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redfish99
LSU Fan
B.R.
Member since Aug 2007
15223 posts

re: How did vegas know?
The Ronnie Rantz of the world or poorer than they were before lunch. Those bozos were preaching to sell the farm and load up on Bamers L love when that happens


Tigersonfire
LSU Fan
Pville
Member since Oct 2018
2801 posts

re: How did vegas know?
quote:

It never ceases to amaze me how good vegas is. Anyone who actually watched cbb this year would have made a smart guess that this would have been a 20-25 point loss.


I bought the line down to +10. So I pushed. But Bama only scoring 2 points on free throws the last 7 minutes of the game and the guy that was raining threes all game suddenly air balls three in a row………I mean it’s not hard to see how Vegas knew. Bama gets the win Vegas and whom ever gets paid. It’s really very obvious once you wrap your mind around it.


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40
S
Texas Southern Fan
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
146496 posts

re: How did vegas know?
Rantards tripping out over “Vegas” is always good fun


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LSUFreek
LSU Fan
Greater New Orleans
Member since Jan 2007
13709 posts

re: How did vegas know?
quote:

It never ceases to amaze me how good vegas is.


I'm constantly amazed. I say this same thing all the time.

However, I recently started thinking "How much is it just me cherry-picking games to notice close betting odds results?" What is Vegas' real prediction percentage? How many blowouts have I switched channels on that Vegas predicted a 2.5 margin and I didn't bother t notice how off Vegas was?


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dalmond
LSU Fan
Houston
Member since Aug 2008
153 posts

re: How did vegas know?
Alabama players were point shaving. This is not hard to understand


Tigersonfire
LSU Fan
Pville
Member since Oct 2018
2801 posts

re: How did vegas know?
quote:

Alabama players were point shaving. This is not hard to understand


No no no you’re wrong. Bama not scoring from the floor for almost 7 minutes and suddenly air balling all threes was just LSU’s great defense.
This post was edited on 2/4 at 10:55 pm


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LSUDad
LSU Fan
Still on the move
Member since May 2004
56215 posts

re: How did vegas know?
Win with the Tigers and football this year. Also Joe Burrow and the Bengals hit for me most of the season when I bet. The Vikings also.
Vandy win total this year was an easy one.


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R11
LSU Fan
Member since Aug 2017
2885 posts

re: How did vegas know?
Line was 10 vs mizzu

Lost by 10


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rds dc
Colorado Fan
Member since Jun 2008
18895 posts

re: How did vegas know?
Refs? Lsu was shot 31 FTs vs Bama 15? Bama got almost not calls when driving to the basket in the 2nd half. Other than that, Vegas figured Bama would be coasting and just take the easy win vs. going all out for the beatdown?


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USA
Member since 2001
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Penrod
LSU Fan
Member since Jan 2011
32139 posts
 Online 

re: How did vegas know?
They don’t know. I have a SIL who is always saying the same thing, and then I start pointing out how often Vegas is way off. Example: What was the line on the first Bama - LSU game?


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EZE Tiger Fan
Member since Jul 2004
46711 posts

re: How did vegas know?
LOL. Amazing, isn't it?


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LSUGrad9295
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
31509 posts

re: How did vegas know?
quote:

I’ve realized how fricking strange it is Vegas is always right on the money. It’s amazing


Well, not "always" right on the money, but they are close a hell of a lot more times than not.


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DallasTiger45
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Member since May 2012
7730 posts

re: How did vegas know?
quote:

The folks in vegas, citing zero stats or advanced metrics, thought it would be 30 points closer than the previous game vs bama, and they were right.


Wut lol

KenPom, which is the most notable publicly available site with advanced metrics, had the spread close to Vegas. I think 13 vs 11.5. It’s tough for even the great teams to win consistently by double digits on the road in conference play

Bammer was a 14 point favorite last time lsu played and won by 40. Did Vegas not know on that one?


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joseywales1
Member since Apr 2021
17 posts
 Online 

re: How did vegas know?
what I've learned about betting games is if it looks like a cinch bet the other way. Joe Public is going to be wrong more times than not.


Tigers4Lyfe
Member since Nov 2010
3265 posts

re: How did vegas know?
It was no hunch, I guarantee you that.


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MrWalkingMan
LSU Fan
31st Parallel North
Member since Aug 2010
4957 posts

re: How did vegas know?
If a line seems to stink, dive into that motherfricker


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GeauxtigersMs36
LSU Fan
The coast
Member since Jan 2018
6013 posts

re: How did vegas know?
2 things I look for…. Who is the free pick and who is the obvious pick. If both are the same, go the other way consistently and be ahead. 53 percent is great. I took the tigers because no way that line is that low.


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87PurpleandGold
LSU Fan
Arkansas
Member since Sep 2016
322 posts

re: How did vegas know?
If da house didn't win, there'd be no house, baw...all about $$$.


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