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Message
re: Florida ballot returns by party - Live Tracking
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:11 am to Jimmy Montrose
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:11 am to Jimmy Montrose
Election Day voting patterns numbers following historic norms exactly, Republicans gaining votes at the same rate they always have in the past.
Trump could win Florida by 12-14% if rates hold up??
Trump could win Florida by 12-14% if rates hold up??
0
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:13 am to StansberryRules
quote:
According to DataRepublican any margin over 20% portends blowout win, 15% portends close election, and 10% portends trouble.
Is this for all votes or just Election Day Only?
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:15 am to Jimmy Montrose
Election Day only. When looking for this 20% number, filter by that option.
Having said that I have no idea if the number he/she gave means anything or not. But it’s just their opinion.
Having said that I have no idea if the number he/she gave means anything or not. But it’s just their opinion.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:17 am to Jimmy Montrose
It has both- you can toggle the view between them on the right under Vote Breakdowns
ETA: Disregard, misread the question
ETA: Disregard, misread the question
This post was edited on 11/5/24 at 8:20 am
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:18 am to 1putt
At the bottom of the page, look at the county-by-county color map.
Solid red right now except 3 counties.
Now click on early mail-in votes only. Wow
Solid red right now except 3 counties.
Now click on early mail-in votes only. Wow
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:18 am to 225rumpshaker
quote:
Its amazing Florida has this live vote count capability by being transparent with data, but we still have states tabulating the votes on cave walls to be completely counted in 1-2 weeks time
Every single state in teh union could be this modernized and transparent. YOu can have 99% of your ballots counted within a few hours of hte polls closing easily.
The other states are disfunctional by design. There are third world countries who conduct better elections than they do in most Democrat state.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:20 am to Jimmy Montrose
quote:
Is this for all votes or just Election Day Only?
Election day only. Basically Republicans always go into Florida election day behind and then have a huge day to come back and win.
This year Republicans actually started Election Day way ahead.
The question was, were they way ahead because they just voted earlier or beaus Dems didn't show up.
Republicans are putting up huge election day margins. Reinforcing the theory Dems largely sat this election out.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:23 am to StansberryRules
Another good piece of info is Duval county. It's considered Florida's best proxy for Georgia. Trump won it by 1% in 2016 but actually lost it in 2020 by 4%. The 5% swing mirrored Georgia's 5% swing away from Trump.
Republican looking very strong in Duval right now, 9K vote advantage.
Republican looking very strong in Duval right now, 9K vote advantage.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:24 am to StansberryRules
LHG 
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:24 am to StansberryRules
We'll hit 1M difference within the hour 
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:26 am to StansberryRules
Holy frick, it may be happening. Screw it though as I said if you know someone in FL on the fence are maybe not planning to go than call and get their arse to the polls. This is not won yet.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:29 am to StansberryRules
quote:
Every single state in teh union could be this modernized and transparent. YOu can have 99% of your ballots counted within a few hours of hte polls closing easily. The other states are disfunctional by design. There are third world countries who conduct better elections than they do in most Democrat state.
Dysfunctional by design is exactly right. Every American should be ashamed how several states conduct elections, and and Americans in those states should be outraged
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:30 am to armtackledawg
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:45 am to StansberryRules
760k election day votes in and Republican edge has stabilized at 21.5%, looking fantastic.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:21 pm to StansberryRules
It's below 20.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:23 pm to Jimmy Montrose
It ticks down a tenth of a percent every 20 or 30 minutes.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:25 pm to TigerFanatic99
quote:
It ticks down a tenth of a percent every 20 or 30 minutes.
If it continues this trend through what I think will be the election day vote total, it will end up Trump 13-14% on election day.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:27 pm to armtackledawg
quote:
If it continues this trend through what I think will be the election day vote total, it will end up Trump 13-14% on election day.
I'm betting it settles somewhere around 15 or 16%.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:29 pm to GumboPot
quote:
Florida is probably the most transparent election state in the nation so we get to see a lot more election and registration data from Florida than other states
If only it was this transparent nationwide. Something has to be done on a federal level.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:30 pm to tiger91
quote:
Is there a site like this for other states?
No because other states don't have their **** together or enjoy cheating when necessary.
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