re: Hurricane Gustav

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Contraflow decision can not be made until the hurricane is 2 days out.

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Says who? Wouldn't that be at the discretion of the governor? He said last night during his news conference that if it continues on this path contraflow would start Saturday - subject to change of course.

The tracking models that are used are absolutely useless for anything over 3 days out.

I have never seen a 5 to 6 day forecast track come anywhere close to being accurate....

A drunk monkey could throw darts at the map and be just as accurate as these f##$king models.

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They are meeting to decide the "outcome of the game play"?

Well, shite, I hope they decide that LSU wins by a comfortable margin.

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I keep hearing people debate whether or not the game will be on, and posting LSU statements regarding the game, but havent really seen any talk about this.

Gustav will not really have any weather problems for the game, but it could REALLY make Saturday traffic worse than it already is, and cause many to miss the game. Yes the hurricane may not hit until Monday, but contraflow takes action well before the anticipated hit date. There is a "three-level" system that is evacuated and it follows contraflow guidelines.

The lower level (closest to the gulf) hits the road and evacuates, if called for, 50 hours before anticipated landfall.

The middle level begins 40 hours.

The final one begins 30 hours.

So yes, we wont get rain and bad hurricane weather Saturday during the game, but this is a very real possibility. In 2005, it took some people 12 hours (I know this because my parents had to sit through it) to get from New Orleans to Baton Rouge. Just a heads up to anyone planning on leaving early Saturday morning, or maybe even late Friday night. Also, if people head up there Thursday or Friday and avoid the traffic, plan ahead because you may not be able to travel back east when the game is done.

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So 3 days = 48 hours.....hopefully you do not represent the math department at LSU

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okay, smartass, I was referring to the earlier person who said you can't order an evacuation earlier than two days out.

Why are you on our board talking about hurricanes anyway? Don't you have some moonshine to make?

Good info, LSUGrad07. But my concern is that we followed that evacuation model last time and it was disastrous so Jindal may be more aggressive. Still don't know that the game would be affected, though. Hope not.

Better start buying plywood and generators now. The number one reason I know this Hurricane is coming this way...I just got my house roofed last week.

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Gee thats funny because I can garantee I know more about global ocean models than anyone here unless there are other posters from NAVOCEANO,FNMOC or FSU.. I can tell you that over 3 days out many of the models are in fact useless. Over 4 days out and its a shot in the dark. Many ensembles and model runs are put on supercomputers because weather ocean modeling is one of the hardest things to predict in science with infinte variables. But yea I would say over 3 days out is not worth looking at unless you want to scare people.

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You can rant all you want about how smart you are and how much you know. Still doesnt change the fact that the three storms this year nailed the center of the cones that were projected a week prior to landfall. (I think thats slightly better than your drunk monkey could do)