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re: DAT 4/27: Mariners (Gonzales) @ Astros (Javier) 7:10 CT

Posted on 4/27/21 at 10:08 am to
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
101930 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 10:08 am to
quote:

Still pulling the ball straight into the shift?


Pulling the ball?

No, he's just striking out or popping up.

That said... Kyle Tucker as a "buy low" candidate in Fantasy leagues.

quote:

Kyle Tucker (OF - HOU)
Remember how I mentioned that Albies had the 3rd lowest BABIP in baseball so far? Well, Kyle Tucker has THE LOWEST BABIP in baseball right now at a meager .145. That atrocius BABIP has caused Tucker to post a .175/.200/.400 slash line so far despite having a lot of pink and red in his savant percentile sliders



On top of that, Tucker has been even better in several departments this season when compared to his breakout in 2020. Tucker's .283 xBA, .550 xSLG, and .357 xwOBA are all career-best marks at the moment and he's cut his strikeout rate for a 2nd straight season.



With all that said, there are two areas that I'll admit that I'm slightly concerned about. Tucker has never been a big walk rate guy, but he's walking at a career-worst 2.4% mark so far this season. This makes sense when you see his swing metrics all higher than last season, showing that Tucker is being more aggressive this season in general. Tucker's O-Swing rate has risen from 31.3% to 36.7%, his Z-Swing from 78.2% to 81.1%, and his swing rate from 50.5% to 56.3%.

This isn't too concerning in general, but Tucker will need to find that balance between patience and aggressiveness. A 2.4% walk rate simply will not get it done. But at the same time, his contact metrics have all remained consistent with 2020 marks or even slightly improved, which is an encouraging sign.

The other area I'm slightly concerned about is Tucker's 37th percentile spring speed and one stolen base attempt on the season. One of the reasons why Tucker has been as highly regarded as he has been was his ability to add 20+ steals annually. The sprint speed with Tucker has never been elite, but he was 72nd percentile in 2019 and 70th percentile last season. It remains to be seen if he turns things around in that department, but at the plate, I'm expecting Tucker to heat up in the near future. And when he does, good luck getting him for a discount via trade.
Posted by Leonard
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2014
4254 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 10:13 am to
quote:

37th percentile sprint speed


Does this factor in the 2 seconds it takes to slam his bat before jogging to 1st on his pop-outs? Or is that excluded?
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
76703 posts
Posted on 4/27/21 at 10:14 am to
The last part about speed with such a small sample size is quite dumb to even mention but otherwise good accurate info. His defense and base running metrics are good. He's hitting the ball hard. He went oppo for a sac fly and drew a walk last night.

quote:

at the plate, I'm expecting Tucker to heat up in the near future.


Smart people understand this.
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