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Started By
Message
NYT Early Vote Analysis
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:03 am
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:03 am
NYT
This is the first place where I have seen all states benchmarked against 2020.
Early voting is way down vs. 2020. This bodes quite well for MAGA.
Also, the states that break down early voting in person vs. mail in show a significant difference, skewed towards in person voting. This also favors MAGA.
Unfortunately there isn't a graph showing this, but the mail in requests for Democrats also dropped precipitously vs. 2020. Republican requests also appear to be down.
All decent news for OMB.
This is the first place where I have seen all states benchmarked against 2020.
Early voting is way down vs. 2020. This bodes quite well for MAGA.
Also, the states that break down early voting in person vs. mail in show a significant difference, skewed towards in person voting. This also favors MAGA.
Unfortunately there isn't a graph showing this, but the mail in requests for Democrats also dropped precipitously vs. 2020. Republican requests also appear to be down.
All decent news for OMB.
7
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:04 am to fjlee90
Can't get behind the paywall.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:04 am to fjlee90
quote:
Early voting is way down vs. 2020.
It was never up in 2020.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:06 am to GeneralLee
quote:
Can't get behind the paywall.
You can make a free account and it's available. I only have this for the once every 4 years I use their election tracker.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:09 am to GumboPot
Yeah, 2020. Fauci created a virus in a Wuhan lab so they could have everyone wear mask and social distance themselves. The perfect environment for massive fraud. These evil bastards killed a couple of my co workers and millions of others so they could get control back from Donald Trump
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:09 am to fjlee90
If you want to know how positive early voting is for Trump you just need to look at California.
In 2020 Democrats were 50.9% of all early voting with Republicans at 24.4%. In 2024 that is Dem - 48.6% and GOP - 29.8%.
As for the percentage of ballots returned relative to requests.
2020 Dem - 60.5%
2024 Dem - 33.1%
2020 GOP - 55.3%
2024 GOP - 37.4%
So far Democrats have returned 2,731,867 fewer ballots than 2020. Republicans have only returned 850,169.
There isn't a chance in hell Trump, or any statewide Republican, wins CA but the enthusiasm gap is there and hopefully will keep some Republican Congressman in office.
In 2020 Democrats were 50.9% of all early voting with Republicans at 24.4%. In 2024 that is Dem - 48.6% and GOP - 29.8%.
As for the percentage of ballots returned relative to requests.
2020 Dem - 60.5%
2024 Dem - 33.1%
2020 GOP - 55.3%
2024 GOP - 37.4%
So far Democrats have returned 2,731,867 fewer ballots than 2020. Republicans have only returned 850,169.
There isn't a chance in hell Trump, or any statewide Republican, wins CA but the enthusiasm gap is there and hopefully will keep some Republican Congressman in office.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:11 am to fjlee90
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:13 am to fjlee90
How do yall bypass the popup that is trying to make be sign up for that shitrag?
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:13 am to fjlee90
I'm curious to see how they're going to handle tonight.
Their needles were the MVP of the 2016 election, and then in 2020 they were all showing Trump over 80% (even though they weirdly didn't have needles for all swing states). I literally popped champagne based on the needles. Then they took the needles down and shite went haywire.
I can't imagine they will have needles for all swing states tonight given what the Democrat SOS's have said leading into the election.
Their needles were the MVP of the 2016 election, and then in 2020 they were all showing Trump over 80% (even though they weirdly didn't have needles for all swing states). I literally popped champagne based on the needles. Then they took the needles down and shite went haywire.
I can't imagine they will have needles for all swing states tonight given what the Democrat SOS's have said leading into the election.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:15 am to fjlee90
That should terrify he left, they are not getting the "votes" from 2020.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:27 am to MelGibsonPatriotGif
quote:
MelGibsonPatriotGif
This is the only reason I made the thread if I am being truthful.
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