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Adam4848 Baseball Preview Feb. 9th (RP)

Posted on 2/1/09 at 9:25 am
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18943 posts
Posted on 2/1/09 at 9:25 am
Ok guys, looks like I'll be doing this for another year. Before I start the information passed on here is purely opinionated and is meant to get information out to those who don't have to opportunity to follow the baseball team everyday along with those who closely follow the baseball program. I'm still waiting to hear back from Chcken on the blog, but for now this will have to do. Enjoy

The schedule set for the next week.



Shortstop
DJ LeMahieu (So.) *
Austin Nola (Fr.)
Chris MeGhee (Sr.)
Every once in a while you stumble upon a kid, one who seems to work their way in between the college game and pro ball. The one scouts know will be great in time, but need time to polish. LeMahieu the top player in the state of Michigan as a senior in decided to attend LSU instead of signing a pro contract with the Detroit Tigers for an upwards up $250,000. So far he has reaped the benefits and is projected to be a first or second rounder in the upcoming draft. The way DJ is built at 6-4’ he can range over to balls no other college shortstops can even dream of reaching. His bat work which was displayed showed he could hit for power to the opposite side of the field if he had to. In most likely hood he will be gone after this year, however another powerful shortstop with the name Austin Nola will take the reins. If LeMahieu can reproduce what he did last year while limiting his early season errors LSU will not only have the best middle infield in the SEC, but in the entire nation.

Grade: A


Third Base
Derek Helenihi (Sr.) *
Austin Nola (Fr.)
Wet Delatte (Fr.)
While it may be tough to replace the arm strength and leadership abilities Michael Hollander possessed, Helenihi has a chance to do things that surpass last year’s stats. After searching for a starting position in the beginning of the 08 season, Helenihi was given a chance the first Sunday series and never looked back. Getting off to a hot start, Derek switched in and out of positions before landing a spot in RF where he had one of the strongest arms at a position not familiar to an average infielder. What a season can change as Helenihi is back to his natural side of the infield where he showed incredible glove work and touch fielding ground balls. No body’s for sure what the slump toward the end of the season had on his mental aspect, but Helenihi says he’s more ready about the start of this season than he ever has been in his entire career. Backing him up looks to be done by a mixture of youth including names such as Austin Nola and Wet Delatte. Nola a High School All-American has a major league body with plenty of room to fill out coaches say.

Grade: B-


Second Base
Ryan Schimpf (Jr.) *
Tyler Hanover (Fr.)
Chris MeGhee (Sr.)
Standing at 5’8, Ryan Schimpf, may not look like your ordinary powers number type of guy. However if you watch closely there’s really not anything this kid can’t do from the left hand side of the plate. After leading the Tiger’s in triples last season and finishing third on the team in HR’s you’d think he would stop there. However, Schimpf also is one of the primary threats on the base paths has the green light nine times out of ten in pretty much any situation. What makes Schimpf the vital asset to the team is how fancy he can eat up ground balls in the hole and throw across his body in a matter of split seconds. He did not record his first error of the entire season last year until midway in conference play while playing up the middle of the infield. Tyler Hanover a coveted infielder from the heart of North Carolina was a steal in my book. The likely hood two years ago that he would get away from the Tar Heels and the MLB draft lead me to believe he’s going to be special after he learns the ropes and becomes Schimpf’s heir once he passes on the torch. I essentially believe that the competition Hanover puts on Schimpf everyday at practice will in turn make both players better at this respected position and if Hanover is not able to see time at second base Mainieri will make room for him someplace else.

Grade: B+


First Base
Sean Ochinko (Jr.) *
Matt Gaudet (Sr.)
Beau Didier (Fr.)
Unlike in years past Ochinko has garnered himself a starting position according to third year head coach Paul Mainieri. Known for his elusive glove work and strong leadership qualities Mainieri hopes Ochinko will be a mainstay in the 2009 campaign. With a talented mix of youth and college experience brought in to replenish older players in 07, Ochinko found himself caught in the mix. However, Sean has the upper body strength of a true power hitter that can drive the ball 400ft to opposite field at anytime. The thing that has plagued Ochinko’s progress throughout his career at LSU has been the inability to hit right handed pitching consistently. Look for Ochinko to bat anywhere from the four hole in the lineup all the way down to seven. Matt Gaudet, whom I believe will serve backup to Ochinko is a JUCO transfer from the epic 07 class that sat for the latter half of the season in 08 due to an injury he received on his lower back. While Gaudet and Ochinko have the capacity to both hit 10+ HR’s in 09 both need to take advantage of pitch counts vs. right handed pitching in order to draw fastballs instead of the low and away curve or change which for right handed power hitters can be feast or famine. Again based on the play from the Catcher position Beau Didier may serve a role at first base in mop up duty.

