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A reminder of what the pollsters, pundits and experts predicted in 2016 on election eve

Posted on 11/2/20 at 6:52 pm
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126961 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 6:52 pm
Jon Favreau - 6:38 PM · Nov 7, 2016


___________________________________________________________________
quote:

Steve Deace Conservative talk show host and commentator

Steve Deace believes that Clinton will win the popular vote with 48 percent of the vote, and the Electoral College with 318 votes — including big wins in Pennsylvania, Florida, and New Hampshire.

____________________________________________________________________
quote:

Michael A. Cohen

Boston Globe columnist Michael A. Cohen says he had a “simple theory” going into this year’s election: “The Democratic Party’s significant demographic advantage among non-white voters along with Donald Trump’s alienating effect on female voters would ensure a Hillary Clinton victory.”

His prediction: Hillary Clinton is a solid bet to win 322 electoral votes.

________________________________________________________________________
quote:

David Lauter and Mark Z. Barabak

The two L.A. Times journalists say Clinton’s get-out-the-vote operation and the surge in Latino votes will put her over the top.

Our projection would give Clinton 352 electoral votes, while Trump would end up with 186.

____________________________________________________________________________

quote:

.@LarrySabato 's 'Crystal Ball' electoral prediction:



____________________________________________________________________________

quote:

Nate Silver @NateSilver538 · Nov 7, 2016
Also, NV, FL and NC have flipped blue though you shouldn't pay much attention to "calls" around the 50/50 mark.






____________________________________________________________________________

quote:

Curt Schilling @gehrig38 · Nov 7, 2016

Any state he's <= 4.9% or leading, I think Trump wins. Here's my electoral map.




LINK
Posted by HurricaneTiger
Coral Gables, FL
Member since Jan 2014
3028 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 6:54 pm to
quote:

Steve Deace Conservative talk show host and commentator


Steve Deace now thinks that Trump wins with the same states he had, plus Minnesota and Nevada. He based this on TargetSmart data (Democrat early vote modeling).
Posted by LSUSUPERSTAR
TX
Member since Jan 2005
16305 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 6:57 pm to
What are some showing for tomorrow?
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72025 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 6:58 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/10/21 at 10:43 pm
Posted by Scooba
Member since Jun 2013
19999 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 7:00 pm to
Posted by HubbaBubba
F_uck Joe Biden, TX
Member since Oct 2010
45707 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 7:03 pm to
quote:

fricking Curt Schilling got it right.
Uh...

Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
16833 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 7:07 pm to
What's Jon Favreau doing with election forecasting?
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126961 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 7:23 pm to
quote:

What's Jon Favreau doing with election forecasting?
His prediction was in the article I linked.
Posted by NawlinsTiger9
Where the mongooses roam
Member since Jan 2009
34865 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 7:24 pm to
quote:

fricking Curt Schilling got it right.



that's pretty damn funny
Posted by ValVenis
Member since Sep 2020
630 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 7:27 pm to
quote:

Curt Schilling


I regret ever hating this fricker when he played ball.
Posted by artisticsavant
Member since Mar 2017
5007 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 7:27 pm to
I'd forgotten Kaine was even the Dem VP in 16. That guy disappeared faster than Two Doors Ford.
Posted by 93and99
Dayton , Oh / Allentown , Pa
Member since Dec 2018
14400 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 7:31 pm to
Polls are stupid and are meant to suppress votes for Trump.
This post was edited on 11/2/20 at 7:33 pm
Posted by harmonics
Mars Hotel
Member since Jan 2010
18615 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 7:33 pm to
Curt Schilling knew what was up.
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