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re: Have a Betting Line at 8.5 games… Where would 4 losses be?

Posted on 7/16/21 at 6:19 am to
Posted by LSUBY3
UNITED STATES
Member since Aug 2007
98 posts
Posted on 7/16/21 at 6:19 am to
I took the tigers already over 8.5 games.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
39109 posts
Posted on 7/16/21 at 6:53 am to
Before last season, if I told you they would go 5-5 could you have picked 5 losses?

It's easy to pick 4 this season. Alabama and A&M are easy; we are underdogs in those. Then Florida, Ole Miss, Ms State, UCLA are all possibilities.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
39109 posts
Posted on 7/16/21 at 7:10 am to
quote:

Yeah, and we average 5 losses if you take out 2016, 2017, 2018 and 2019.
Posted by Copernicus
South FL
Member since Sep 2017
786 posts
Posted on 7/16/21 at 7:32 am to
We SHOULD be over and closer to 10. Bama, A&M (will be grown up by game 12), Ole Miss (sleeper) will be the biggest challenges.

UF and Aub will be down this year. UCLA (possible game 1 issues) and @Kentucky are a couple other sneaky games.

A lot would have to go wrong for us to not get to 9 wins. O’s seat will be hot if it doesn’t happen.
Posted by SOL2
Dallas burbs
Member since Jan 2020
4745 posts
Posted on 7/16/21 at 8:45 am to
A&M is supposed to be a top 5 team
Posted by St Jean The Baptiste
Laredo, TX
Member since Aug 2015
5828 posts
Posted on 7/16/21 at 10:32 am to
AUB
FLA
Bama
A&M
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6--Brazos River Backwater
Member since Sep 2015
26125 posts
Posted on 7/16/21 at 12:00 pm to
Florida has Dan Mullen and they always are a factor when they play LSU--even in down years.
Posted by PUB
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
18113 posts
Posted on 7/16/21 at 12:02 pm to
Including 2019, average of > 3 losses/year under Orgeron ...
Posted by St Jean The Baptiste
Laredo, TX
Member since Aug 2015
5828 posts
Posted on 7/16/21 at 12:24 pm to
quote:


Florida has Dan Mullen and they always are a factor when they play LSU--even in down years.


2003, 2012 and 2018 all back up your point.

The LSU-FLA game has never been one in which you can circle as a win.

Maybe in 2011, but even then I was never 100 percent sure.
Posted by BigTiger80
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2012
1178 posts
Posted on 7/16/21 at 12:26 pm to
There's no reason this team doesn't go at least 10-2.
Posted by mmcgrath
Indianapolis
Member since Feb 2010
35365 posts
Posted on 7/16/21 at 4:20 pm to
quote:

Before last season, if I told you they would go 5-5 could you have picked 5 losses?
A lot had to go into that. If whatever happened to Stingly the night before the first game doesn't happen, we probably win 2 more games. And we had zero depth going into the season because of an unheard number of players opting out / leaving early for the NFL. To lose your best player the night before the 1st game (even when he came back he wasn't 100% for a while) and your starting QB gets hurt in the 3rd game, that was enough to kill the season.

This year we have more depth and more seasoned players.
Posted by Double Oh
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2008
17750 posts
Posted on 7/16/21 at 5:32 pm to
Give me the Under
Posted by Purple Tiger King
Member since Jan 2021
2016 posts
Posted on 7/16/21 at 5:56 pm to
That's a can't lose bet.
Posted by cyarrr
Prairieville
Member since Jun 2017
3324 posts
Posted on 7/16/21 at 9:57 pm to
quote:

Including 2019, average of > 3 losses/year under Orgeron


14 losses over 5 seasons = 2.8 per year
Posted by LSUsuperfresh
Member since Oct 2010
8329 posts
Posted on 7/17/21 at 8:18 am to
If you don't think losing to UCLA, Auburn, Arkansas, Kentucky, or Miss St is even a possibility, next year could be a surprise for you. I hope it's not nor do I think it will be, but it's 100% a possibility
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