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LSU OVER/ UNDER 7 wins -110 WTF?
Posted on 7/16/18 at 10:34 am
Posted on 7/16/18 at 10:34 am
Seems like a petty safe bet. So at 7 games its a wash, you get your money back? At 6 or less you lose. 8 or more is a win.
Why so you think the line is this low? Not a lot of faith in Coach O even in vegas apparently.
Why so you think the line is this low? Not a lot of faith in Coach O even in vegas apparently.
Posted on 7/16/18 at 10:35 am to boxcar willie
Take off your purple and gold glasses. 6 wins is about what should be expected this year given the current situation.
Posted on 7/16/18 at 10:36 am to boxcar willie
Currently I believe LSU is better than 7. I might have to put money on this.
Posted on 7/16/18 at 10:39 am to boxcar willie
guaranteed losses: at auburn, vs georgia, vs bama
toss ups but most likely losses: miami, at UF, at a&m
toss ups: ole miss, miss st, at arkansas
odds are we lose 6 or more
toss ups but most likely losses: miami, at UF, at a&m
toss ups: ole miss, miss st, at arkansas
odds are we lose 6 or more
Posted on 7/16/18 at 10:39 am to seawolf06
quote:
Take off your purple and gold glasses. 6 wins is about what should be expected this year given the current situation.
With the addition of Burrow, solid o-line and elite WRs the offense will produce. Burrow will keep the turnovers down. Aranda's defense will be grande.
LSU +8 wins this season even with one of the most difficult schedules in college football.
Posted on 7/16/18 at 10:40 am to boxcar willie
7-5 Ain't about the coach
No returning qb.
Dline is not deep enough to suit me.
Oline good but no great tackles.
Miami
Bama
Aubie
Win one, save season
Win two, head held high
Win Aubie and Bama , play Georgia for sec champ.
No returning qb.
Dline is not deep enough to suit me.
Oline good but no great tackles.
Miami
Bama
Aubie
Win one, save season
Win two, head held high
Win Aubie and Bama , play Georgia for sec champ.
This post was edited on 7/16/18 at 10:42 am
Posted on 7/16/18 at 10:41 am to boxcar willie
I was the thinking about driving over to Mississippi and laying down 500 in the over but if LSU losses 5 games and I lose 500 bucks on it then I’m going to lose my shite.
This post was edited on 7/16/18 at 11:10 am
Posted on 7/16/18 at 10:41 am to boxcar willie
quote:
Seems like a petty safe bet. So at 7 games its a wash, you get your money back? At 6 or less you lose. 8 or more is a win.
Why so you think the line is this low? Not a lot of faith in Coach O even in vegas apparently.
Even as hard as I've been on Orgeron and his hiring/handling of the program thus far, over 7 seems like a given. LSU hasn't had less than 8 wins total on the season since 1999. My issue has never been that I think he'll bring us back to 5-7 type seasons but that he'll be no better than the tail end of the miles era or worse.
That being said, there's a reason Vegas does what they do...they don;t tend to be that off most of the time or otherwise they couldn't keep the lights on.
A fun exercise would be to go back over the past 20 season and see if you can find what the preseason over/under was and if LSU exceeded it or not.
Posted on 7/16/18 at 10:42 am to boxcar willie
I think most people see 8 or 9 wins if everything goes right. And everything going right is rare. Players get injured, suspended, or just plain underperform. When I see 7 wins as a real possibility, I'm taking into account the unknown factors that will no doubt take effect.
This post was edited on 7/16/18 at 10:43 am
Posted on 7/16/18 at 10:43 am to CelticDog
quote:Horse. shite.
7-5 Ain't about the coach
If you put Jimbo, Saban, Meyer, Herman, Smart or Gary Patterson on this team then the line would move to 8.5/9
7-5 line is because O is a trash HC and no one knows what Einsmingers offense will look like.
Posted on 7/16/18 at 10:43 am to seawolf06
quote:
Take off your purple and gold glasses. 6 wins is about what should be expected this year given the current situation.
Please for the love of God tell me what is our current situation? We are the deepest we have ever been at QB, OL, WR, DL, LB. RB unknown and the lack of depth at CB if we sustain injuries. QB is unproven but nothing we haven't seen in years here. Now add in Burrow and I'm liking it.
