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re: Delta Wave coming to and end in Louisiana: Rt value trending down 8/5 UPDATE

Posted on 7/28/21 at 3:42 pm to
Posted by MorbidTheClown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
67832 posts
Posted on 7/28/21 at 3:42 pm to
quote:

what are yall defining as rt?


retweets.
Posted by Fusaichi Pegasus
Meh He Co
Member since Oct 2010
14600 posts
Posted on 7/28/21 at 3:44 pm to
oh ffs
seriously?

I was thinking standard deviations, etc
Posted by bbap
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2006
96341 posts
Posted on 7/28/21 at 3:44 pm to
lol no not seriously
Posted by MorbidTheClown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
67832 posts
Posted on 7/28/21 at 3:46 pm to
Posted by Fusaichi Pegasus
Meh He Co
Member since Oct 2010
14600 posts
Posted on 7/28/21 at 3:47 pm to
found it
Reproduction Number and Growth Rate
Posted by Chucktown_Badger
The banks of the Ashley River
Member since May 2013
32174 posts
Posted on 7/28/21 at 3:53 pm to
I'd probably pump the brakes on calling the wave "over".



But deaths have not ticked up noticeably. If you're vaccinated you're not going to die from it, if you're unvaccinated you're probably not going to die from it (though there are a lot of fatties down there).



Worldometers Louisiana
Posted by Antonio Moss
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2006
48519 posts
Posted on 7/28/21 at 3:56 pm to
quote:

Weak arse wave.


If the vaccines are as effective as claimed then one would expect a smaller wave.
Posted by Chucktown_Badger
The banks of the Ashley River
Member since May 2013
32174 posts
Posted on 7/28/21 at 4:03 pm to
quote:


If the vaccines are as effective as claimed then one would expect a smaller wave.


Or that cases are spiking in states with lower vaccination levels (like Louisiana).
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36195 posts
Posted on 7/28/21 at 4:29 pm to
And the death rates and hospitalization rates aren't matching previous "waves". I know those lag but they're both well below similar caseloads in previous waves.

Posted by SouthernStyled
Member since Apr 2021
1307 posts
Posted on 7/28/21 at 4:30 pm to
This thread looks like a solid well ager.
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 7/28/21 at 5:01 pm to
quote:

'd probably pump the brakes on calling the wave "over


Why? Get on board or gtfo.

This wave is ending soon
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
99667 posts
Posted on 7/28/21 at 5:02 pm to
quote:

This thread looks like a solid well ager.


You drunk?
Posted by Cowboyfan89
Member since Sep 2015
12839 posts
Posted on 7/28/21 at 5:09 pm to
quote:

Or that cases are spiking in states with lower vaccination levels (like Louisiana).

50% of the counties/parishes across the country are at a High level of community transmission according to the CDC. Another 17% are at the Substantial level.

People keep talking about individual states like Louisiana, but outside of New England, the country has a serious issue with COVID right now.
This post was edited on 7/28/21 at 5:11 pm
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 7/28/21 at 5:10 pm to
I’d also like to point out that any mild increases in deaths could strictly be people dying WITH covid.

For a thought experiment, imagine covid is 100% asymptomatic in everyone. If we went through a wave where it increased in the population and tested every single person in the hospital, we would say more deaths with covid have occurred.

Obviously some people are dying from covid but this is why it’s almost criminal that we don’t have a better way to quantify from or with covid
Posted by Domeskeller
Astrodome
Member since Jun 2020
8264 posts
Posted on 7/28/21 at 5:20 pm to
quote:

Meanwhile we’re stuck with a retard sloth


Thanks, New Orleans, Baton Rouge and Shreveport.
Posted by MBclass83
Member since Oct 2010
9547 posts
Posted on 7/28/21 at 5:30 pm to
We had a suite ton ER covids today.
Posted by LSUJML
Central
Member since May 2008
47219 posts
Posted on 7/28/21 at 5:33 pm to
quote:

We had a suite ton ER covids today.


I wish my insurance covered an ER suite

ETA
Serious question
Do you go to your regular Dr for suspected Covid / test or do they tell you to go to ER / Urgent Care?

My PCP is for wellness visits / medication refills only
If I am sick I know to go to Urgent Care because there is no way they are fitting me in

Curious if most are like that or if it’s just that way since OLOL bought out my PCP
This post was edited on 7/28/21 at 5:37 pm
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
73775 posts
Posted on 7/28/21 at 5:33 pm to
That chart ends on the 26th. Seems like the lag in reporting could give a false sense of a downfall.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
99667 posts
Posted on 7/28/21 at 5:47 pm to
For reference, here is how the Rt looked it the UK for Delta

Posted by BRIllini07
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2015
3060 posts
Posted on 7/28/21 at 6:31 pm to
Looking at that UK curve it looks like they have it filtered way too slow for handling Delta, which is good news for Louisiana.

R(t) falling, but still above 1, would mean cases are still increasing, just increasing more slowly.

UK clearly below 1 right now and for the past week or so.
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