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re: Caleb Williams
Posted on 3/31/20 at 8:58 pm to NattyTiger19
Posted on 3/31/20 at 8:58 pm to NattyTiger19
I agree with you about Nuss' film being more impressive than Williams at this point. I think Williams has the potential to be great, but I really like Nuss. He feels like the safer bet to be a good player in college because of his completion percentage and feel for the game as a coaches kid.
Posted on 3/31/20 at 9:50 pm to NattyTiger19
quote:
Go watch Williams' junior highlight video, then watch Nussmeier's junior highlight video, and it is obvious Nussmeier is the better QB.
Nussmeiers highlight video is very impressive, more so than Williams, but it is just a highlight video. People who do this for a living and who have seen much more of them than just highlight videos seem to think Williams is on a whole higher level than Nuss. I'm not going to base my opinion just based off a highlight video.
quote:
If Williams is actually better than Nussmeier, it isn't apparent from watching their respective junior highlight videos. Nonetheless, that's what I'm going by because that's all I have to go buy.
but you do have more to base your opinion on than just the highlight videos, you also have the recruit services, such as 247 and the composite, who both have Williams rated higher. Maybe take both the highlight videos and the recruit services into account to help form your opinion.
Posted on 4/1/20 at 4:31 am to TexasTiger88
I think it’s going to take more than 1 season to start reeling in these top QBs imo. I’m glad they are starting to eyeball LSU atleast now but it’ll take a few seasons to start consistently reeling these guys in
Posted on 4/1/20 at 4:42 am to boxcar willie
quote:
I'm not going to base my opinion just based off a highlight video.
I didn't base my opinion just based on their highlight videos. I also read an article on 247 Sports this past January that said that Caleb Williams passed for 19 touchdowns, scored another 18 touchdowns via the run, and had only a slightly below 56 percent completion rate in his 8 & 3 junior season.
Meanwhile, Nussmeier threw for 38 touchdowns with a 67 percent completion rate in his 11 & 2 junior season.
Moreover, unlike you, I don't discount highlight videos cause those are videos under live action. Thus, they clearly indicate how a prospect reacts under various game situations.
And what I observed from watching both prospects highlight videos is that when under intense pressure, Caleb Williams is more than likely to take off running the ball rather than scrambling and passing the ball. Which is why approximately 75 percent of his highlight video consists of him running the ball.
Nussmeier, in similar situations, on the other hand, looked very poised and very much like Joe Burrow does to me in that he would scramble inside the pocket or outside the pocket and with his eyes down the field and then pass his way out of trouble.
Plus, Nussmeier's off-platform throws on the run and when under pressure, looked to me to be more accurate relative to William's similar throws. As Nussmeier has a far better pocket presence relative to Williams, in my humble opinion. I mean when you watch each prospect's respective highlight videos, Nussmeier appears to me to be the much more polished QB out of the two of them.
Now, on the other hand, Williams is the better runner between the two of them. However, LSU needs a QB who can get the ball out to the playmakers in space. A QB who would take off running the ball every time he felt pressure like Jalen Hurts would be okay for a team like the Oklahoma Sooners but at the same time, would be very self-defeating for a team like LSU with their new high-octane offense. Not to mention that Williams isn't going to be able to run the ball all the time in college football as he did in high school because the overall quality of the athletes and the quality of the coaching in college football are exponentially far better.
You can't see any of that when QBs are throwing at prospect camps or when playing in 7 on 7 competitions because all of those throws are not made under any kind of duress or pressure.
Now knowing that the most important aspect for most good QB coaches when evaluating talented QB prospects is passing accuracy, I also assess Nussmeier to be a significantly more accurate passer relative to Williams as well and as indicated by each prospect's respective statistics at the same time.
Furthermore, in interviews when Nussmeier is asked what the LSU coaching staff is telling him, he says they are telling him that he reminds them a lot of Joe Burrow. Which is what I see also when I watch him as well.
Now let me end this post by saying that I'm not averse to accepting Williams' commitment should he commit to LSU. As the ideal situation would be for both of them to commit to LSU in this recruiting class. However, that said, I think LSU has a very uphill battle on their hands for Williams. As ever since Brock Vandagriff de-committed from Oklahoma and then committed to UGA instead, Williams has been publicly stating that Oklahoma has always been his dream school.
Hence, it sort of looks to me like he always wanted to go to Oklahoma but was going to settle for LSU cause Vandagriff was already committed to Oklahoma and all of that changed for him once Vandagriff de-committed from Oklahoma and then committed to UGA.
This post was edited on 4/1/20 at 5:03 am
Posted on 4/1/20 at 5:01 am to NattyTiger19
Either one or both works for me.
