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re: Early LSU/Kentucky Spread is -10.5

Posted on 10/1/26 at 8:11 am to
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
36632 posts
Posted on 10/1/26 at 8:11 am to
I think South Carolina has a last gasp this weekend and beats Kentucky at home. Just looks at what the oddsmakers are telling you. SC is 0-2 in the SEC, just got blasted by Alabama, looks like their team is in shambles, will not play their best pass rusher, has one of the lowest rated QBs (QB rating) in the SEC and is STILL a home favorite.

quote:

The line makes me think it’s high and take the other side but that’s kinda what I thought when I first saw the TAM line.


That's why it is called a "stinky line". The public thinks its way off base and is more likely to bet against the oddsmakers. That often doesn't work. LSU opening as a 10.5 road favorite is the oddsmakers telling you they think LSU is a MUCH better team

The moment I saw LSU open as an 8.5 favorite over A&M was the moment I knew A&M was a doo-doo team. That proved exactly right
This post was edited on 10/1/26 at 8:13 am
Posted by Tiger Ugly
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
19338 posts
Posted on 10/1/26 at 8:17 am to
quote:

honestly, Tigers with Kiffin are peak hyped and injury riddled.


Other teams have injuries too, we just focus on ours.

quote:

Kentucky is playing so well


Are they really?

Injuries considered we're still better and more talented and if we execute a good game plan we should cover. There is a reason the line is what it is.
Posted by FireGoodell
Member since Mar 2019
9325 posts
Posted on 10/1/26 at 8:26 am to
LSU has been dominant this season outside of one bad half vs Ole Miss. I think people are underestimating how good we actually are because of that game.

Kentucky's offense doesn't scare me at all. They only put up 10 points vs Bama and our defense is better. I honestly think we cover the spread and then some.
This post was edited on 10/1/26 at 8:27 am
Posted by 0
Member since Aug 2011
18440 posts
Posted on 10/1/26 at 8:28 am to
The KY - AM game was a complete shite show on the aggies part. They moved the ball well early then turned it over. Had several very bad penalties on 3rd down that kept a scoring driving going, then had 2 coverage busts that led to scores. KY won big but the game spoke more to how poorly aggie played than how good KY looked
Posted by JimTiger72
LA
Member since Jun 2023
20505 posts
Posted on 10/1/26 at 8:30 am to
quote:

Talent ended up showing its head. Depth is a huge part of SEC football. UK doesn’t have it.


Thought they did after turning around & beating A&M after that bama loss… but it appears A&M doesn’t have it either this year
Posted by JimTiger72
LA
Member since Jun 2023
20505 posts
Posted on 10/1/26 at 8:31 am to
quote:

Kentucky is playing so well


Are they really?


They are +3 dogs at South Carolina FYI
Posted by iamandykeim
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2015
4146 posts
Posted on 10/1/26 at 8:46 am to
Vegas seems to really like our team. They'd have us as around a top 5-6 team on a neutral site at the moment. Feels tough to like the value when it comes to betting with LSU right now.
Posted by LSUfan4444
Member since Mar 2004
57531 posts
Posted on 10/1/26 at 9:03 am to
I would wait if you want to play LSU. I don't see any way it will go up between now and early next week unless Ky suffers some significant injuries.

Posted by lsutiger2
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2008
8490 posts
Posted on 10/1/26 at 9:06 am to
how accurate is action network with opening lines this early?
Posted by LSUGrad9295
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
38711 posts
Posted on 10/1/26 at 9:21 am to
quote:

Talent ended up showing its head. Depth is a huge part of SEC football. UK doesn’t have it.


With all of our injuries, we are starting to not have it also.
Posted by Bandits58
Mississippi
Member since Sep 2015
3843 posts
Posted on 10/1/26 at 9:25 am to
Take uk.
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6-- the Brazos River Valley
Member since Sep 2015
33232 posts
Posted on 10/1/26 at 9:49 am to
What are we wearing for this game?
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
36632 posts
Posted on 10/1/26 at 9:54 am to
quote:

What are we wearing for this game?


Don't know. But Kentucky is pumped because they are bringing back their "Power K" helmets for the first time since 1996

Posted by JimTiger72
LA
Member since Jun 2023
20505 posts
Posted on 10/1/26 at 9:57 am to
We should do a throwback too
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