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re: Looks like the magic 1.5 million cfs point at red river guage

Posted on 5/13/11 at 9:50 am to
Posted by AlxTgr
Kyre Banorg
Member since Oct 2003
84446 posts
Posted on 5/13/11 at 9:50 am to
Corps may open Morganza Floodway

quote:

NEW ORLEANS, LA – The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers may open the Morganza Floodway, located in Pointe Coupee, LA, as a result of rising river stages and flow rates. The trigger to operate the floodway is when river flows reach a level of 1.5 million cubic feet per second at Red River Landing and are projected to continue rising.
As of 7 a.m. today, the flow at Red River Landing was 1.45 million cfs, and is projected to reach 1.5 million cfs over the weekend. Given current flow rate predictions, which are subject to change, the Corps is anticipating opening the floodway to allow for up to 150,000 cfs of water to pass through the structure at peak flow.
The Corps is monitoring weather conditions and river conditions to determine if operation of the structures is necessary to ensure the safety of the Mississippi River and Tributaries system and the adjacent populated areas.
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17936 posts
Posted on 5/13/11 at 9:55 am to
And it's more complicated than that. The initial opening would be a weir equation.
Posted by bayoudude
Member since Dec 2007
25553 posts
Posted on 5/13/11 at 10:16 am to
So we are looking at something more like this then..

Qweir = Cd*b*(g)^(1/2)*H^(3/2)

Where H is the blockage height to which the upstream flow is backed up above the weir elevation and b is the crest width and Cd is a dimensionless experimentally determined weir discharge coefficient that varies with the weir geometry, reynolds number and weber number.
Posted by Quidam65
Q Continuum
Member since Jun 2010
20469 posts
Posted on 5/13/11 at 10:21 am to
This reminds me of a joke I heard several years ago.

In a physics class, as part of a homework assignment the professor gave a baseball problem -- given the speed of a pitch (assumed to be a fastball), the speed of the bat, the angle of trajectory off the bat, and the dimensions of the field, would the batted ball result in a home run?

The next day the professor asked if anyone had any questions. A Middle Eastern student asked about the baseball problem, whereupon the professor took 15 minutes to explain all the components.

The professor asked if that answered his question, the Middle Eastern student said no.

"Then what do you need explained further?"

"What is a home run?"
Posted by xenon16
Metry Brah
Member since Sep 2008
3575 posts
Posted on 5/13/11 at 10:21 am to
quote:

And why did you use a C for velocity?


What do you think C represents in the relativity equation?

The corp has said NOLA is in trouble if Morg is not opened to 300k cfs LINK
Posted by Rocketvapor
Covington
Member since May 2011
42 posts
Posted on 5/13/11 at 11:09 am to
I hope the flooding of LMRV doesn't really depend on equations with more unknown than known variables. Even with flow rate "natural noise" I think the introduction of "smart noise" into the flow rate past and through the ORCS can be extracted to see the impact downstream as levels rise.
Timing changes in the diversion flow so that these can be measured downstream would seem to me to give a more accurate way of predicting necessary future actions as levels rise. The flow/depth at very high levels seems to be the missing factors in performing "calculation based" predictions. Lateral and longitudinal profile seems to be overly complex to "calculate" ultmate peak flow and duraton.
Over my head for sure.
This post was edited on 5/13/11 at 11:10 am
Posted by bayoudude
Member since Dec 2007
25553 posts
Posted on 5/13/11 at 11:17 am to
quote:

Over my head for sure.


I can get the basics but my job is to make things float and not control the rivers they float within
Posted by lctiger
Member since Oct 2003
3382 posts
Posted on 5/13/11 at 11:21 am to
actually may surpass 1.5 million today. Latest reading is 1.49 mil cfs at red river. Hope they are greasing up the equipment.
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17936 posts
Posted on 5/13/11 at 11:27 am to
quote:

What do you think C represents in the relativity equation?

Is this sarcasm? The C is a Constant. In this case, it just happense to represent velocity.... In hydraulic equations, velocity is simply v. C represents various coefficients, such as the runoff coefficient in the Rational Method: Q=CiA.

quote:

The corp has said NOLA is in trouble if Morg is not opened to 300k cfs LINK

Yeah, this is based on the worst-case scenario maps someone posted in one of the other threads.
Posted by xenon16
Metry Brah
Member since Sep 2008
3575 posts
Posted on 5/13/11 at 11:34 am to
quote:

Is this sarcasm


Yes, it was prolly the reason C was velocity on wik

This whole 25+ ft of water in my house is starting to freak me out a little
Posted by Rocketvapor
Covington
Member since May 2011
42 posts
Posted on 5/13/11 at 11:41 am to
The slope of the flow rate curve at BR seems to be leveling off. Is this for real?
LINK
Posted by Big McLargeHuge
Member since Jun 2008
634 posts
Posted on 5/13/11 at 11:51 am to
Yes it is. Here's my non expert opinion. All that water got really backed up and caused the levels to rise quickly. The river has been flowing very fast around here lately and the levels are high upstream. The elevation difference is causing the river to speed up and get to the gulf quicker, slowing the rate of rise.

Could be pure bs, but it makes sense to me.
Posted by Rocketvapor
Covington
Member since May 2011
42 posts
Posted on 5/13/11 at 11:54 am to
maybe "C" isn't constant :)
Posted by paulie
NOLA
Member since Dec 2007
675 posts
Posted on 5/13/11 at 12:01 pm to
Could be related to opening the Bonnet Carre too. Less overall pressure drop since some flow is being diverted to the Lake. I'm sure there are a bunch of variables but the Bonnet Carre is one of them. Water level has dropped a bit at NOLA too.
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