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ESPN's FPI has LSU favored to win every game except Alabama with a win proj of 10.2
Posted on 7/7/19 at 5:30 pm
Posted on 7/7/19 at 5:30 pm
They're drinking the kool aid:
vs. GASO 96.7%
@ TEX 74.4%
vs. NWST 99.8%
@ VAN 84.0%
vs. USU 97.9%
vs. FLA 70.3%
@ MSST 65.3%
vs. AUB 71.8%
@ ALA 25.2%
@ MISS 82.7%
vs. ARK 94.2%
vs. TA&M 73.4%
Obviously these odds change throughout the season. The FPI didn't give us favorable odds in over half of our games last year, but these odds are on par for the start of 2016 when we returned a lot of veteran leadership.
I'm drinking the kool aid. I thought we'd go 8-5 a year ago and we went 10-3. 10-2 or better regular season should be the expectation barring injuries. We have a lot of talent all over the field.
vs. GASO 96.7%
@ TEX 74.4%
vs. NWST 99.8%
@ VAN 84.0%
vs. USU 97.9%
vs. FLA 70.3%
@ MSST 65.3%
vs. AUB 71.8%
@ ALA 25.2%
@ MISS 82.7%
vs. ARK 94.2%
vs. TA&M 73.4%
Obviously these odds change throughout the season. The FPI didn't give us favorable odds in over half of our games last year, but these odds are on par for the start of 2016 when we returned a lot of veteran leadership.
I'm drinking the kool aid. I thought we'd go 8-5 a year ago and we went 10-3. 10-2 or better regular season should be the expectation barring injuries. We have a lot of talent all over the field.
27
Posted on 7/7/19 at 5:33 pm to schwartzy
I agree with all of those %’s except vs Florida and @MSU
The FL game is always a battle and I think it’ll be a harder game to win than @ MSU
The FL game is always a battle and I think it’ll be a harder game to win than @ MSU
Posted on 7/7/19 at 5:33 pm to schwartzy
They are giving a higher % chance in the Texas, Auburn and aTm game than I would have guessed. And a lower % in the MSU game than I expected.
Not surprising to see LSU favored in every game except for Bama though.
Not surprising to see LSU favored in every game except for Bama though.
Posted on 7/7/19 at 5:39 pm to schwartzy
I have no issue with that, I think we should be favored against all teams on our schedule outside Bama all things considered.
Will the offense make the leap we all hope with the young buck from the Saints changing things up? IMHO that's the key to the whole thing.
Geaux Tigers!!
Will the offense make the leap we all hope with the young buck from the Saints changing things up? IMHO that's the key to the whole thing.
Geaux Tigers!!
Posted on 7/7/19 at 5:49 pm to Tiger Ugly
Been saying 11-1 for a while.
Posted on 7/7/19 at 5:51 pm to schwartzy
Nothing left to do but beat who we're supposed to beat. We'll be sitting pretty.
Posted on 7/7/19 at 5:51 pm to schwartzy
Yep, 11-1 as many are predicting and expecting. This is the year to get it done.
Posted on 7/7/19 at 5:51 pm to schwartzy
11-1 is the floor. If not, this staff has been outcoached in the games they are favored.
Posted on 7/7/19 at 5:54 pm to schwartzy
2nd hardest game is against Miss St without their three first round draft picks on defense? Uh no.
Posted on 7/7/19 at 6:06 pm to schwartzy
74% to win at Texas is a bit high imo
Posted on 7/7/19 at 6:16 pm to schwartzy
Says 9.5 wins when I look at it.
Posted on 7/7/19 at 6:20 pm to schwartzy
70.3% vs Florida? How, Mullen owns Orgeron.
Posted on 7/7/19 at 6:20 pm to schwartzy
FPI had us goin 6-6 last year losing almost every big game
Posted on 7/7/19 at 6:22 pm to Hold That Tiger 10
quote:
Texas, Auburn and aTm game than I would have guessed
All three lost a lot from 2018. LSU was in that boat a year ago.
Posted on 7/7/19 at 6:26 pm to schwartzy
And it isn’t even close. @MSU next closest game at 65%.
I’ve been saying this should be an 11-1 team all offseason but I’m supposedly just an unrealistic hater setting the bar too high because I want O to fail.
GFY CheeriOflakes.
Burrow taking this team to the CFP
I’ve been saying this should be an 11-1 team all offseason but I’m supposedly just an unrealistic hater setting the bar too high because I want O to fail.
GFY CheeriOflakes.
Burrow taking this team to the CFP
This post was edited on 7/7/19 at 6:30 pm
Posted on 7/7/19 at 6:27 pm to tigerwith3
quote:If you have a 66% chance to win 3 different games, odds are that you will lose one of them. Winning all 3 is beating the odds.
11-1 is the floor. If not, this staff has been outcoached in the games they are favored
Posted on 7/7/19 at 6:28 pm to tigerwith3
quote:
11-1 is the floor. If not, this staff has been outcoached in the games they are favored
Yep. 11-1 or bust... Looking back at 2018, we should've finished 11-1. We got outcoached against Florida and A&M. I know some will cry about the officiating in the A&M game, but the game should have been taken out of the ref's hand earlier. We let them hang around.
This post was edited on 7/7/19 at 8:41 pm
Posted on 7/7/19 at 6:28 pm to mmcgrath
The games aren’t played on the same day. They’re each individual events so your excuse style logic doesn’t hold true here.
Posted on 7/7/19 at 6:29 pm to Lsualum2017
quote:
FPI had us goin 6-6 last year losing almost every big game
Yep.
Not a stretch to think we can outperform FPI again. All we have to do is win one more game than their projection.
Posted on 7/7/19 at 6:37 pm to Madking
quote:
The games aren’t played on the same day. They’re each individual events so your excuse style logic doesn’t hold true here.
I do think LSU goes 11-1 and have stated that here already; but, this is some Madmath here.
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