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LSU outlook for hosting a regional

Posted on 5/19/19 at 12:28 pm
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
21035 posts
Posted on 5/19/19 at 12:28 pm
I would love to be talking about what LSU has to do to get a national seed in this year's installment, but that's not the case. Hosting a regional is still a possibility though, so we will compare LSU against the rest of the field.


Locks to host a regional

I think these teams are going to be national seeds/have a host spot already locked up, so I'm not going to bother breaking down their resume.

1. Vandy
2. UCLA
3. Arkansas
4. Mississippi St
5. Georgia
6. ECU
7. Louisville
8. Texas Tech
9. Stanford
10. Georgia Tech
11. Oklahoma St.

Legit Hosting Opportunities

If my above projections are correct, that leaves 5 host spots up for grabs.

LSU
36-23
17-13
RPI- 21
SOS- 6
Quad 1- 20-15
Quad 2- 5-5
Quad 3- 4-2
Quad 4- 7-1

W vs SC, L vs Miss St, W vs Auburn, Fri vs MSU


Miami
39-17
18-12
RPI- 16
SOS- 30
Quad 1- 13-13
Quad 2- 7-2
Quad 3- 3-0
Quad 4- 16-2

Thur vs Virginia, Fri vs UNC
Miami vs UNC winner advances to semis


Oregon St
35-17-1
20-7
RPI- 14
SOS- 17
Quad 1- 16-9
Quad 2- 10-5-1
Quad 3- 0-2
Quad 4- 9-1
1-1 vs Stanford last weekend (2nd game was rained out) Thur-Sat vs USC- down 0-1

UC Santa Barbara
44-8
18-4
RPI- 15
SOS- 160
Quad 1- 3-0
Quad 2- 11-2
Quad 3- 6-4
Quad 4- 24-2

3 game set vs Cal Poly Thu-Sat - Drops game 1. Down 0-1

UNC
39-17
17-13
RPI- 19
SOS- 33
Quad 1- 11-11
Quad 2- 11-3
Quad 3- 8-1
Quad 4- 9-2
W vs Virginia, Fri vs Miami

West Virginia
36-18
13-11
RPI- 11
SOS- 27
Quad 1- 8-9
Quad 2- 15-8
Quad 3- 3-0
Quad 4- 10-1
W vs Kansas, W vs Texas Tech, Fri vs Texas Tech/Kansas winner

NC State -
42-15
18-12
RPI - 18
SOS- 52
Quad 1- 9-6
Quad 2- 11-7
Quad 3- 7-2
Quad 4- 15-0

Thur vs Wake, Fri vs FSU - NC State advances to semis

Texas A&M
37-21-1
16-13-1
RPI- 17
SOS- 8
Quad 1- 17-16-1
Quad 2- 8-3
Quad 3- 4-1
Quad 4- 8-1
W vs UF, L vs UGA, L vs Ole Miss 1-2 ELIMINATED


Ole Miss
35-24
16-14
RPI- 25
SOS- 12
Quad 1- 18-19
Quad 2- 5-3
Quad 3- 5-0
Quad 4- 7-2
W vs Mizzou, L vs Arkansas, W vs aTm, Fri vs Arky

Creighton
36-11
14-4
RPI- 22
SOS- 109
Quad 1- 5-1
Quad 2- 13-8
Quad 3- 2-1
Quad 4- 16-1
W vs Seton Hall, Fri vs St. John






So, as you can see by stacking LSU up against everybody else, all of these teams have some things that are also holding them down. As always, it comes down to what the committee favors over other things. If they put heavy emphasis on SOS and Q1 wins, LSU is a lock already. If RPI weighs heavily, LSU is squarely on the bubble and needs another win or two. Overall record also has LSU lagging behind. So, unless LSU makes a super deep run we won't really know for sure until next Monday if they are a lock to host.


I'll keep up with what everybody on this list is doing as they play during the week.




