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Started By
Message
re: LSU is a 10 point favorite vs UK
Posted on 10/12/14 at 10:29 pm to Datbayoubengal
Posted on 10/12/14 at 10:29 pm to Datbayoubengal
quote:
Kentucky has struggled with everybody
They won 48-14 yesterday.
quote:
Yeah they beat USCe
Um, yeah. Who have we beaten who is better than USCe?
quote:
but they are pretty much garbage
Oh, so that settles it, then?
quote:
They almost beat UF in the swamp, but they didn't.
But playing UF the way they did shows that they are on par with Florida physically, talent-wise, etc. Also, they seem improved since that game, especially on offense.
quote:
They went down 14-3 to a ULM team that we never let score on us.
And they put up 48 on a ULM team that held us to 31. Their margin of victory over ULM was bigger than ours.
quote:
Kentucky is a decent team, and will likely finish with 8 wins
Not sure how that is supposed to happen. They are 5-1 with six games left. Two of those games, the only ones they have left at home, are against Miss. St. and Georgia, both of whom should be heavy favorites to beat them. The other four, and Kentucky would have to win three of them to get to eight wins, are all on the road against LSU, Missouri, Tennessee and Louisville, and they are likely underdogs in all four games. I think eight wins would be an optimistic prediction for them right now. Six will be a challenge, and seven would be a pretty good performance.
3
Posted on 10/12/14 at 10:52 pm to JPLSU1981
quote:
While correct, a point spread that was "off" would create arbitrage opportunities...Which there are not generally-speaking. Meaning the lines do indeed indicate how many points one team is better than the other given the venue, generally-speaking of course.
So yes, the line is determined to induce equal money on both sides, but there most certainly is a similarity associated with it in the context of the line (or fairly close to it) being the most likely actual result.
In other words, just because the line makers intention is not to tell us how many points one team will win by (their intention is to balance the money), that does not mean that spread isnt the most likely result....Most of the time, it is. The two "intentions" kind of go hand-in-hand.
This. Well said.
Posted on 10/13/14 at 12:09 am to BayouBengals03
quote:
BayouBengals03
You know I initially thought you were a posi tiger.....but the last several posts I've seen you make,.....clearly a negatiger. I wouldn't touch this game either way. Everyone thinks easy money on KY.......tells me LSU is likely to win by two scores......so good luck.
Posted on 10/13/14 at 12:09 am to BayouBengals03
quote:
BayouBengals03
You know I initially thought you were a posi tiger.....but the last several posts I've seen you make,.....clearly a negatiger. I wouldn't touch this game either way. Everyone thinks easy money on KY.......tells me LSU is likely to win by two scores......so good luck.
Posted on 10/13/14 at 12:16 am to Tigerinthehollow
quote:
You know I initially thought you were a posi tiger.....but the last several posts I've seen you make,.....clearly a negatiger.
lolz.
I think the line is set too high (from an oddsmakers' perspective) and will drop some based off of the action that comes in.
But LSU should win this game. It's a good match-up for us.
I'm as positive as they come.
This post was edited on 10/13/14 at 12:17 am
Posted on 10/13/14 at 12:29 am to Shaun176
I say we run the ball. LSU wins 31-14 
we just can't look over kentucky and think they are a cupcake game
we just can't look over kentucky and think they are a cupcake gamePosted on 10/13/14 at 12:36 am to Katy Tiger
quote:
You realize that they are just trying to generate action by setting a line like this. As soon as the money comes in on KY + the points, the line will move.
It's amazing to me how absolutely stupid you sound on here. So you think they just set the line trying to get action, and that at the end of the day LSU will be a slight favorite...when the money pours in on KY....what an absolute fricking loser troll you are. You have zero comprehension of how betting lines are formed. I haven't seen the lines, but if it is 10...you are a complete moron to think it will be closer to a pickem .....good god...but not surprised by your absolute fricking dumbass self.
