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re: 55% of bets and 82% of total money is on Miami

Posted on 8/27/18 at 4:51 pm to
Posted by Sev09
Nantucket
Member since Feb 2011
15801 posts
Posted on 8/27/18 at 4:51 pm to
quote:

Vegas doesn't love or hate any team.


Look, I know how this stuff works, so stop.

I meant they're going to love the tigers, because they're gonna RAKE those "losing" bets after a Tiger victory.
Posted by JPLSU1981
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2005
28328 posts
Posted on 8/27/18 at 4:59 pm to
I think there’s money to be made when one team is overvalued by the general public and one team is undervalued by the general public.

Miami is not a Top10 team. Probably Top20, but not Top10.

LSU is a top20 team. Maybe even Top15.

We’ll see what happens, but LSU getting points in this particular game in Dallas appears to me to be easy money.
Posted by vince vega
New Orleans
Member since Feb 2014
825 posts
Posted on 8/27/18 at 5:18 pm to
quote:

It actually looks like the general public is betting on LSU. I agree they are generally stupid, but I don’t think so in this case. Geaux Tigers!



so, the general public is generally dumb, but in this instance, they're smart, ok, lol, got it

bruh, you are the general public, if you know what i mean
Posted by atltiger6487
Member since May 2011
19792 posts
Posted on 8/27/18 at 5:38 pm to
quote:

MANY times one side is bet much more than the other side. Smaller books will sometimes lay off on that when the risk is too high for them. Typically the larger books won't.
youre making my point for me. Of course some games are off balance. But books don't TRY for that - they try for 50-50.

And the fact that larger books can handle uneven games is because their risk is more spread out among a larger number of bettors and money on other games. A larger pool smooths out the overall risk.
This post was edited on 8/27/18 at 5:39 pm
Posted by oleheat
Sportsman's Paradise
Member since Mar 2007
14553 posts
Posted on 8/27/18 at 5:46 pm to
Gotta love Vegas. Releasing lines on the entire season- every game- in July.

Getcha some, suckas. lol
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
60798 posts
Posted on 8/27/18 at 6:45 pm to
quote:

youre making my point for me. Of course some games are off balance. But books don't TRY for that - they try for 50-50.


Your point is simply an old cliche that sounds like it makes sense, but if you really think about it, it would make no business sense at all. If they succeeded in getting 50% of bets on each side, they would only make $1 for every $20 bet. How could you possibly cover all your other expenses? See you are thinking only about the bets but what about the overhead? They have to pay the staff, pay for the lines, pay the lights, pay taxes and other expenses. You think they are covering that on just juice? What about other bets? Parlays, teasers, futures etc. Of course if they are too exposed in 1 direction they may move the line to balance things out but that’s not the same as trying to get 50-50.
This post was edited on 8/27/18 at 6:47 pm
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
82003 posts
Posted on 8/28/18 at 12:28 pm to
Id say anyone who has paid attention to where the money goes on games the last few years knows that there are usually a few games each weekend where they will stand pat on a number even when 75% of the money is on the opposite side. They absolutely take stances on games when they see the opportunity to make larger sums of money
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