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re: Can we as a fan base not recognize that young QB's develop over time?

Posted on 12/11/15 at 11:32 am to
Posted by Salviati
Member since Apr 2006
5640 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 11:32 am to
quote:

So then can you really say that Mett progressed based on 2 years?

Could have just been a bad year
It could have been. Is that your hypothesis?

Mett started for two years at LSU. His second year was much better than his first year. He developed over time. That's my thesis. I supported it with facts.
Posted by southeasttiger113
Member since Aug 2011
2046 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 11:33 am to
quote:

And it happens at LSU too
feel free to post stats then. Aren't you bragging about how much of a stat lover you are? Kinda funny how they suddenly disappear when I point out something specific like "other than Mett, most of our QB's under Miles improvement is sporadic at best, and they're not even average. It's bouncing between awful and mediocre". No stats to dispute that huh?
quote:

What you said was irrational. QBs in the best of programs and under the best of coaches take steps backward. It happens. Not everyone progress upward each year.
It's the rate in which it's happening at LSU. Especially considering that our QB's don't have to improve much to improve. We've got guys going from a 114 to a 138 to a 114 to a 138 QB rating with sporadic TD totals. While you've got guys like:

LINK

LINK

LINK

LINK

LINK

LINK

LINK

LINK

Those are a few of the more recent multi year starting QB's in the SEC at "good" programs like LSU aspires to be off the top of my head. Excluding freshman/sophomore seasons where they had 10 attempts, they ALL improved from year to year. And they all ended up with a QBR over 150 at the end of their careers. Our QB's swim in mediocrity and struggle their asses off all throughout college. Do you not understand that having a 114 QBR isn't really normal? Mettenberger was the only person to break 150 at QBR in recent memory and his stats were barely as good as AJ McCarron's. Is this not a problem to you?
quote:

Do LSU QBs consistently have their worst years as juniors?
They consistently have absolutely terrible full seasons with QBR's of below 150 when they're not freshmen. So no, but who really cares? The point is that LSU quarterbacks consistently have more sub par seasons than any program in the country, and they don't improve noticeably from season to season under Miles
This post was edited on 12/11/15 at 11:34 am
Posted by bencoleman
RIP 7/19
Member since Feb 2009
37887 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 11:40 am to
I can't believe that this is even arguable. You have to jump through hoops and do cartwheels to claim that QBs progress here anywhere near how they progress at other programs. It just doesn't happen.
Posted by Wind Rivers Tiger
Wyoming
Member since Sep 2011
1033 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 12:00 pm to
Sorry, meant to give you an up vote. Down vote was an oops.
Posted by Mo Jeaux
Member since Aug 2008
59424 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 12:25 pm to
quote:

You have to jump through hoops and do cartwheels to claim that QBs progress here anywhere near how they progress at other programs. It just doesn't happen.



That's why I wonder what Salviati's real angle here is. I mean was JJ a better QB in his last year here than he was in his first year here? Yes. I will stipulate that he was. But that question just doesn't really relate to our woeful QB and offensive problems, which are systemic.
Posted by Salviati
Member since Apr 2006
5640 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 12:49 pm to
bencoleman:
quote:

I can't believe that this is even arguable. You have to jump through hoops and do cartwheels to claim that QBs progress here anywhere near how they progress at other programs. It just doesn't happen.


southeasttiger113:
quote:

Aren't you bragging about how much of a stat lover you are? Kinda funny how they suddenly disappear when I point out something specific like "other than Mett, most of our QB's under Miles improvement is sporadic at best, and they're not even average. It's bouncing between awful and mediocre". No stats to dispute that huh?
I love how you use say: "QB's consistently having their worst years as juniors" when you are referring solely to Jefferson, and you say "most of our QB's under Miles" when you really just mean Lee and Jefferson. That's misleading but cute.

These stats use ALL games, not just SEC regular season games.

Lee, Jefferson, and Mettenberger got better from their first year as a starting QB to their last year as a starting QB.

Lee
QB Rating increased 35.11 points from 2008 to 2011
Comp% increased by 9.12% from 2008 to 2011
YPA increased by .86 yards from 2008 to 2011

Jefferson
QB Rating increased by 25.84 points from 2008 to 2011
Comp% increased by 11.68% from 2008 to 2011
YPA increased by 1.63 yards from 2008 to 2011

Mettenberger
QB Rating increased by 43.11 points from 2012 to 2013
Comp% increased by 6.06% from 2012 to 2013
YPA increased by 3.00 yards from 2012 to 2013

Now let's talk about the inconsistency of Lee and Jefferson. You posted the stats of a few QBs in the SEC, not all, not even most, just a few. However, even of the few you posted, the vast majority did not start as freshmen. And that's a factual and statistical problem for your argument. Starting early hampered Lee's and Jefferson's development.