This post was edited on 5/24/19 at 9:19 am
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77344 posts
Posted on 5/19/19 at 12:35 pm to
I feel like oregon st is a lock as well. But nice work
This post was edited on 5/19/19 at 12:36 pm
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77344 posts
Posted on 5/19/19 at 12:37 pm to
Also feel like creighton and illinois need to be considered
Posted by skullhawk
My house
Member since Nov 2007
22961 posts
Posted on 5/19/19 at 12:40 pm to
I think LSU needs to beat State on Wednesday to get one. Committee will look for an excuse to spread regionals around other geographical areas.
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77344 posts
Posted on 5/19/19 at 12:41 pm to
Or they could just win on thursday
Posted by brotherlove
parts unknown
Member since Aug 2018
122 posts
Posted on 5/19/19 at 12:46 pm to
I just don’t see how they can keep us out with 19 Q1 wins and 7th SOS. We just need to beat the cocks Tuesday night.
Posted by TigerCub
Team Boxtard
Member since May 2006
20173 posts
Posted on 5/19/19 at 12:49 pm to
Pretty sure UCSB doesn’t have a conference tournament as well. Good breakdown btw.
This post was edited on 5/19/19 at 12:51 pm
Posted by Topwater Trout
Red Stick
Member since Oct 2010
67589 posts
Posted on 5/19/19 at 12:54 pm to
I think 34-22 is not host worthy...I hope the committee doesn’t agree with me. If we do host we will likely be paired with Vandy or UCLA
Posted by Aforem7
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2019
871 posts
Posted on 5/19/19 at 12:55 pm to
Good stuff right here. But I would agree with josh336 that Oregon st is a lock
Posted by Terrific Tales
Member since Jan 2019
19425 posts
Posted on 5/19/19 at 1:00 pm to
If I had to guess right now, and obviously things can change

1. Vandy
2. UCLA
3. Arkansas
4. Mississippi State
5. ECU
6. Louisville
7. Georgia
8. Texas Tech
9. Stanford
10. Oklahoma State
11. Georgia Tech
12. Oregon State
13. LSU
14. A&M
15. Miami
16. NC State
This post was edited on 5/19/19 at 1:09 pm
Posted by jgriffith
Paradise Valley, Arizona
Member since Sep 2005
5259 posts
Posted on 5/19/19 at 1:01 pm to
Great info.; thank you for providing.
Posted by Terrific Tales
Member since Jan 2019
19425 posts
Posted on 5/19/19 at 1:02 pm to
^^
Would pair us with Mississippi State for those that don’t know how it works. Considering we already beat them this year I think that would be best case scenario.
This post was edited on 5/19/19 at 1:03 pm
Posted by TigerCub
Team Boxtard
Member since May 2006
20173 posts
Posted on 5/19/19 at 1:03 pm to
I’d agree with your list but replace UNC with NC State. It gonna be interesting to see what they do with UCSB if they win out
Posted by Terrific Tales
Member since Jan 2019
19425 posts
Posted on 5/19/19 at 1:04 pm to
It was a toss up between those two. What was their head to head like I haven’t checked?
Posted by Terrific Tales
Member since Jan 2019
19425 posts
Posted on 5/19/19 at 1:07 pm to
The thing people aren’t realizing about this year is that maybe 17-13 isn’t always good enough to get a host in the SEC, but there are only 12 or maybe 13 teams with better overall resumes than us this year. We should host easily as long as we don’t shite the bed against SC and make the voters second guess themselves
Posted by TRbayouborn
San Francisco, CA
Member since May 2009
284 posts
Posted on 5/19/19 at 1:07 pm to
This is all reasonable, except for having unc ahead of NC State in that last spot. The resume's were nearly identical going into this weekend, and the Pack just won 2 of 3 on the road (convincingly if i may add) in Chapel Hill.

I have a minor gripe with GT being so low compared to UGA, but it's not a hill I'll die on.
This post was edited on 5/19/19 at 1:08 pm
Posted by Terrific Tales
Member since Jan 2019
19425 posts
Posted on 5/19/19 at 1:08 pm to
I just asked about the head to head. I honestly had no idea. Will fix
Posted by TRbayouborn
San Francisco, CA
Member since May 2009
284 posts
Posted on 5/19/19 at 1:12 pm to
Thanks! I'll begin the argument for NC State against Miami (Pack swept Miami in Coral Gables) if both teams have a similar performance in the ACC tournament.

Completely agree with the teams though. Hopefully this doesn't change that much this week (somehow it will)
Posted by Terrific Tales
Member since Jan 2019
19425 posts
Posted on 5/19/19 at 1:15 pm to
There was a convo about Miami on the SECr. Honestly I think there are a couple teams that maybe have more claim to the spot, but the Florida factor will definitely get them the host
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77344 posts
Posted on 5/19/19 at 1:19 pm to
I believe if ucsb can keep a top 15 rpi, they will get a host spot. But their rpi could easily drop with a loss or two
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