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Message
So what are the chances the water goes over the levees in BR/LSU?
Posted on 5/10/11 at 11:23 am
Posted on 5/10/11 at 11:23 am
This is with Morganza open.
3
Posted on 5/10/11 at 11:24 am to Krewe Of Tigers 0307
0.000000000000000000016%
Posted on 5/10/11 at 11:28 am to mylsuhat
i hope 0.000000000000000000000000%
Posted on 5/10/11 at 11:29 am to jmcamz2899
Sadly anytime a levee system is stressed this much there is always some chance of catastrophe.
Posted on 5/10/11 at 11:37 am to Krewe Of Tigers 0307
Even with the Morganza closed, it's not supposed to top the levees here (at least that's what I was told by someone from the Ponchatrain Levee Board).
At this point (not counting any possible rain) it's going to get about 6ft from topping the levee downtown, 10ft at the campus.
The problem isn't topping the levee, the problem is possible levee breaks. The pressure this will put on the levees and any weakness exaccerbated by the seepage is another story though.
At this point (not counting any possible rain) it's going to get about 6ft from topping the levee downtown, 10ft at the campus.
The problem isn't topping the levee, the problem is possible levee breaks. The pressure this will put on the levees and any weakness exaccerbated by the seepage is another story though.
Posted on 5/10/11 at 11:47 am to Krewe Of Tigers 0307
Will not top, but the main concern is the water will crest on the 23rd and remain at that level for a week or more if not longer. Thats a long time and constant pressure on the levees.
This is the Mississippi River drainage system. All the oxbow lakes, floodways up north, and various other water holding areas will flow back down the mississippi eventually
This is the Mississippi River drainage system. All the oxbow lakes, floodways up north, and various other water holding areas will flow back down the mississippi eventually
Posted on 5/10/11 at 11:55 am to Mudminnow
Posted on 5/10/11 at 11:55 am to Bard
quote:
10ft at the campus
Its pretty much there now
Posted on 5/10/11 at 11:59 am to Tiger Ryno
Posted on 5/10/11 at 12:02 pm to Bard
quote:
Even with the Morganza closed, it's not supposed to top the levees here (at least that's what I was told by someone from the Ponchatrain Levee Board).
A lot of conflicting information:
Problems 3 Miles South of Baton Rouge, including LSU, if Morganza not opened
Posted on 5/10/11 at 12:03 pm to spslayto
In my defense, he had a gun so I was forced to believe him 
Posted on 5/10/11 at 12:04 pm to Bard
quote:
In my defense, he had a gun so I was forced to believe him
Not taking a shot. I really don't know what to believe. I guess we'll have to trust the Corps on this.
Posted on 5/10/11 at 12:43 pm to spslayto
I cannot imagine the state would allow flood waters anywhere near LSU. They have to much money invested in the LSU area with research, buildings, critical state infrastructure.
You have to believe that if an imminent failure of the levees in the LSU area occurred that the State would breach the levees elsewhere to keep water away from LSU.
Posted on 5/10/11 at 1:05 pm to Tiger Ryno
Posted on 5/10/11 at 1:10 pm to ItTakesAThief
quote:
I cannot imagine the state would allow flood waters anywhere near LSU. They have to much money invested in the LSU area with research, buildings, critical state infrastructure.
You have to believe that if an imminent failure of the levees in the LSU area occurred that the State would breach the levees elsewhere to keep water away from LSU.
If there were a place where the impact would be barely felt, sure. The problem is that a lot of the area long both sides of the Mississippi are decently populated and there is such a wide-ranging are of lower lands that any breach would end up effecting lots and lots of people because of the sheer amount and depth of water.
Posted on 5/10/11 at 1:12 pm to Bard
quote:
If there were a place where the impact would be barely felt, sure
They would be forced to find a place.
Of course, someone would lose big time.
But the University is one of the biggest economic drivers for the state. There is no way they could allow it to be flooded.
Posted on 5/10/11 at 1:22 pm to ItTakesAThief
quote:
But the University is one of the biggest economic drivers for the state. There is no way they could allow it to be flooded.
You're probably right. I'm just glad I'm not the guy that has to make that call.
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