Another problem with your argument is that Lee and Jefferson's coach for their early years was Crowton. He was a terrible QB developer. Miles let him go.

Finally, let's talk about the non-recurring cause of the early development problems for Lee and Jefferson.

For the February 2004 NSD, Saban did not have a QB commit or sign to play for LSU.

For the February 2005 NSD, Saban did not have a QB commit before he left for Miami.

Miles had to scramble to sign Perrilloux to play. When RP signed, there was no 2004 class QB, and he was the only 2005 class QB. In short, Saban fricked LSU before he left. With no peer competition, Perrilloux thought he could do whatever he pleased. Miles was forced to boot him, and THAT is what got LSU started down this road.

Lee and Jefferson and their hampered development are gone. Crowton is gone.

Mettenberger played much better with Cameron's development.

Harris had a near unbroken upward QB Rating trend this year until he was injured in the Alabama game. Nevertheless, Harris's true sophomore, first year starting numbers are better than some of the QB's you listed.

quote:

We've got guys going from a 114 to a 138 to a 114 to a 138 QB rating with sporadic TD totals. While you've got guys like:
This is a joke, right?

You listed two year starters that show the same development as Mett. You also listed QBs that are almost exactly as erratic as Jefferson and Lee in their development.
Posted by southeasttiger113
Member since Aug 2011
2046 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 2:39 pm to
quote:

Lee
QB Rating increased 35.11 points from 2008 to 2011
Comp% increased by 9.12% from 2008 to 2011
YPA increased by .86 yards from 2008 to 2011


No, it didn't. To say that his numbers "increased from 2008 to 2011" is bullshite. His numbers were higher in 2011 than 2008 but they all dropped sharply in 2009 and were around the same in 2010 as 2008. That's not "increasing from 2008 to 2011", it's having a sporadic arse career that ended on a high note.
quote:

Jefferson
QB Rating increased by 25.84 points from 2008 to 2011
Comp% increased by 11.68% from 2008 to 2011
YPA increased by 1.63 yards from 2008 to 2011

Refer to Lee, Jefferson's numbers didn't increase from 2008 to 2011 and your language is misleading and incorrect. His numbers were all over the place throughout his career at LSU and his junior year was just as bad as his freshman year, and his senior year was no better than his sophomore year.
quote:

Starting early hampered Lee's and Jefferson's development.
It's funny because starting early didn't seem to affect Ohio State's QB's last year or Clemson's QB's this year. There are plenty of freshmen who start and go on to have great careers, Lee and Jefferson just had shitty coaching
quote:

Harris had a near unbroken upward QB Rating trend this year until he was injured in the Alabama game
He wasn't injured in the Alabama game. I remember you starting that dumb fricking thread with a bunch of thrown together "evidence" which didn't really indicate anything other than a tweak. A long term or serious injury didn't occur or else he would've been on the bench the next few games. Kinda funny that he got "hurt" and his performance dropped right when we got into the meat of our schedule though right?
quote:

You listed two year starters that show the same development as Mett
There's a difference between going from 150 QBR to 170 QBR and going from a 120 to a 150. It's harder to go from average to great than it is to go from terrible to average. Mettenberger went from bad to above average with Odell Beckham, Jarvis Landry, and Jeremy Hill in his backfield. Mett grossly underachieved at LSU and was really underutilized
quote:

You also listed QBs that are almost exactly as erratic as Jefferson and Lee in their development.
Who specifically? Because literally every quarterback that I listed steadily got better even though they were initially performing at a much higher level than all of LSU's QB's were
This post was edited on 12/11/15 at 2:41 pm
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12137 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 2:48 pm to
Let me see if I can summarize....

2005-2007 we had great QB play when Jimbo Fisher was developing Nick Saban's quarterbacks.
2008-2011 we had shitty QB play when Les Miles's OCs were developing Les Miles's quarterbacks.
2012-13 Mettenberger was the outlier.
2014-15 we had shitty QB play when Les Miles's OC was developing Les Miles's quarterbacks.

??

quote:

Mett grossly underachieved at LSU and was really underutilized


Posted by Festus
With Skillet
Member since Nov 2009
85063 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 2:51 pm to
quote:

QBs do have bad years.


Posted by stephendomalley
alexandria
Member since Dec 2005
5952 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 3:18 pm to
we haven't been developing qb's at lsu for a long time. the graphs can show they "improved" but that doesn't mean they developed.

JJ never developed. he was terrible as a qb. it can be argued that Mett wasn't developed here. no doubt he improved his senior season, but was that due to qb development? at any rate, he was an anomaly at LSU - a decent qb.