Posted on 4/1/20 at 10:59 am to Nickelwindow
No one knows that Williams is better than Nuss . Only time will tell . Rankings don’t mean shite when moving to the next level (especially the SEC). The only statement I can say is that Nuss probably faced tougher competition in high school than Williams . Other than that is anyone’s guess . Both will be good wherever they land .
Posted on 4/1/20 at 11:28 am to TexasTiger88
Give me Nussmeier. Williams can go to OU. I want guys who want to be at LSU.
Posted on 4/1/20 at 2:01 pm to TexasTiger88
(no message)
This post was edited on 4/1/20 at 2:04 pm
Posted on 4/1/20 at 2:22 pm to Joe Edwards
Everyone is saying that Nuss is amazing and his film is better than Williams. How come the scouts and people on the recruiting sites think there are 6 better pro style prospects than Nuss? FWIW I think Nuss is a monster and I think the recruiting sites are underrating him, why I have no clue. According to 24/7 composite he’s the 7th best pro style and the 12th overall qb.
Posted on 4/1/20 at 2:42 pm to TexasTiger88
quote:
Everyone is saying that Nuss is amazing and his film is better than Williams. How come the scouts and people on the recruiting sites think there are 6 better pro style prospects than Nuss?
Because they have seen more of them than just highlight videos so they have a whole lot more to go on than most the posters on this board who only know the highlight videos and a few stats.
quote:
FWIW I think Nuss is a monster and I think the recruiting sites are underrating him, why I have no clue. According to 24/7 composite he’s the 7th best pro style and the 12th overall qb.
wouldn't be surprised if Nuss moved up in the rankings either. His highlights look way better than someone who is the 12th ranked HS QB.
Posted on 4/1/20 at 10:08 pm to NattyTiger19
WOW! Man on a mission.
Posted on 4/1/20 at 10:14 pm to BayouCowboy
You people are thinking of a second coming of Joe Burrow it’s not going to happen in your life time . Joe Burrow was the Michael Jorden of collage football for one year it’s over .
Ness is not Joe, Joe is history .
Ness is not Joe, Joe is history .
Posted on 4/2/20 at 5:50 am to boxcar willie
quote:
Because they have seen more of them than just highlight videos so they have a whole lot more to go on than most the posters on this board who only know the highlight videos and a few stats.
That's just flat out ludicrous. As highlight videos show the prospects in actual live game action and conditions and as such reveals far more about a respective prospect's strengths and weaknesses than any other measures. I mean, there just isn't anything better than live game actions when it comes to evaluating respective prospects. Indeed, what are you smoking?
I mean throwing in camps when prospects are not under any live game conditions doesn't reveal anything about the prospects other than some prospects throw far better under camp situations than they throw under live game conditions. As that kind of information is next to worthless. Give me a freaking break.
The same goes for throwing in 7 on 7 competitions. As some prospects are astronomically far better in 7 on 7 conditions than they are under live game conditions. Big freaking deal. Who cares?
Meanwhile, under live game conditions, which you can see only from highlight videos, you can see it all. You can see their footwork, there throwing motions from the pocket and from outside the pocket, you can see if they are capable of reading defenses or not, you can see how or if they go through their progressions. As some of them do, but more of them don't do it or don't do it adequately. You can see how elusive they are in the pocket and how elusive they are outside the pocket, you can evaluate their overall pocket presence. You can see their off-platform throws inside the pocket and outside the pocket, you can see how they react to pressure, you can see how accurate they are under live game conditions, and you can see if they are capable runners or not capable runners.
As for how players perform under live game conditions is the ultimate way to evaluate prospects because that's all that matters. As it provides the most pertinent information regarding how good or bad respective prospects are likely to be. As you can see what are the prospects' strengths and what are their weaknesses.
Meanwhile, you can't assess any of that valuable information from observing QBs throwing at camps or in 7 on 7 competitions.
You made a point when you responded to me, but you made a point that confirmed you are utterly clueless. Congratulations.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 10:30 am to NattyTiger19
Guess what Stars matter.. saying stars don’t matter is one of the most overused sayings that really isn’t true at all
Posted on 4/4/20 at 10:38 am to Purple N Gold Blood
Obviously Nussmeier plays against good competition in TX. But Williams has played against pretty tough competition, too, including DeMatha & St John's (MD)...the DC-area Catholic league is a major talent pipeline...Don Bosco (NJ), and a couple of nationally known programs in FL.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 12:15 pm to twindavinci
quote:
Guess what Stars matter
According to your logic, if we only chased stars, two of the most most impactful players in the history of LSU football would have never been here (Burrow and Mathieu). This coaching staff has proven they know what they are looking for in a player. If he has stars by his name, so be it. It’s not the most important thing though.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 12:19 pm to GeauxLSU4
They still were both 4 stars
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:38 pm to twindavinci
They do, you're right. To stargazers like you.
