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Basketball Prediction NCAA, NIT or home?

Posted on 12/17/14 at 7:11 am
Posted by JEAUXBLEAUX
Bayonne, NJ
Member since May 2006
55358 posts
Posted on 12/17/14 at 7:11 am
Looks like bubble NCAA
Posted by aaronb023
TeamBunt CEO
Member since Feb 2005
11774 posts
Posted on 12/17/14 at 7:12 am to
Home is where the heart is
Posted by SouthOfSouth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
43456 posts
Posted on 12/17/14 at 7:21 am to
I still think we make the NCAA. NIT minimum barring horrible injuries.
Posted by Hooligan's Ghost
Member since Jul 2013
5183 posts
Posted on 12/17/14 at 7:21 am to
whatever it is make sure to keep your 2 seven footers on the bench
Posted by CheerWhine
A little bit of Mardi Gras
Member since Apr 2014
72411 posts
Posted on 12/17/14 at 7:33 am to
I'll say NCAA. There aren't a lot of opportunities for big wins in SEC play outside of Kentucky, but if we hold our own and win most of the ones we're supposed to, I think we'll make it.
Posted by 17gbourque
Member since Sep 2014
57 posts
Posted on 12/17/14 at 7:46 am to
NCAA or busts. But we will make it into the PROMISE LAND!
Posted by BigEdLSU
All around the south
Member since Sep 2010
20268 posts
Posted on 12/17/14 at 7:48 am to
Nb4guttatasayinglucky4NIT
Posted by guttata
prairieville
Member since Feb 2006
22504 posts
Posted on 12/17/14 at 8:11 am to
Glad to see there are some people on here who have finally started to listen to me regarding LSU basketball.
Posted by oauron
Birmingham, AL
Member since Sep 2011
14510 posts
Posted on 12/17/14 at 8:24 am to
quote:

Glad to see there are some people on here who have finally started to listen to me regarding LSU basketball.


Not much to listen in the past few days. You've been notably absent. Please stay that way.
Posted by Earn Your Keep
Member since Nov 2013
1417 posts
Posted on 12/17/14 at 8:24 am to
It will be very disappointing if we don't make the NCAA field this year. The SEC is not strong and will not receive any additional consideration for invites. LSU can't afford to give the panel an opportunity to exclude them.

We need to take care of business against the lesser talented teams while having strong showings against the few strong teams. (Kentucky)

Most of our games are televised so we have an opportunity to be recognized. We need to win these four remaining OOC games and get off to a fast start in conference play. I hope we can pack the PMAC and make a few highlights in the national media.
Posted by ZooTiger
Youngsville, LA
Member since May 2013
81 posts
Posted on 12/17/14 at 8:31 am to
I think we have a good shot at making the NCAA. I definitely have more hopes for this squad than any others in recent years.
Posted by top100lsudonor
North Louisiana
Member since Dec 2014
52 posts
Posted on 12/17/14 at 8:31 am to
Really need to make NCAA's this year, SEC will not stay this weak (after first few teams) forever and if we stay healthy should be no less. Also be great to make it with momentum coming in next year. Know we are never going to be UK of basketball but lets get back to where the weaker schools in conf stay below us every year.
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
28245 posts
Posted on 12/17/14 at 9:20 am to
As of TODAY this looks like an NIT team to me. However, there is still plenty of time and opportunity for that to change as LSU has yet to get into the heart of their schedule.

I just don't see a team that does enough of the little things consistently well for them to have a ton of consistency in SEC play. LSU certainly has as much talent (if not more) than anyone in the SEC not named UK or UF. Yet, it seems that in each game thus far (except UMass) LSU has failed to execute in some aspect that keeps their opponent (regardless of how good they are) in the game. One night it's turnovers, the next poor outside shooting, effort on the glass, effort/execution on the defensive side of the ball, poor situation awareness (like attacking the basket for a tough layup with 28 seconds on the shot clock and less than 2:00 minutes on the game when up 8-10 points) etc.

Posted by PiscesTiger
Concrete, WA
Member since Feb 2004
53696 posts
Posted on 12/17/14 at 9:31 am to
quote:

The SEC is not strong and will not receive any additional consideration for invites.


