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Started By
Message
A reminder of what the pollsters, pundits and experts predicted in 2016 on election eve
Posted on 11/2/20 at 6:52 pm
Posted on 11/2/20 at 6:52 pm
Jon Favreau - 6:38 PM · Nov 7, 2016
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LINK
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quote:
Steve Deace Conservative talk show host and commentator
Steve Deace believes that Clinton will win the popular vote with 48 percent of the vote, and the Electoral College with 318 votes — including big wins in Pennsylvania, Florida, and New Hampshire.
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quote:
Michael A. Cohen
Boston Globe columnist Michael A. Cohen says he had a “simple theory” going into this year’s election: “The Democratic Party’s significant demographic advantage among non-white voters along with Donald Trump’s alienating effect on female voters would ensure a Hillary Clinton victory.”
His prediction: Hillary Clinton is a solid bet to win 322 electoral votes.
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quote:
David Lauter and Mark Z. Barabak
The two L.A. Times journalists say Clinton’s get-out-the-vote operation and the surge in Latino votes will put her over the top.
Our projection would give Clinton 352 electoral votes, while Trump would end up with 186.
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quote:
.@LarrySabato 's 'Crystal Ball' electoral prediction:
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quote:
Nate Silver @NateSilver538 · Nov 7, 2016
Also, NV, FL and NC have flipped blue though you shouldn't pay much attention to "calls" around the 50/50 mark.
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quote:
Curt Schilling @gehrig38 · Nov 7, 2016
Any state he's <= 4.9% or leading, I think Trump wins. Here's my electoral map.
LINK
Posted on 11/2/20 at 6:54 pm to LSURussian
quote:
Steve Deace Conservative talk show host and commentator
Steve Deace now thinks that Trump wins with the same states he had, plus Minnesota and Nevada. He based this on TargetSmart data (Democrat early vote modeling).
Posted on 11/2/20 at 6:57 pm to LSURussian
What are some showing for tomorrow?
Posted on 11/2/20 at 6:58 pm to LSURussian
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/10/21 at 10:43 pm
Posted on 11/2/20 at 7:03 pm to Scruffy
quote:Uh...
fricking Curt Schilling got it right.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 7:07 pm to LSURussian
What's Jon Favreau doing with election forecasting?
Posted on 11/2/20 at 7:23 pm to PeteRose
quote:His prediction was in the article I linked.
What's Jon Favreau doing with election forecasting?
Posted on 11/2/20 at 7:24 pm to Scruffy
quote:
fricking Curt Schilling got it right.
that's pretty damn funny
Posted on 11/2/20 at 7:27 pm to LSURussian
quote:
Curt Schilling
I regret ever hating this fricker when he played ball.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 7:27 pm to LSURussian
I'd forgotten Kaine was even the Dem VP in 16. That guy disappeared faster than Two Doors Ford.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 7:31 pm to HubbaBubba
Polls are stupid and are meant to suppress votes for Trump.
This post was edited on 11/2/20 at 7:33 pm
Posted on 11/2/20 at 7:33 pm to LSURussian
Curt Schilling knew what was up.
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