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re: How do you think LSU basketball finishes the season?
Posted on 3/1/21 at 12:46 pm to drizztiger
Posted on 3/1/21 at 12:46 pm to drizztiger
They will beat Vandy and lose to Mizzou and win one game in the SEC tourney. They make the NCAA as a 9 or 10 seed and win the first game and then get blown out by a mid major in 2nd round.....
Posted on 3/1/21 at 12:56 pm to GeauxTime9
However they finish, avoiding the 8-9 game is the only chance of making a run in the tourney. Beat vandy, lose to mizzou, win 1 secT game should accomplish that
Posted on 3/1/21 at 1:02 pm to GeauxTime9
quote:
How do you think LSU basketball finishes the season?
Like every team except for 1...with a loss.
Posted on 3/1/21 at 1:16 pm to harry coleman beast
quote:
However they finish, avoiding the 8-9 game is the only chance of making a run in the tourney.
I guess it depends on what is considered a "run"
Eight seeds have made 6 Final Four appearances. That is MORE than 7, 9, 10, 11 seeds. The same amount as 6 seeds. And only 2 less than #5 seeds.
The burden of an 8 seed is that your first round game is against a team equally as good. 8 seeds only have a 52% winning % in the opening round. Then, if you win you are 99% likely to face a #1 seed. In those games 8 seeds have only won 20% of the time. But.....
If you can slay the dragon (1 seed) early something magical happens. 8 seeds have WINNING records vs. 4, 5, AND 2 seeds (the most likely opponents in the second week). To the contrary, 7, 10, and 11 seeds (while slightly more likely to get out of the first weekend) have LOSING records vs. 2, 3, and 1 seeds (the most likely opponents in the second week)
So if a "run" is simply just making it out of the first weekend then you're right. Avoiding the 8/9 matchup is a more probable path for that kind of "run". But, if you want to think bigger, statistically being an 8 seed is better.
It is NEVER a high probability of beating a #1 seed in the 2nd round. They are, of course, one of the four best teams in the nation. But there might be a little advantage to catching that #1 on one day's rest with virtually no time to scout you.
Posted on 3/1/21 at 2:19 pm to Alt26
quote:
Eight seeds have made 6 Final Four appearances. That is MORE than 7, 9, 10, 11 seeds. The same amount as 6 seeds. And only 2 less than #5 seeds.
Have you watched any of this years 1 seeds play?
Posted on 3/1/21 at 2:20 pm to GeauxTime9
Seriously, who knows? This team is so up and down/unpredictable from half to half, much less game to game, that nobody can make an accurate prediction on how they will finish the season or how they will perform in the tournament. They have the talent and ability to win out, win the sec tournament and make a nice run in the ncaa tournament, but it all depends on how they play. I know they have the talent to shock alot of people and play competitively with any team in the nation if they play up to their capabilities. Then again, they can also lose to vanderbilt lol. This team is inconsistent to say the least. Geaux Tigers anyway though.
Posted on 3/1/21 at 2:26 pm to GeauxTime9
Beat Vandy, lose to Missouri, depends on draw for tournament and how many byes we get
Posted on 3/1/21 at 2:48 pm to Zarkinletch416
quote:
TD Ameritrade Park Omaha, Nebraska baby!
Be there!!
Huh?
Posted on 3/1/21 at 3:01 pm to 2019goats
Split next 2
Hopefully win 1 in Nashville
9/10 seed
Win a tournament game
Hopefully win 1 in Nashville
9/10 seed
Win a tournament game
Posted on 3/1/21 at 4:00 pm to harry coleman beast
quote:
Have you watched any of this years 1 seeds play?
Ohio St. has just lost three straight games. Baylor was thumped by Kansas this weekend. And that was after the survived a game, at home, vs a 2-18 Iowa St. team. Michigan has looked tremendous. But it has come ALL against Big 10 teams. They won't have that conference familiarity in the NCAAT.
It is never a "good bet" to think a 8/9 seed will upset a one. But recently we've see unbeatable #1 seeds either lose or get a big scare from the 8/9 line.
In 2019 Duke was the number 1 overall seed. It took #9 UCF missing a tip in for them to survive the first weekend.
In 2018 UVA was the No. 1 overall seed...they became a part of history by being the first to lose to a 16
In 2017 Villanova was the No. 1 overall seed. They lost to #8 Wisconsin.
In 2015 NC St. (after barely surviving against LSU) beat #1 Villanova.
In 2014 Wichita St. was 35-0. They lost to a talented, but inconsistent, #8 Kentucky team that went 5-5 to end the reg season/SECT.
In 2013 Gonzaga was 31-2. They lost to #9 Wichita St.
If you are keeping score at home that means in FIVE of the last seven NCAAT we've had at least one No. 1 seed did not make it past second round. Am I saying 8/9 seeded LSU would beat a No. 1 seed? Of course not. But it is also not out of the realm of possibility.
Posted on 3/1/21 at 4:05 pm to Alt26
Me and marcus thornton agree if we get an 8 or 9 we will be paired with Gonzaga. Ohio St is in a free fall, would love to see us in a bracket with them as the 2 seed. Likely 1’s are Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan, and Illinois, LSU has 0 chance of beating any of those teams. Baylor is paying for dodging games and barely playing any games in february
Posted on 3/1/21 at 4:27 pm to harry coleman beast
quote:
Likely 1’s are Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan, and Illinois
Probably.
Illinois has stepped out of the Big 10 three times (of significant note) and is 1-2 in those games with losses to Missouri and Baylor. They had their first game vs. Michigan postponed and lost to OSU. Whether or not they'll be a No. 1 will be decided this week when they play Michigan and OSU.
Are they (and Gonzga, Baylor, Michigan) better teams than LSU? No question. But all it takes is one night. One night where LSU's offense is humming. One night where they actually give a shite about defending (like they did for 39 minutes vs. TTU). Likely? No. Impossible? Nope
Posted on 3/1/21 at 4:29 pm to Alt26
Fair but under no circumatance does LSU have any shot of beating gonzaga or michigan imo
Posted on 3/1/21 at 4:33 pm to GeauxTime9
Close loss vs. Vanderbilt.
Blow-out loss @ Missouri.
Close loss in first round of SEC Tournament.
Prior to Selection Sunday, LSU announces a self-imposed ban on postseason participation for LSU basketball.
Blow-out loss @ Missouri.
Close loss in first round of SEC Tournament.
Prior to Selection Sunday, LSU announces a self-imposed ban on postseason participation for LSU basketball.
Posted on 3/1/21 at 7:33 pm to GeauxTime9
0 for how many we play. We done.....
Posted on 3/1/21 at 8:08 pm to GeauxTime9
With a lot of posters still claiming Wade is anything more than mediocre while having another season’s results that indicate otherwise.
Posted on 3/1/21 at 8:22 pm to Alt26
Yeah this was a great team on paper, not so much on the court.
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