Grade: C+


Catcher
Micah Gibbs (So.) *
Grant Dozar (Fr.)
Beau Didier (Fr.)
Kevin Farnsworth (Jr.)

One year off, another year gold. That of which best describes Gibbs freshman campaign in which he lead LSU along with 3 everyday freshmen to college baseballs ultimate pinnacle, Omaha. Maybe it’s the cannon of an arm or the switch hitting capabilities that make players of his caliber so rare. In 35 stolen base attempts by opposing teams last year only 17 reached base safely, a number that jumps off the charts according to scouts. Throw in full confidence by head coach Paul Mainieri and you come up with this. “Micah Gibbs, after his junior year in two seasons, will be a solid first or second round pick”. With the departure of Matt Clark in the everyday lineup Gibbs is going to be counted on power wise to help drive in runs in either the four or five hole. One thing about this kid is that he has line drive capabilities from both sides of the plate. With Ochinko expected to start at first base, Grant Dozar a talented and athletic infielder in high school will serve some time as backup. I believe, Beau Didier, the heralded prep player out of Washington (WA) will switch in an out at Catcher along with certain infield positions including first base.

Grade: A-
This post was edited on 2/10/09 at 5:46 pm
Posted by LSUGrad9295
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
33456 posts
Posted on 2/1/09 at 9:27 am to
quote:

Beau Didier


I thought this was the Cajun version of Bo Diddly...

Good stuff...look forward to reading more...good luck getting the blog!
Posted by LSURulzSEC
Lake Charles via Oakdale
Member since Aug 2004
77298 posts
Posted on 2/1/09 at 9:29 am to
Posted by ProjectP2294
South St. Louis city
Member since May 2007
70129 posts
Posted on 2/1/09 at 9:30 am to
I didn't know they were moving Dozar to catcher, that's interesting. I guess Dishon won't be working any at catcher anymore, unless something drastic happens.
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18943 posts
Posted on 2/1/09 at 9:32 am to
Dozar was getting some reps at Catcher in the fall not that he would immedaitely be the backup. I think if worst came to worst Ochinko would move back to Catcher and someone would fill in at 1B if something happened to Gibbs.

Relief Pitching
Louis Coleman (Sr.)
Paul Bertuccini (Jr.)
Jordan Nicholson (So.)
Ben Alsup (So.)
Ryan Byrd (Sr.)
Matty Ott (Fr.)
Randy Zeigler (Fr.)
Shane Reidie (Fr.)
Spencer Matthews (Fr.)
What a difference a year can make, from goat to hero defines Louis Coleman’s career at LSU. Recruited by then Turtle Thomas and Smoke Laval, Coleman was a highly touted prospect from the state of Mississippi. Selected in the 28th round by the Braves and the opportunity to play for a championship at LSU made his choice fairly easy to attend college. After having an up and down freshman season Coleman struggled to do anything as a sophomore. Finally after rigorous work on his mechanics with then Pitching Coach, Terry Rooney, Coleman delivered in a unique and different arm slot than by normal right handed side winders. What happened over the 08 season could be predicted by nobody and is still thought to be a major catalyst to LSU’s magical run. Coleman will start the first game of the season before handing the keys to Ranaudo, Ross, and Bradshaw hoping to lock the door on opponents in the closer role. Paul Bertuccini a RS Jr. from the New Orleans suburbs also had a stellar 08 season and expects to serve the same role of coming in an inning or two in tight situations to get others out of jams. Nicholson and Alsup two tall and lanky RHP’s got work early last season before giving way to more experienced pitchers during SEC. The key to LSU’s bullpen is if these two Ruston natives can eat up innings any way they can to turn it over to Bertuccini, Coleman, and even Ott. Ryan Byrd who had his best season as a sophomore is a lefty with an exceptional changeup and will be counted on to provided leadership and get outs in key situations vs. tough left handed batters. Matty Ott is the most impressive freshman pitcher in my book this year along with Matulis, his delivery is so fluid and his off speed pitches will help get outs in SEC play. Randy Zeigler, the kid originally committed to FSU has made quite the impression at the plate, however if he doesn’t end up in the batter’s box he will do just fine at his natural position, LHP. Shane Reidie a tall and imposing figure on the mound can run his fastball into the low 90’s although he may be the rawest hurler on the roster. A redshirt would do this kid wonders for the future, however he could pitch this year if called upon. Spencer Matthews the walk-on will lend depth to the Tigers bullpen.