I for one love how we are flying so far under everyone's radar


quote:
Dline is not deep enough to suit me.
Holy shite dude? What are you wanting at Dline to make you think it's not deep? Let me help you here in case you don't know.
Travez Moore(new)
Jarell Cherry(new)
Rashard Lawrence
Breiden Fehoko(new)
Neil Farrell
Justin Thomas
Glen Logan
Nelson Jenkins(new)
Dare Rosenthal(new)
Chasen Hines(new)
Dominic Livingston(new)
Tyler Shelvin(new)
Ed Alexander
That's 8 players that weren't on this team last year!
This post was edited on 7/16/18 at 10:52 am
Posted on 7/16/18 at 10:44 am to boxcar willie
7 wins will be tough this year
Posted on 7/16/18 at 10:45 am to GeauxTigerTM
quote:
That being said, there's a reason Vegas does what they do...they don;t tend to be that off most of the time or otherwise they couldn't keep the lights on.
Vegas initially takes an educated guess. That guess is where 50% will bet on one side and the other 50% will bet on the other side. Vegas will move the line if too much money gets on one side to get back to the 50/50 balance. Vegas is making money off the juice not the bet. That's the sure money.
Posted on 7/16/18 at 10:45 am to seawolf06
quote:Onyl way ill ever be ok with 6 losses is if we’re coming off a playoff appearance.
6 wins is about what should be expected this year given the current situation.
If O goes 6-6 he should be fired before making it to the locker room.
Posted on 7/16/18 at 10:46 am to boxcar willie
10 Wins, if he doesn't make it, send him to the Shrimp Boats.
Posted on 7/16/18 at 10:47 am to GumboPot
quote:
Vegas initially takes an educated guess. That guess is where 50% will bet on one side and the other 50% will bet on the other side. Vegas will move the line if too much money gets on one side to get back to the 50/50 balance. Vegas is making money off the juice not the bet. That's the sure money.
Right...but there's a reason they started at 7 and not 9 though, right? That's more my point.
If 7 was a terrible first line, meaning everyone would jump on the over right out of the gate, it would have been a bad starting point, right?
Posted on 7/16/18 at 10:50 am to redneck
I dont Think Auburn is guaranteed.
They still can’t pas block. They play well like half the time.
I like Jimbo but that team isn’t all of a sudden be good. Jimbos has shown he can win with talent and I dont Thin A&M has the talent you need to win in the SEC yet.
I also Think we beat Florida. You is their QB? People act like Mullen was beating our arse with a Chris Relf. He had an NFL QB and went like 1-2 vs LSU.
Also frick you’re toss up losses. Ole Miss is trash. People will have film on the backup his season. Also Arkansas won’t be able to keep that tall statue up long enough to do anything.
They still can’t pas block. They play well like half the time.
quote:
toss ups but most likely losses: miami, at UF, at a&m
I like Jimbo but that team isn’t all of a sudden be good. Jimbos has shown he can win with talent and I dont Thin A&M has the talent you need to win in the SEC yet.
I also Think we beat Florida. You is their QB? People act like Mullen was beating our arse with a Chris Relf. He had an NFL QB and went like 1-2 vs LSU.
Also frick you’re toss up losses. Ole Miss is trash. People will have film on the backup his season. Also Arkansas won’t be able to keep that tall statue up long enough to do anything.
Posted on 7/16/18 at 10:52 am to GeauxTigerTM
quote:
Right...but there's a reason they started at 7 and not 9 though, right? That's more my point.
If 7 was a terrible first line, meaning everyone would jump on the over right out of the gate, it would have been a bad starting point, right?
Right. It's not a terrible first line. 7 is more of a national perception IMO. Vegas is just a reflection of that perception and Vegas does create that perception. They have narrative makers and most of the time the narratives are based on solid analysis. They are wrong at times too. And they can afford to be wrong as long as the money is 50/50.
Posted on 7/16/18 at 11:03 am to boxcar willie
I put $100 on it, but got it at -130. LSU hasn't won less than 8 games in a long time. I feel pretty comfortable that they get to at least 7.
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