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re: I understand why O went for the field goal...

Posted on 1/4/18 at 2:25 pm to
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 1/4/18 at 2:25 pm to
quote:

I figured the worst possible outcome at that time was OT.
THAT outcome was actually somewhat likely.

In their prior 4 drives, ND had run 11, 11, 5 and 10 plays. The 5 play drive being with a short field.

The 11, 11 and the 10 were all good enough to have ended up in FG range from normal post-kickoff position.

Kicking the FG basically acquiesced to AT LEAST OT which is exactly where you probably end up if you just leave the fricking ball on the 1 foot line.
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 1/4/18 at 2:26 pm to
quote:

on the 1 foot line while tied and looking at OT.........starts slinging that bitch around


It was fourth down. They started with 1st and goal.



Um, read better.

I'm saying that if we failed and ND got the ball on the 1 foot line, and the game tied........they ain't going to be going balls to the wall.
Posted by Topwater Trout
Red Stick
Member since Oct 2010
69575 posts
Posted on 1/4/18 at 2:26 pm to
quote:

t was fourth down. They started with 1st and goal.



he is saying if we had been stuffed with 2 minutes to go ND would have been more inclined to run the ball out of the endzone and use clock instead of being down 3 and having to score to extend/win the game
Posted by TGFN57
Telluride
Member since Jan 2010
6975 posts
Posted on 1/4/18 at 2:26 pm to
Yea yea, tell us more "coach"
Posted by UnoMe
Here
Member since Dec 2007
6872 posts
Posted on 1/4/18 at 2:27 pm to
quote:

Hindsight is 20/20


I keep reading this from some of you, but if you didn’t think for a second what ND was about to do then you haven’t watched this team the last few years.

If LS fricking U doesn’t have a play or the players to line up, get a good push, and carry the ball 6 inches!!!! Then I vote shut the whole fricking program down & save the money.

Kick a fricking FG in that situation, give me a break. Your “hindsight” might be 20/20 but blind man can tell we deserved to lose the way the played and coached the entire game, pathetic, and not real sure it will be better any time soon.
Posted by Topwater Trout
Red Stick
Member since Oct 2010
69575 posts
Posted on 1/4/18 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

Yea yea, tell us more "coach"


WTF?
Posted by KC Tiger
Member since Sep 2006
4925 posts
Posted on 1/4/18 at 2:29 pm to
quote:

Your DC blows it 


quote:

Man, you O snobs are just a bunch of idiots.


I'm not an O apologist, but the defense DID blow it. It may be a statistical outlier, but the defense did give up a long drive with under 2 minutes remaining that cost us the game (or however long it was). The guy in charge of the defense is accountable for that.
Posted by Tiger Ree
Houston
Member since Jun 2004
24563 posts
Posted on 1/4/18 at 2:30 pm to
quote:

ND got the ball on the 1 foot line, and the game tied........they ain't going to be going balls to the wall.


Maybe, maybe not. You don't know what they would have done. All they would have needed was a FG from a guy who hadn't missed kicking two of over 45 yards and one damn near 50.
Posted by themunch
bottom of the list
Member since Jan 2007
71357 posts
Posted on 1/4/18 at 2:30 pm to
It was easy as 4 and out to win.
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 1/4/18 at 2:32 pm to
quote:


he is saying if we had been stuffed with 2 minutes to go ND would have been more inclined to run the ball out of the endzone and use clock instead of being down 3 and having to score to extend/win the game


Yup.

Hence, my prior post on odds.

If we failed, you basically are going to OT because there's the risk reward for ND at that point would not justify what it would take to get in FG position. At least, it would be low likelihood.
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 1/4/18 at 2:34 pm to
quote:


I'm not an O apologist, but the defense DID blow it. It may be a statistical outlier, but the defense did give up a long drive with under 2 minutes remaining that cost us the gam


Well ya know. They pay the HC to be aware of shite like the fact the last 4 times ND had the ball, they moved it well. And, shite like, "hey, maybe that's related to my defense not being full strength.

