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re: How did vegas know?

Posted on 2/4/23 at 8:23 pm to
Posted by redfish99
B.R.
Member since Aug 2007
16410 posts
Posted on 2/4/23 at 8:23 pm to
The Ronnie Rantz of the world or poorer than they were before lunch. Those bozos were preaching to sell the farm and load up on Bamers L love when that happens
Posted by Tigersonfire
Pville
Member since Oct 2018
3027 posts
Posted on 2/4/23 at 8:25 pm to
quote:

It never ceases to amaze me how good vegas is. Anyone who actually watched cbb this year would have made a smart guess that this would have been a 20-25 point loss.


I bought the line down to +10. So I pushed. But Bama only scoring 2 points on free throws the last 7 minutes of the game and the guy that was raining threes all game suddenly air balls three in a row………I mean it’s not hard to see how Vegas knew. Bama gets the win Vegas and whom ever gets paid. It’s really very obvious once you wrap your mind around it.
Posted by S
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
155424 posts
Posted on 2/4/23 at 8:25 pm to
Rantards tripping out over “Vegas” is always good fun
Posted by LSUFreek
Greater New Orleans
Member since Jan 2007
14742 posts
Posted on 2/4/23 at 8:58 pm to
quote:

It never ceases to amaze me how good vegas is.


I'm constantly amazed. I say this same thing all the time.

However, I recently started thinking "How much is it just me cherry-picking games to notice close betting odds results?" What is Vegas' real prediction percentage? How many blowouts have I switched channels on that Vegas predicted a 2.5 margin and I didn't bother t notice how off Vegas was?
Posted by dalmond
Houston
Member since Aug 2008
211 posts
Posted on 2/4/23 at 9:05 pm to
Alabama players were point shaving. This is not hard to understand
Posted by Tigersonfire
Pville
Member since Oct 2018
3027 posts
Posted on 2/4/23 at 9:17 pm to
quote:

Alabama players were point shaving. This is not hard to understand


No no no you’re wrong. Bama not scoring from the floor for almost 7 minutes and suddenly air balling all threes was just LSU’s great defense.
This post was edited on 2/4/23 at 10:55 pm
Posted by LSUDad
Still on the move
Member since May 2004
58672 posts
Posted on 2/4/23 at 9:26 pm to
Win with the Tigers and football this year. Also Joe Burrow and the Bengals hit for me most of the season when I bet. The Vikings also.
Vandy win total this year was an easy one.
Posted by R11
Member since Aug 2017
3374 posts
Posted on 2/4/23 at 9:29 pm to
Line was 10 vs mizzu

Lost by 10
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19805 posts
Posted on 2/4/23 at 10:26 pm to
Refs? Lsu was shot 31 FTs vs Bama 15? Bama got almost not calls when driving to the basket in the 2nd half. Other than that, Vegas figured Bama would be coasting and just take the easy win vs. going all out for the beatdown?
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
39109 posts
Posted on 2/5/23 at 8:36 am to
They don’t know. I have a SIL who is always saying the same thing, and then I start pointing out how often Vegas is way off. Example: What was the line on the first Bama - LSU game?
Posted by EZE Tiger Fan
Member since Jul 2004
50241 posts
Posted on 2/5/23 at 9:16 am to
LOL. Amazing, isn't it?
Posted by LSUGrad9295
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
33446 posts
Posted on 2/5/23 at 9:20 am to
quote:

I’ve realized how fricking strange it is Vegas is always right on the money. It’s amazing


Well, not "always" right on the money, but they are close a hell of a lot more times than not.
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8419 posts
Posted on 2/5/23 at 10:07 am to
quote:

The folks in vegas, citing zero stats or advanced metrics, thought it would be 30 points closer than the previous game vs bama, and they were right.


Wut lol

KenPom, which is the most notable publicly available site with advanced metrics, had the spread close to Vegas. I think 13 vs 11.5. It’s tough for even the great teams to win consistently by double digits on the road in conference play

Bammer was a 14 point favorite last time lsu played and won by 40. Did Vegas not know on that one?
Posted by joseywales1
Member since Apr 2021
53 posts
Posted on 2/5/23 at 10:24 am to
what I've learned about betting games is if it looks like a cinch bet the other way. Joe Public is going to be wrong more times than not.
Posted by Tigers4Lyfe
Member since Nov 2010
4458 posts
Posted on 2/5/23 at 11:19 am to
It was no hunch, I guarantee you that.
Posted by MrWalkingMan
31st Parallel North
Member since Aug 2010
6307 posts
Posted on 2/5/23 at 12:13 pm to
If a line seems to stink, dive into that motherfricker
Posted by GeauxtigersMs36
The coast
Member since Jan 2018
7711 posts
Posted on 2/5/23 at 2:38 pm to
2 things I look for…. Who is the free pick and who is the obvious pick. If both are the same, go the other way consistently and be ahead. 53 percent is great. I took the tigers because no way that line is that low.
Posted by 87PurpleandGold
Arkansas
Member since Sep 2016
490 posts
Posted on 2/5/23 at 2:48 pm to
If da house didn't win, there'd be no house, baw...all about $$$.
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