Posted on 10/13/14 at 12:39 am to Nuts4LSU
quote:
Nuts4LSU
just remember this...this stupid absolute complete moron has previously picked LSU to never win the SEC championship, never to beat Saban, and never to beat Meyer.......just think about all of that......he is an absolute knee-jerking, over-reacting, complete moron...and that is putting it nicely....he is clueless.
Posted on 10/13/14 at 12:42 am to BayouBengals03
quote:
LSU is a 10 point favorite vs UK
I didn't expect it to come in that high. With that said, given the way lines work...I expect LSU to beat KY by 2-3 touchdowns. All of you poor mouthing mfs....can gfy.
Posted on 10/13/14 at 5:31 am to Shaun176
quote:
On Vegas Insider.
Degenerate gamblers more worried about winning money than winning games.
Posted on 10/13/14 at 5:35 am to Knight of Old
quote:
Degenerate gamblers more worried about winning money than winning games.
what does that even mean?
Posted on 10/13/14 at 7:18 am to Scoob
quote:
Kentucky lost at Florida; we beat them
This means NOTHING.......
quote:
ULM gave Kentucky a better game than they gave us
Again THIS means nothing....
quote:
Fournette seems to be emerging
Agreed........
quote:
Jennings calmed down some and found the occasional 2nd-3rd option on routes (hitting the fullback when the WRs were covered
Jennings still has ALOT of work to do...
quote:
The game is in Tiger Stadium.
Doesn't mean what it used to...
quote:
10 pt favorite sounds about right.
LSU should not be a 10 pt favorite over ANY SEC team except Vandy.......
Posted on 10/13/14 at 8:26 am to dukke v
Kentucky may win the east….seriously. They can hang with Georgia and they had a chance to beat Florida. They already took down USCe. Thy put up 30 on Florida and 45 on USCe. They really had a bad game against Vandy though. Regardless, this Kentucky team is much better than they have been recently and it's feasible that they could hang 30 on our defense. I do like our chances defending their passing game and I think we will be able to run the ball and control the clock.
The fans have to stay behind the Tigers regardless and LSU has to win.
The fans have to stay behind the Tigers regardless and LSU has to win.
Posted on 10/13/14 at 8:33 am to NorthshoreTiger76
quote:
Easy money take KY +10
+1
I am actually very concerned about this game.
Posted on 10/13/14 at 8:34 am to Nuts4LSU
quote:
Kentucky has struggled with everybody
what world are you in ?
they are 5 - 1 and should be 6 - 0 were not for refs allowing a kick of a field goal with expired clock
This post was edited on 10/13/14 at 9:49 am
Posted on 10/13/14 at 8:51 am to rbdallas
I think LSU wins but this won't be easy at all.
KY will come out in the Wildcat and basically run a QB draw all night with an athlete that's 10X better than Florida's QB.
Chavis has proven throughout his career he can't stop the QB draw.
KY will come out in the Wildcat and basically run a QB draw all night with an athlete that's 10X better than Florida's QB.
Chavis has proven throughout his career he can't stop the QB draw.
Posted on 10/13/14 at 9:10 am to Katy Tiger
quote:
You realize that they are just trying to generate action by setting a line like this. As soon as the money comes in on KY + the points, the line will move.
How far up your arse did you have to reach for that nugget?
Posted on 10/13/14 at 10:01 am to Freder
quote:
Only 10 point??!! Miles has burned this program to the ground!!
We are truly in a bizarro world.
Moo St. ranked #1.
Ole Piss not far behind.
And now ... LSU favored by a measly 10 pts at home vs. ... Kentucky.
Posted on 10/13/14 at 11:56 am to NorthshoreTiger76
This is referred to as a sucker bet. Vegas never loses.
Posted on 10/15/14 at 1:30 pm to adamb2151
quote:
If you can find it at that number, bet it now!! It will be LSU -2.5 by game time.
So when is this game going to start dropping so I can get LSU -2.5?
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