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Posted on 12/2/19 at 9:31 am to geauxdroddz
quote:
but obviously that offense didn't have Burrow.
That was Bo Jurreaux. He's red shirting this year, obviously.
Posted on 12/2/19 at 9:40 am to geauxdroddz
I thought it would be -7, so -6 is probably a pretty reasonable opening line. I suspect it goes up as the week goes on.
A few thoughts:
1. This is UGA's third straight SECCG. In 2017 they avenged a blowout reg season loss to Auburn (40-17) by shutting down AU in Atl. (28-7). In 2018 they had a great Bama team down most of the game. I suspect Vegas thinks the trend will continue and UGA will "show up" with a good performance
2. It is in Georgia. Certainly LSU fans are thrilled to be back in this game after an 8 year absence and will show up in droves. But just like when there is a "neutral" site game in the Superdome, the crowd will be titled to the home state team at least 60-40, if not more.
3. You could argue this is the best defense LSU will have faced all season and that even against A&M the Aggies were able to get some pressure on Joe. If A&M could do it, then they think UGA can as well.
4. Despite two recent inspired performances, most probably think the LSU defense is still suspect. Particularly against teams who can run the ball. UGA is a solid (though maybe not spectacular) running team with a QB who is probably still good enough to threaten teams through the air.
A few thoughts:
1. This is UGA's third straight SECCG. In 2017 they avenged a blowout reg season loss to Auburn (40-17) by shutting down AU in Atl. (28-7). In 2018 they had a great Bama team down most of the game. I suspect Vegas thinks the trend will continue and UGA will "show up" with a good performance
2. It is in Georgia. Certainly LSU fans are thrilled to be back in this game after an 8 year absence and will show up in droves. But just like when there is a "neutral" site game in the Superdome, the crowd will be titled to the home state team at least 60-40, if not more.
3. You could argue this is the best defense LSU will have faced all season and that even against A&M the Aggies were able to get some pressure on Joe. If A&M could do it, then they think UGA can as well.
4. Despite two recent inspired performances, most probably think the LSU defense is still suspect. Particularly against teams who can run the ball. UGA is a solid (though maybe not spectacular) running team with a QB who is probably still good enough to threaten teams through the air.
Posted on 12/2/19 at 9:42 am to GumboPot
Posted on 12/2/19 at 9:45 am to Alt26
Mond threw for almost 300 vs UGA, but A$M couldn't run the ball.
Posted on 12/2/19 at 9:51 am to geauxdroddz
As money flows to LSU, the line will change. I expect it to be in the 9 - 9.5 range near kickoff time.
Posted on 12/2/19 at 9:53 am to geauxdroddz
I think it'll be hard for LSU to play nearly perfect football 2 games in a row. They played so good last week, was an emotional game, etc. Might get off to a slow start vs UGA. Also UGA has a good defense and can run the ball, home game, playing for a playoff spot, etc. They have a lot going for them.
Posted on 12/2/19 at 9:57 am to Jax-Tiger
quote:
Who was LSU's QB in that game, then?
LSU wasn't in that game last year. He's referring to the SEC Championship game not the LSU game.
Posted on 12/2/19 at 9:58 am to geauxdroddz
That line will end at 9-10 before it’s said and done.
Posted on 12/2/19 at 9:59 am to GumboPot
quote:
The way Coaches E and B will counter good DL play is running the ball right at them when the safeties back off in a cover one.
CEH gonna eat
Posted on 12/2/19 at 10:09 am to Mathias5k
quote:
the line opened at -3.5 but was quickly obliterated and moved to -6.5 on most books.
This is not true at all. The line opened at 6 or 7, depending on where you looked. 3.5 was never a thing
Posted on 12/2/19 at 12:45 pm to geauxdroddz
All I have seen is -7.5
Posted on 12/2/19 at 1:11 pm to geauxdroddz
Vegas doesn't know what to think about our D and they are guarding against a big let down.
Can you imagine if they had put aTm +30, now way to balance that bet but it was probably closer to what it should have been than 17.
Same with Ga. Anything more than 10 would cause a huge imbalance. I think they are expecting it to move to around -8
Can you imagine if they had put aTm +30, now way to balance that bet but it was probably closer to what it should have been than 17.
Same with Ga. Anything more than 10 would cause a huge imbalance. I think they are expecting it to move to around -8
This post was edited on 12/2/19 at 1:13 pm
Posted on 12/2/19 at 1:22 pm to geauxdroddz
LSU 54
UGA 13
Anything less than 17 point line if FREE money. Go ahead and spend it, as you have it coming right back.
UGA 13
Anything less than 17 point line if FREE money. Go ahead and spend it, as you have it coming right back.
Posted on 12/2/19 at 1:43 pm to geauxdroddz
LSU was favored by 3 in 2003, won by 21
LSU was favored by 12.5 in 2011, won by 32
LSU was favored by 12.5 in 2011, won by 32
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