Then, realizing. Hmm. If all I do is kick a FG, ND is going to get the ball in decent field position but if I fail at a TD, those frickers are gonna be on the 1 foot line.
Posted by Rickdaddy4188
Murfreesboro,TN
Member since Aug 2011
48048 posts
Posted on 1/4/18 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

Also, could you imagine this place if O passes on the go-ahead FG from inside the ND one, fails to score on 4th down and ND wins late with a FG? This place would have been apoplectic! The mantra would have been you NEVER pass up points to take a lead late in a tie game

both stances have valid points. i jjst think the backlash of getting stuffed and ND winning via fg would be much more harsh and widespread.
Posted by Tiger Ree
Houston
Member since Jun 2004
24563 posts
Posted on 1/4/18 at 2:35 pm to
quote:

ND would have been more inclined to run the ball out of the endzone and use clock


I get what he is saying, but how does he know this? Say they did run it twice and got away from the EZ. It would have business as usual for them at that point anyway.

This is like arguing coaching moves in a baseball game. Hindsight always helps in making decisions. During the game hindsight does not exist.

Anyway, I am bowing out of this one. People have differing opinions of what should have been called and those opinions are not going to change.
Posted by mauser
Orange Beach
Member since Nov 2008
26137 posts
Posted on 1/4/18 at 2:37 pm to
Wildcat run with Darryl Williams was the way to go.
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 1/4/18 at 2:37 pm to
quote:

I get what he is saying, but how does he know this? Say they did run it twice and got away from the EZ. It would have business as usual for them at that point anyway.
Well, if you run it twice. Hell, let's say you run it twice and get it to the 25 yard line.

You did one of two things when you ran it twice. You burned a LOT of time or, you burned time outs.

Posted by Goldrush25
San Diego, CA
Member since Oct 2012
33900 posts
Posted on 1/4/18 at 2:39 pm to
quote:

Maybe, maybe not. You don't know what they would have done. All they would have needed was a FG from a guy who hadn't missed kicking two of over 45 yards and one damn near 50.


Average amount of points gained from drives beginning at the 1 yard line is under 1.5. So a FG is not close to likely at that distance.

Good coaches know things like that.

You can always say "what if" but the better question is "what's most likely to happen?"
This post was edited on 1/4/18 at 2:41 pm
Posted by mmcgrath
Indianapolis
Member since Feb 2010
37075 posts
Posted on 1/4/18 at 2:40 pm to
I don't get this. Everyone who is saying we should have ran it is using the worst case scenario as if it was the best case.

If we score a TD, Notre Dame still drives down and scores a TD. Now whether they go for 2 or win in OT, what is the difference?

If we get stopped, yes it takes them longer to score, but they had 2 timeouts. No reason to believe they don't get into field goal range in 2 minutes.

And for the poster who wanted to pass: Yeah, you guys would have been cool with an incompletion of 4th and inches. Sure....
Posted by tigerfoot
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
60750 posts
Posted on 1/4/18 at 2:41 pm to
quote:

IT
WAS
LITERALLY
AN
INCH.
We had literally lost yardage on two sneaks this year.

Ever seen a blown center exchange, a fumble reaching it out, or a failed dive, or a failed sneak. I have. I had seen one that game.

I am as far from an O apologist as one can be, but there was nothing wrong with our coaching decisions on the last plays of that game.

Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
88719 posts
Posted on 1/4/18 at 2:41 pm to
quote:

If we score a TD, Notre Dame still drives down and scores a TD. Now whether they go for 2 or win in OT, what is the difference?


We don't lose on a busted coverage.
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 1/4/18 at 2:42 pm to
quote:

If we get stopped, yes it takes them longer to score, but they had 2 timeouts. No reason to believe they don't get into field goal range in 2 minutes.

You are treating this as if one would expect the same offense to be run by ND if they got the ball on the 1 foot line while TIED vs getting the ball on the 27.

That's silly and I would hope every person who has ever watched football knows it.
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