And this might be why the committee only takes 4 of the 14. WIll LSU be one of them? I say 50/50.

As an avid LSU basketball supporter for the last 25-27 years, disappointment has become the theme and par for the course. Starting with the '86 team coming down with Chicken Pox after a 13-0 start (that would all work out just fine thanks to the PMAC ); losing Tito Horford before the second game in '87; Nikita Wilson's academic eligibility; John Williams's early exit; Stanley Roberts, Harold Boudreaux, and Mo Williamson having to Prop 48 in '88-89; a wave of '88-'92 players leaving too early; The Randy Livingston knee situation; Dale Brown escalating the '92 SECt game with UT and Shaq and Carlus Groves -- costing Shaq the next day; Lester Earl fiasco; losing Lamont Roland to injury in early '01; Big baby and Tyrus playing basically intoxicated in Indianapolis in '06; John Brady coaching horrible BIG games in the tourney; Trent Johnson; only having Randolph for 1 year; players in recent years transferring -- you could do a Billy Joel "We Didn't Start the Fire" song with all this.

All that historical fluff said, this team looks to be as strong as a 7 NCAA seed and as weak as a travelling NIT team.
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
28245 posts
Posted on 12/17/14 at 9:48 am to
As an avid LSU basketball supporter for the last 25-27 years, disappointment has become the theme and par for the course. Starting with the '86 team coming down with Chicken Pox after a 13-0 start (that would all work out just fine thanks to the PMAC ); losing Tito Horford before the second game in '87; Nikita Wilson's academic eligibility; John Williams's early exit; Stanley Roberts, Harold Boudreaux, and Mo Williamson having to Prop 48 in '88-89; a wave of '88-'92 players leaving too early; The Randy Livingston
quote:

knee situation; Dale Brown escalating the '92 SECt game with UT and Shaq and Carlus Groves -- costing Shaq the next day; Lester Earl fiasco; losing Lamont Roland to injury in early '01; Big baby and Tyrus playing basically intoxicated in Indianapolis in '06; John Brady coaching horrible BIG games in the tourney; Trent Johnson; only having Randolph for 1 year; players in recent years transferring -- you could do a Billy Joel "We Didn't Start the Fire" song with all this.


shite, I thought I was negative. Despite all that you listed, only Florida and Kentucky have won the SEC more than LSU since 1986. LSU is still only second to UK in most ever SEC championships, and the only team with double digit titles (11) outside of UK. Also since '86 an LSU player has won the conference POY more times than any other SEC school including UK.

There have absolutely been some disappointing years with loaded rosters, bad breaks, etc., but things haven't been THAT bad. The problem is that the last 5 years have been the worst stretch of LSU basketball since the mid/late 90's probation years. Even under Brady, LSU rarely went more than 2-3 years without making the NCAAT.
Posted by Jay Quest
Once removed from Massachusetts
Member since Nov 2009
9800 posts
Posted on 12/17/14 at 9:57 am to
From what I've seen thus far I'll say this is a solid NIT team. They will really need to step it up in conference play if an NCAA bid is in the future.

The SEC being weak is a mixed blessing. Could translate to more wins but also to less teams garnering an NCAA invite.
Posted by SouthOfSouth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
43456 posts
Posted on 12/17/14 at 9:58 am to
LINK

playoffstatus.com currently has LSU at 73% probability of making the NCAA field.
This post was edited on 12/17/14 at 10:05 am
Posted by oauron
Birmingham, AL
Member since Sep 2011
14510 posts
Posted on 12/17/14 at 10:03 am to
Your link is broken for me.
Posted by SouthOfSouth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
43456 posts
Posted on 12/17/14 at 10:05 am to
Should be better. I love this site. Been using it for years.
Posted by CheerWhine
A little bit of Mardi Gras
Member since Apr 2014
72411 posts
Posted on 12/17/14 at 10:09 am to
Good stuff, although the win out/lose out columns are pretty much useless right now

But yeah, if we take care of business and win the games we're supposed to in the SEC, we should make the NCAA. People tend to forget that other bubble teams will have bad losses, too.
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