re: LSU vs Alabama TONIGHT 8pm SECN/PMAC..ETA: New Score Prediction

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ETA: I changed my prediction based on the following:

1) What type of road environments have Bama played in that would be considered 'hostile'? I would argue @Dayton (lost by 32), @Auburn (because of their rivalry and lost...to Auburn...Auburn), @USCe (lost by 14), @UF, but in reality the arena was half filled. Also, if we look at that box score, Alabama got DOMINATED that game but UF could not make a shot.

2.) When was the last time Alabama was a contender for the NCAAT? They've won 4 in a row, 2 against bottom-dwellers, another against a team who has lost 5 of 6 and 5 straight SEC games, and then a quality victory over UF who could not hit water if they fell out of a boat. I think they have inflated self confidence. Also, it is much harder to be the hunted rather than the hunter

3.) Lastly, they don't match up well with LSU. LSU's biggest weakness is transition defense and losing shooters from time to time. Well, Alabama is not good at scoring, not good at shooting, and not a push the tempo transition team. So they match up perfectly for LSU. Home teams usually shoot better, and if you remember the game, Coleman and Obasohan both hit about 30 footers as time was running out at one point. Offensively they played above their heads and quite frankly got lucky.

I simply have a great feeling that LSU will come out and put on a show.

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