Jennings got better, but he hasn't developed. will harris?

point is, under miles leadership, we rarely get to see a qb developed to the point where he can lead the team. they may progress on the charts, but progress does not equal development.
Posted by omegaman66
greenwell springs
Member since Oct 2007
22797 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 3:28 pm to
I believe the main problem at LSU is not so much the coaching up of players as it is perpetually bringing in subpar quarterbacks that aren't utilized properly.
Posted by southeasttiger113
Member since Aug 2011
2046 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 3:52 pm to
Mettenberger wasn't that good in 2012. Not sure why you're acting like what I'm saying is so ridiculous when we've had one year of good QB play in almost 10 years now since Fisher left.

And not sure why you're laughing about the Mettenberger comment, aside from the fact that you're a clueless moron who sucks Miles off every chance you get.

We had:
WR- 2 future rookie NFL starters, one of which is probably the best rookie in the NFL (Beckham) and the other is doing really, really well (Landry)
RB- 1 future NFL starter as a rookie (Hill) who's been absolutely tearing it up
QB- 1 NFL player who competed for the starting job in Tennessee as a rookie who was an absolute perfect fit for LSU's offense
OL- 1 future NFL rookie starter and possibly the best rookie lineman in the NFL (Collins), 1 rookie getting significant NFL playtime and doing very well (Trai Turner), and 2 possibly first round draft picks (Hawkins and Alexander), and let's also include Travis Dickson and JC Copeland who are now on NFL rosters

In case you need me to spell it out, every single starter from our 2013 offense except Porter is now getting NFL playtime in their first 2 years in the league. That's insane

And that unit wasn't even ranked in the top 35 in total offense. You do understand that just because the offense wasn't total shite doesn't mean that they didn't underachieve when you look at the ridiculous amount of talent on that team, right?

Keep loving that Miles mediocrity though, dumbfrick
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12137 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 4:29 pm to
quote:

And that unit wasn't even ranked in the top 35 in total offense. You do understand that just because the offense wasn't total shite doesn't mean that they didn't underachieve when you look at the ridiculous amount of talent on that team, right?


On any given snap, there were only 8 teams in the country that scored more often than LSU and there were only 10 teams in the country that gained more yardage than LSU. They were also the most efficient third-down offense in the entire country.

Only an idiot would say that that offense underachieved.
Posted by southeasttiger113
Member since Aug 2011
2046 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 4:44 pm to
Link? And regardless, they were the most talented offensive unit in 2013 by far. I know that pussy logic like yours means that being barely in the top 10 should be acceptable at LSU but it isn't. Anything less than being the #1 offense in PPP and YPP was underachieving, especially when you look at our insane amount of talent. Congrats on being a spineless moron who's content with mediocrity and wasting top notch NFL talent though
This post was edited on 12/11/15 at 4:55 pm
Posted by FightinTiga
Pumpkin Center
Member since Feb 2009
20745 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 4:49 pm to
Mett was already developed when he arrived,yes he did get better but the point here is this staff has never fully developed a QB
Posted by rotrain
Member since Feb 2013
390 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 4:55 pm to
By last 2 years, you meant 8 out of Miles's 11 years at LSU, right?
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12137 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 4:58 pm to
quote:

I know that pussy logic like yours means that being barely in the top 10 should be acceptable at LSU but it isn't. Anything less than being the #1 offense in PPP and YPP was underachieving, especially when you look at our insane amount of talent.


Alabama has the No. 1 recruiting class in the country on an annual basis. How often have they had the #1 offense in PPP and YPP?
Posted by tigereye58
Member since Jan 2007
2673 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 5:00 pm to
For anyone not to recognize Mett's improvement with his footwork and mechanics from first year starter to second year starter is just absurd. It was clear and obvious. Cam was given credit by Mett for that. Most of our problems that year were on defense. 2 1k yard receivers and hill over 1k rushing. The offense didn't underperform.
Posted by FightinTiga
Pumpkin Center
Member since Feb 2009
20745 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 5:05 pm to
The point is he improved but he already had development elsewhere
Posted by tigerfoot
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
56660 posts
Posted on 12/11/15 at 5:15 pm to
quote:

teams get down to their 3rd string quarterbacks and look more efficient running the offense.
aside from OSU, please tell me a third string QB that has consistently led the team.
quote:

saban still has had his team in the playoffs with first year starters
young QBs? Stay on point please. He tried to do it with Bateman, yet saved his season with Coker. Hmmm.
quote:

look, we can do better period. no reason to continue to make excuses and just accept it
no one wants to do that, but the truth is somewhere between us being great and the worst in the history of offensive football.
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