Nonetheless, to some of us that have followed recruiting for a long time, we take star ratings with a great big grain of salt. Meaning that more times than not whenever I watch a prospect's video I do agree with their assigned star rating. However, sometimes I don't agree with them.
For instance, when I watched Jordan Jefferson's high school highlight video, personally I saw a four-star prospect. However, he was rated by Rivals as a two-star, by 247 as the lowest 3-star possible, and ESPN didn't even bother to give him a rating. I didn't agree with them then, and I still don't agree with them today. Nonetheless, I was obviously correct, as Justin Jefferson is going to be a first-round draft pick.
The same thing with Racey McMath. When I heard LSU was going to offer him, I didn't know anything about him. Then when I looked up his star rating, initially I was quite disappointed cause he was only a mid-three-star player.
Nonetheless, that all changed for me as soon as I watched his highlight video. As all I saw was a definitive four-star level prospect. In fact, I still believe he will be an NFL player after this final season.
The same with Caleb Williams, when I watch his highlight video, I see someone who is a very good runner but also someone who is a very raw QB. Not to mention that his stats indicate the kind of QB he is as well.
Now when I watch Garrett Nusmeier's video, on the other hand, I see a QB who is far more polished than Williams. As everything he does is very good, his footwork, his elusiveness inside and outside the pocket, his throws from inside and outside of the pocket, his off-platform throws inside and outside the pocket, and the way he keeps his eyes down the field and gets himself out of jams by throwing the ball to his open receivers. Moreover, his stats also indicate that he is a more polished QB relative to Williams. Indeed, you can really see that he is a very well-coached prospect and I assume that coaching comes from his former NFL QB father.
Yet, for some reason, Williams is ranked higher than Nussmeier. Nonetheless, I trust my own eyes more than I trust Williams' star rankings. As in my opinion, he is very overrated and over ranked relative to Nussmeier, who is just a much better QB all around relative to Williams.
Nonetheless, to some of us that have followed recruiting for a long time, we take star ratings with a great big grain of salt. Meaning that more times than not whenever I watch a prospect's video I do agree with their assigned star rating. However, sometimes I don't agree with them.
For instance, when I watched Jordan Jefferson's high school highlight video, personally I saw a four-star prospect. However, he was rated by Rivals as a two-star, by 247 as the lowest 3-star possible, and ESPN didn't even bother to give him a rating. I didn't agree with them then, and I still don't agree with them today. Nonetheless, I was obviously correct, as Justin Jefferson is going to be a first-round draft pick.
The same thing with Racey McMath. When I heard LSU was going to offer him, I didn't know anything about him. Then when I looked up his star rating, initially I was quite disappointed cause he was only a mid-three-star player.
Nonetheless, that all changed for me as soon as I watched his highlight video. As all I saw was a definitive four-star level prospect. In fact, I still believe he will be an NFL player after this final season.
The same with Caleb Williams, when I watch his highlight video, I see someone who is a very good runner but also someone who is a very raw QB. Not to mention that his stats indicate the kind of QB he is as well.
Now when I watch Garrett Nusmeier's video, on the other hand, I see a QB who is far more polished than Williams. As everything he does is very good, his footwork, his elusiveness inside and outside the pocket, his throws from inside and outside of the pocket, his off-platform throws inside and outside the pocket, and the way he keeps his eyes down the field and gets himself out of jams by throwing the ball to his open receivers. Moreover, his stats also indicate that he is a more polished QB relative to Williams. Indeed, you can really see that he is a very well-coached prospect and I assume that coaching comes from his former NFL QB father.
Yet, for some reason, Williams is ranked higher than Nussmeier. Nonetheless, I trust my own eyes more than I trust Williams' star rankings. As in my opinion, he is very overrated and over ranked relative to Nussmeier, who is just a much better QB all around relative to Williams.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:46 pm to twindavinci
quote:
They still were both 4 stars
Coaches never look at recruiting services' rankings. In fact, they couldn't care less. As they have been trained to become expert evaluators of talent.
Are the recruiting services always correct? If they were always reliable, the coaches wouldn't even bother to evaluate players. They would just recruit the players according to the star ratings put out by the recruiting services and the fact that they don't do that, tells us a lot about their star ratings and rankings.
Are the recruiting services always right? The answer is no. Are the recruiting services always wrong? The answer again is no.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 2:42 pm to twindavinci
My point is, we wouldn't have even bothered offering if stars were all that matter. Tyrann was a 3* when we offered. Tre White, Jacob Hester, Duke Riley, Debo Jones, Lloyd Cushenberry and many more were the same. Coaches will always trust their evaluation over the services. Most of the time, they match up. Sometimes, they don't. It can't be the only thing that matters.
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