Grade: B-


Starting Pitching
Anthony Ranaudo (So.) *
Austin Ross (So.) *
Daniel Bradshaw (So.) *
Nolan Cain (Sr.) or Chris Matulis (Fr.)
While LSU lost 4 pitchers who started in 08 they do bring back a trio of talented sophomores spearheaded by Anthony Ranaudo the tall and imposing pitcher let alone along with his fastballs that has scouts flocking to Baton Rouge. Ranaudo an 11th round pick by the Rangers in 07 opted to attended LSU with advice by Mainieri and then LSU pitching coach Terry Rooney that he could be turned into a 1st round pick three years later. After having arm soreness and missing the first 6 weeks of his freshman campaign Anthony started his season on a good note and finished where he started logging 13 innings without giving up an earned run. Through fall ball he’s run his fastball up the 96 mph. Austin Ross nicknamed mister reliable gives you confidence every time he steps on the mound that he’ll throw strikes and limit walks. Bradshaw although going through a rough spot in early spring of last year Mainieri removed him from the closer role and his confidence skyrocketed. Hopefully Ross and Bradshaw can build a study 2-3 punch behind Ranaudo. A new and leaner Nolan Cain will likely share duties in the starting role with Chris Matulis 6’6 LHP who is a heralded freshman who was 10-0 with a 0.31 era in his senior season. If these five players can reach their full potential it could be yet another exciting season ending in Omaha. If not the bullpen will be used to full extent every SEC weekend and it will show at the end of the regular season.

Grade: C


Designated Hitter
Matt Gaudet (Sr.) *
Mikie Mahtook (Fr.)
Beau Didier (Fr.)
The position where only thing this is expected of you, driving in runs. A year removed from back problems a new and improved Matt Gaudet will see time at DH for the Tigers. The powerful right handed stick will need to somewhat compensate for Clark’s power loss in order for LSU to have a productive offense. What he lacks in speed he gains in power and if his back stays healthy all year Matt could easily hit for 15+ HR’s and 50+ RBI’s. Again if Dean loses the OF spot and is switched over, he will play DH which in turn would mean Gaudet losing his spot. Like Ochinko, Gaudet will need to get ahead of counts and be a smart hitter in order to be successful for the duration of the season. Again, I only expect Gaudet or Dean to share the DH role unless the young bats of Didier, Hanover, Mahtook, or Nola get hot. If Gaudet can keep his strikeouts down and draw walks while getting his share of singles and doubles he can help protect Dean and Gibbs in the five or six hole.

Grade: B


Outfield
Blake Dean (Jr.) *
Leon Landry (So.) *
Jared Mitchell (Jr.) *
Chad Jones (So.)
Mikie Mahtook (Fr.)
Johnny Dishon (So.)
LSU’s is poised to have a strong outfield cotangent lead by speed, speed , and well you guessed it, power. If things go according to plan Dean will play a corner outfield position freeing up a spot at the DH role. If and when he switches to DH three young players will be vying for that one spot whom include Jones, Mahtook, and Dishon. So far reports from practice have been that Chad Jones is a totally different player of a year ago and that he may get a chance to start some. Will this translate into significant innings this season is yet to be determined. Mitchell and Landry alone make up the fastest outfield in the nation and if both can hit over .280-.300 consistently and draw walks I would expect 40 bases stolen between the two of them. Their role is simple this year, get on base and distract the pitcher, once that is accomplished big guys like Dean, Gibbs, Ochinko, and Gaudet can drive them in. When talking about Dean one can only imagine that this was a LHP who came to LSU on a scholarship to pitch and only after breaking his arm got a shot to bat. The rest is history and this year may be his last in the new Alex Box stadium as he looks to be signing a nice bonus if his numbers remain constant. Mikie Mahtook a very talented two way sport athlete from St. Thomas Moore (Laf.) is one of the strongest kids pound per pound on the team as a freshman. Look for Mahtook to work his way into late game situations as the coaches won’t be able to keep this kid off the field.

Grade: A
This post was edited on 2/9/09 at 2:54 pm
Posted by TIGER62
METAIRIE, LA
Member since Aug 2005
2219 posts
Posted on 2/1/09 at 9:43 am to
keep the reports going
Posted by loustuni
Member since Jul 2008
4160 posts
Posted on 2/1/09 at 9:51 am to
Yeah keep it coming!!
Posted by Tiger n Chains
Houston, TX
Member since Aug 2006
2141 posts
Posted on 2/1/09 at 10:37 am to
quote:

Adam4848

Thank you!
Posted by ProjectP2294
South St. Louis city
Member since May 2007
70129 posts
Posted on 2/1/09 at 10:47 am to
With us having 5 games most weeks now, due to the compressed schedule, do you see Gibbs getting much, if any time at DH this season? I think it would help to rest his legs and keep his offensive production up later in the season.
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18943 posts
Posted on 2/1/09 at 10:52 am to
They are def. going to need to find a solid backup. As I remember early on in the season last year Gibbs caught what it seemed like once every 3 to 4 games giving Ochinko a rest before he took over for the year.

