- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
ESPN matchup predictor for the remainder of the season…
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:23 am
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:23 am
has LSU favored for every remaining game of the season with the exception of the Bama game. I’m not reading too much into that, but I do find it interesting.
9
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:25 am to GeauxTigers247
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:33 am to BadaBingBadaBoom
78.9% vs Auburn
59.1% vs Tennessee
73.2% vs Florida
61.7% vs Ole Miss
21.6% vs Bama
72.6% vs Arky
89.8% vs UAB
68.3% vs A&M
59.1% vs Tennessee
73.2% vs Florida
61.7% vs Ole Miss
21.6% vs Bama
72.6% vs Arky
89.8% vs UAB
68.3% vs A&M
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:34 am to GeauxTigers247
Tennessee is currently at 4.5 point favorite over LSU.
Ole Miss would be a "pick em" game right now based upon the current "Vegas power ratings"
Florida would probably open as a 2.5 point favorite over LSU right now.
Arkansas would be a 4 or 5 point favorite right now.
Obviously that all can, and will, change in the future. But it's just a snap shot of how the gambling market sees LSU at the moment.
Ole Miss would be a "pick em" game right now based upon the current "Vegas power ratings"
Florida would probably open as a 2.5 point favorite over LSU right now.
Arkansas would be a 4 or 5 point favorite right now.
Obviously that all can, and will, change in the future. But it's just a snap shot of how the gambling market sees LSU at the moment.
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:39 am to GeauxTigers247
quote:
ESPN matchup predictor
What was the % for lsu to win against FSU?
…74.7%
This post was edited on 9/29/22 at 9:41 am
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:39 am to Alt26
Where are you able to see future lines?
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:44 am to lsufb1912
quote:
What was the % for lsu to win against FSU? …74.7%
Which is why I said that I’m not reading too much into it. I just find it interesting that ESPNs FPI has a team that’s currently unranked going 10-2.
This post was edited on 9/29/22 at 10:11 am
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:46 am to GeauxTigers247
I 100% agree with this
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:48 am to GeauxTigers247
My current LSU/UT line of my own creation is a Pickem, but it could change slightly based upon this weekend’s games.
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:49 am to lsufb1912
quote:
What was the % for lsu to win against FSU?
…74.7%
Had we gone for 2 they would have been 100% correct
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:49 am to Gings5
quote:
Where are you able to see future lines?
LINK
You can switch the weeks to see what Sportsbook/app already has a line out.
edit-some of these might’ve been preseason & no longer available.
FD/DK have LSU-UF around +3.5/+4.5
LSU -2 vs Ole Miss
LSU +17 vs Bama
LSU +2.5 vs Arky
LSU +8 vs A&M
This post was edited on 9/29/22 at 10:02 am
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:49 am to GeauxTigers247
I agree with this.
Bama, Tenn, and Ole Miss are our toughest three games left.
Bama, Tenn, and Ole Miss are our toughest three games left.
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:54 am to GeauxTigers247
quote:
I just find it interesting that ESPNs FPI has a team that’s currently unranked going 11-1.
It doesn’t.
ESPN FPI gives LSU a 0.5% chance of winning out. 4.1% of making CFP. 12.2% win SECW.
Proj W-L is 8.3-3.8.
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:59 am to lsufb1912
quote:
It doesn’t. ESPN FPI gives LSU a 0.5% chance of winning out. 4.1% of making CFP. 12.2% win SECW. Proj W-L is 8.3-3.8.
My bad. I meant 10-2 not 11-1.
The match-up predictor is based off ESPN FPI. So, FPI shows LSU at 10-2 on a game by game basis, but has them finishing with 8 wins on the season? I’d be interested to see how they calculate that.
This post was edited on 9/29/22 at 10:03 am
Posted on 9/29/22 at 10:03 am to GeauxTigers247
Take care of Auburn this week and how we play vs Tenn will be a good indicator of how good this team is. Tenn is the game that I think determines the direction of the team.
This post was edited on 9/29/22 at 12:54 pm
Posted on 9/29/22 at 10:08 am to GeauxTigers247
quote:
Which is why I said that I’m not reading too much into it. I just find it interesting that ESPNs FPI has a team that’s currently unranked going 11-1.
I'm not a statistician but if you are looking at a final record for the entire season I don't think calculating those probabilities leads to 11-1. Happy to be disproven but my gut tells me that leads to an 8 or 9 win season.
Edit: I didn't read the whole thread. I'm seeing others posted numbers roughly supporting my intuition.
This post was edited on 9/29/22 at 10:10 am
Posted on 9/29/22 at 10:13 am to Manswers
quote:
I'm not a statistician but if you are looking at a final record for the entire season I don't think calculating those probabilities leads to 11-1.
Yea, me either. I meant to say 10-2 not 11-1.
Posted on 9/29/22 at 10:17 am to GeauxTigers247
ANY GIVEN SATURDAY
Posted on 9/29/22 at 10:22 am to GeauxTigers247
quote:
The match-up predictor is based off ESPN FPI. So, FPI shows LSU at 10-2 on a game by game basis, but has them finishing with 8 wins on the season? I’d be interested to see how they calculate that.
Pretty simple:
A 75% chance of winning gives you a predicted W-L record of 0.75-0.25. Add all of them up and you'll get a different number than 10-2.
Posted on 9/29/22 at 10:24 am to DrEdgeLSU
quote:
A 75% chance of winning gives you a predicted W-L record of 0.75-0.25. Add all of them up and you'll get a different number than 10-2.
Gotcha. That makes sense. Thank you.
Page 1 of 2
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News