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re: Chances of LSU not getting to Omaha?
Posted on 5/13/13 at 8:50 pm to LSULyle00690
Posted on 5/13/13 at 8:50 pm to LSULyle00690
50%
1
Posted on 5/13/13 at 9:31 pm to Broham
100%
Posted on 5/13/13 at 9:33 pm to fightingtigers98
quote:
Message Posted by fightingtigers98 100%
So you're saying LSU has 0 chance of making it to Omaha.
Posted on 5/13/13 at 9:44 pm to safetyman
Little bc this team is hungry for the postseason, they haven't forgotten what happened
Posted on 5/13/13 at 9:48 pm to Ignignot
quote:
Little bc this team is hungry for the postseason, they haven't forgotten what happened
Last year they weren't?
Posted on 5/13/13 at 9:48 pm to LSURussian
quote:
50%
That's my number, too. Even odds, IMO.
I asked you in another thread why you don't feel Vandy will make it.
I know their schedule is weaker than Bama's football one, but is there another reason that you feel like they won't get there?
Posted on 5/13/13 at 9:53 pm to LSULyle00690
I had my buddy crunch the numbers and he's pretty good at what he does. He took the tigers winning % and divided that by the number of sac bunt attempts Laird has minus the number of times he had the sex in high school plus the year he finally started growing hair on his nuts plus potato divided by Chickens most recent post count reset and multiplied all of that by 0 which gave him the number of fux given which equals just win and it doesn't matter.
Posted on 5/13/13 at 9:53 pm to LSULyle00690
Better than average
Posted on 5/13/13 at 9:57 pm to LSULyle00690
I suppose IF they make the field of 64 it would be .015625 in true mathematical odds!
Posted on 5/13/13 at 10:00 pm to LSULyle00690
22/7 or 3.14
Posted on 5/13/13 at 10:09 pm to LSULyle00690
are you implying that lsu will not be attending the cws this year?
Posted on 5/13/13 at 10:15 pm to LSULyle00690
0%
Posted on 5/13/13 at 10:47 pm to lsusportsman2
Tigers WILL be present in Omaha........ 
Posted on 5/13/13 at 10:50 pm to Tiger Paw Paw
50%
Posted on 5/13/13 at 10:58 pm to LSULyle00690
Its baseball and in a short three game series anything can happen. I wouldn't even try to presume odds.
Posted on 5/13/13 at 11:05 pm to LSULyle00690
50%, unweighted
Posted on 5/13/13 at 11:15 pm to LSULyle00690
quote:
Chances of LSU not getting to Omaha?
1 in 4, IMO.
We are likely to play a damn good team in a Super. To think that we are incapable of losing a series is misguided.
Posted on 5/13/13 at 11:20 pm to moneyg
quote:
1 in 4, IMO. We are likely to play a damn good team in a Super. To think that we are incapable of losing a series is misguided.
So I guess you're saying 3 in 4, actually, because it's NOT getting to Omaha.
And, you say there's a 25 percent chance of getting there, right?
I think that's a little low.
Posted on 5/13/13 at 11:35 pm to moneyg
Lets get mathematical.
Since the inception of the current playoff format, there have been 8 national seeds every year for 14 years. Thats 112 teams. Of those, 69 advanced to the CWS. Thats 61.6% of teams that are national seeds going to omaha. I think we can all agree LSU will be a national seed.
If you want to get more specific, and assume LSU finishes the season well with a top 4 national seed, they have roughly a 67.9% of making the CWS if you go by the history of the system....which granted is still young. But I'd say its close, within a 5% margin of error or so.
Since the inception of the current playoff format, there have been 8 national seeds every year for 14 years. Thats 112 teams. Of those, 69 advanced to the CWS. Thats 61.6% of teams that are national seeds going to omaha. I think we can all agree LSU will be a national seed.
If you want to get more specific, and assume LSU finishes the season well with a top 4 national seed, they have roughly a 67.9% of making the CWS if you go by the history of the system....which granted is still young. But I'd say its close, within a 5% margin of error or so.
Posted on 5/13/13 at 11:39 pm to josh336
Fun Facts
Of the 14 #1 overall seeds, 10 of those 14 made Omaha. #2 overall seeds made it 12 of 14 years to Omaha.
2007 and 2010 only saw 3 of the 8 national seeds get to Omaha.
In no year did all national seeds make it to omaha, although in the first year of the system, 1999, 7 of the 8 made it. 2001 is the only other year where 7 of the 8 made it.
Since 2008, 80% of the top 4 national seeds have made it to Omaha.
Skip Bertman was coach of the Tigers for 3 years of this type of format. As good as LSU was, they were a national seed only 1 of those 3 times under him. (Just to put this year in perspective).
Of the 14 #1 overall seeds, 10 of those 14 made Omaha. #2 overall seeds made it 12 of 14 years to Omaha.
2007 and 2010 only saw 3 of the 8 national seeds get to Omaha.
In no year did all national seeds make it to omaha, although in the first year of the system, 1999, 7 of the 8 made it. 2001 is the only other year where 7 of the 8 made it.
Since 2008, 80% of the top 4 national seeds have made it to Omaha.
Skip Bertman was coach of the Tigers for 3 years of this type of format. As good as LSU was, they were a national seed only 1 of those 3 times under him. (Just to put this year in perspective).
This post was edited on 5/13/13 at 11:41 pm
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