I'm guessing if Mainieri doesn't feel Didier or Dozar are quite ready Ochinko will switch back over for a game or two while giving someone else a shot at 1B. You bring up a great point though, hopefully spring practices give Mainieri and Sanchez more of a feel at this position.
Posted by bringonusc
Owasso, OK
Member since Aug 2007
3767 posts
Posted on 2/1/09 at 10:57 am to
quote:

Adam4848
Posted by Ryan3232
Valet driver for TD staff
Member since Dec 2008
25790 posts
Posted on 2/1/09 at 11:04 am to
quote:

Adam4848

I wish you were my brother.

Posted by Pilot Tiger
North Carolina
Member since Nov 2005
73142 posts
Posted on 2/1/09 at 11:43 am to
quote:

In 35 stolen base attempts by opposing teams last year only 17 reached base safely
I don't think that is accurate. I believe 35 reached base safely and 17 were thrown out. So he threw out 17 out of 52 attempts.

If you were correct then LSU would have thrown out 29 of 64 attemps and that is not right. LSU threw out 29 of 93 attempts.
Posted by ProjectP2294
South St. Louis city
Member since May 2007
70129 posts
Posted on 2/1/09 at 11:52 am to
quote:

I don't think that is accurate. I believe 35 reached base safely and 17 were thrown out. So he threw out 17 out of 52 attempts.


Scroll down to def. stats

sba - 35 , csb - 17
Posted by Pilot Tiger
North Carolina
Member since Nov 2005
73142 posts
Posted on 2/1/09 at 11:57 am to
i know. I saw that. For the totals it says 64 and 29 that would mean that we threw out 29 out of 64 using your logic. That's not right. We threw out 29 out of 93.


ETA: scroll up to the hitting stats and look at stolen bases. Our opponents stole 64 bases out of 93 attempts

And conversely it says LSU 95 attempts and 25 times caught. That is not right either if you're looking at the def stats. LSU stole 95 bases out of 120 attempts.

It has the correct SBA% however, runners are successful roughly 67% of the time on Gibbs which is reflected in what I said about him throwing out 17/52. 17/35 is unreal
This post was edited on 2/1/09 at 12:07 pm
Posted by ProjectP2294
South St. Louis city
Member since May 2007
70129 posts
Posted on 2/1/09 at 12:07 pm to
yeah, its listed on offensive stats as "Opponents 64-93"

I read SBA wrong, it's stolen bases achieved not stolen bases attempted. He threw out about 33% of runners attempting to steal though.
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18943 posts
Posted on 2/1/09 at 2:29 pm to
Yeah sorry about the major confusion there.
This post was edited on 2/1/09 at 2:31 pm
Posted by bosoxjo13
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
3249 posts
Posted on 2/1/09 at 2:38 pm to
great reporting. can't wait for this season to start
Posted by TIGERFANZZ
THE Death Valley
Member since Nov 2007
4057 posts
Posted on 2/1/09 at 2:41 pm to
Thanks. Great preview, looking forward to the rest!

G E A U X T I G E R S!!!
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
18943 posts
Posted on 2/2/09 at 2:50 pm to
First Base
Sean Ochinko (Jr.) *
Matt Gaudet (Sr.)
Beau Didier (Fr.)
Unlike in years past Ochinko has garnered himself a starting position according to third year head coach Paul Mainieri. Known for his elusive glove work and strong leadership qualities Mainieri hopes Ochinko will be a mainstay in the 2009 campaign. With a talented mix of youth and college experience brought in to replenish older players in 07, Ochinko found himself caught in the mix. However, Sean has the upper body strength of a true power hitter that can drive the ball 400ft to opposite field at anytime. The thing that has plagued Ochinko’s progress throughout his career at LSU has been the inability to hit right handed pitching consistently. Look for Ochinko to bat anywhere from the four hole in the lineup all the way down to seven. Matt Gaudet, whom I believe will serve backup to Ochinko is a JUCO transfer from the epic 07 class that sat for the latter half of the season in 08 due to an injury he received on his lower back. While Gaudet and Ochinko have the capacity to both hit 10+ HR’s in 09 both need to take advantage of pitch counts vs. right handed pitching in order to draw fastballs instead of the low and away curve or change which for right handed power hitters can be feast or famine. Again based on the play from the Catcher position Beau Didier may serve a role at first base in mop up duty.

Grade: C+
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