team in NCAA
2 must wins and win 1 other makes (3-2) during this stretch ok.
Beyond this, I think 13-5 is the magic number for SEC play.
@A&M(11) *Huge, must win game on road
@Bama(38)
UGA (64)
Okla.(4) *Must win over top team in NCAA
2 must wins and win 1 other makes (3-2) during this stretch ok.
Beyond this, I think 13-5 is the magic number for SEC play.
Posted on 1/14/16 at 10:31 am to lwlsu96
We need to win 3 out of 4 games going into OU IMO, then we should be able to rattle off the next couple games going into a big game with SC.
Posted on 1/14/16 at 10:34 am to jptiger2009
quote:
Okla.(4) *Must win over top team in NCAA
Really? Oklahoma is a "must win"? That and A&M on the road are the two we could afford to drop and still be in good shape.
Posted on 1/14/16 at 10:39 am to jptiger2009
Wait... You think @A&M, a top 15 team that will be a big favorite over us and arguably our toughest game left this season is a "must win"?
Posted on 1/14/16 at 10:41 am to Alt26
I think LSU really needs the road win at A&M. That would be quite a boost. Unfortunately, I don't think we matchup well with them.
Posted on 1/14/16 at 10:44 am to Alt26
quote:
LSU's current RPI
Pointless to talk about until late in the season
Posted on 1/14/16 at 10:47 am to T
Also, LSU can't catch a break at Coleman Coliseum. Haven't won there since 2004. Had a great chance two years ago but melted down and stopped pressing. Tigers fell by two. LSU has a real tough stretch here.
ETA: Wasn't that also the Shane Hammink game where he made the dumbest inbound play in LSU history?
ETA: Wasn't that also the Shane Hammink game where he made the dumbest inbound play in LSU history?
This post was edited on 1/14/16 at 10:49 am
Posted on 1/14/16 at 10:47 am to Alt26
Does anyone believe that LSU might get away with a little higher RPI and sneak into the tourney simply because of Ben Simmons? Basically what I'm saying is let's say normally you need a top 60 RPI, could we sneak in with a 65-70 simply because of having Simmons?
Posted on 1/14/16 at 10:47 am to jptiger2009
quote:
Ark (84)
@A&M(11) *Huge, must win game on road
@Bama(38)
UGA (64)
Okla.(4) *Must win over top team in NCAA
2 must wins and win 1 other makes (3-2) during this stretch ok.
Beyond this, I think 13-5 is the magic number for SEC play.
I would say going 3-2 in the stretch no matter who the wins are against would be great. That would put them at either 6-2 in the SEC almost to the halfway mark or 5-3 in the SEC with a win over Oklahoma.
Posted on 1/14/16 at 10:57 am to geauxtigers33
quote:
I would say going 3-2 in the stretch no matter who the wins are against would be great.
Beating Arky, Bama and UGA wouldnt do too much to help us. We need signature wins, @ A&M and OU are the games we really need to win.
Posted on 1/14/16 at 10:58 am to therick711
quote:
Had a great chance two years ago but melted down and stopped pressing. Tigers fell by two. LSU has a real tough stretch here.
I still can't get over Marcus Thornton getting laid out with around a minute to go, and no foul call.
Posted on 1/14/16 at 11:00 am to lsumatt
quote:
Wait... You think @A&M, a top 15 team that will be a big favorite over us and arguably our toughest game left this season is a "must win"?
in terms of RPI, sure, what you're implying is correct. It's not a must win.
Considering the selection committee, remaining "wow" factor games, and the loss to College of Charleston, I think that both @aTm and a win v/s OU are must-win games.
Posted on 1/14/16 at 11:02 am to ellessuuuu
quote:
Really? Oklahoma is a "must win"? That and A&M on the road are the two we could afford to drop and still be in good shape.
I don't know if "must win" is exactly correct, but that description is not far off. LSU "must win" some games against good/great opponents. They are going to have a very tough time making the NCAAT if they can only beat the good/avg teams on their schedule. Right now they have exactly one (1) good win (UK). They must get more.
I've said it before, but compare last year's A&M and LSU teams. Until the SECT (vs. AU) A&M had NONE of the ugly losses LSU had (Mizzou, AU, Miss. St.); they also finished with the same SEC record as LSU (11-7) AND beat LSU twice head to head. Yet when March came around, LSU was in the NCAAT and A&M went to the NIT. The reason was though A&M had no bad loses, they also had no good wins (except against LSU). Conversely, while LSU had some ugly losses, they also had some really good wins (6-1 vs. NCAAT teams, 4-0 on the road against those teams)
Right now LSU has ugly losses without many good wins. So yes, it might be reasonable to say that A&M and OU are almost "must wins".
This post was edited on 1/14/16 at 11:04 am
Posted on 1/14/16 at 11:03 am to c on z
quote:
I still can't get over Marcus Thornton getting laid out with around a minute to go, and no foul call.
I think we're talking about a different game. Two years ago, LSU cut the deficit to 81-80, Alabama split a pair of free throws, and Johnathan Jones called the patented Hickey isolation drive as our play at the buzzer. He was, per tradition, blocked.
Posted on 1/14/16 at 11:06 am to Alt26
quote:
I don't know if "must win" is exactly correct, but that description is not far off. LSU "must win" some games against good/great opponents.
Probably. But we have a ton of good/great opponents left including A&M twice, @Kentucky, @SC, OU... none of those individually are a "must win" and certainly not @A&M
Of every game we have remaining on the schedule (including SEC Tourney), @A&M we may be the biggest underdog and the game we are least likely to win.
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