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Will parity ever return to college football?
Posted on 1/13/21 at 2:01 pm
Posted on 1/13/21 at 2:01 pm
Or will the power continue to consolidate between a handful of schools?
From 1996-2010, you had true parity within the sport with the following teams staking claims to consensus national championships:
1996 - Florida
1997 - Nebraska/Michigan
1998 - Tennessee
1999 - Florida State
2000 - Oklahoma
2001 - Miami
2002 - Ohio State
2003 - LSU/USC
2004 - USC
2005 - Texas
2006 - Florida
2007 - LSU
2008 - Florida
2009 - Alabama
2010 - Auburn
Around 2006, however, you began to see a shift in the balance of power. The SEC became dominant in the sport at the expense of the other conferences. Even after that impressive streak of SEC national champions was broken in 2013, the balance of power in the sport remained firmly entrenched in the South. Ohio State is the only non-southern team to win a national championship since USC routed Oklahoma in the Orange Bowl in 2004-05. And since the advent of the CFP in 2014, the distance between the have's and the haves not's have only has only grown with no end to the trend in sight.
Will college football return to a "state of normalcy" once a certain head coach retires or have we reached a point of no return?
From 1996-2010, you had true parity within the sport with the following teams staking claims to consensus national championships:
1996 - Florida
1997 - Nebraska/Michigan
1998 - Tennessee
1999 - Florida State
2000 - Oklahoma
2001 - Miami
2002 - Ohio State
2003 - LSU/USC
2004 - USC
2005 - Texas
2006 - Florida
2007 - LSU
2008 - Florida
2009 - Alabama
2010 - Auburn
Around 2006, however, you began to see a shift in the balance of power. The SEC became dominant in the sport at the expense of the other conferences. Even after that impressive streak of SEC national champions was broken in 2013, the balance of power in the sport remained firmly entrenched in the South. Ohio State is the only non-southern team to win a national championship since USC routed Oklahoma in the Orange Bowl in 2004-05. And since the advent of the CFP in 2014, the distance between the have's and the haves not's have only has only grown with no end to the trend in sight.
Will college football return to a "state of normalcy" once a certain head coach retires or have we reached a point of no return?
Posted on 1/13/21 at 2:03 pm to RollTide1987
A better question is has there ever been parity in the sport outside of the time period you highlighted?
Posted on 1/13/21 at 2:03 pm to RollTide1987
The stagnation in the CFP is due to the stagnation in the conferences. Every conference has one big cheese the other teams can't seem to dethrone.
Alabama has won the SEC 5 of the last 7 years.
Clemson has won the ACC 6 years straight.
Oklahoma has won the Big12 6 years straight.
Ohio State has won the BigTen 4 years straight.
The committee is putting the same teams in over and over again because of the above.
College football would be more interesting if teams like Texas, Michigan, Florida State, Tennessee, Nebraska, Penn State, USC began carrying their water again.
Alabama has won the SEC 5 of the last 7 years.
Clemson has won the ACC 6 years straight.
Oklahoma has won the Big12 6 years straight.
Ohio State has won the BigTen 4 years straight.
The committee is putting the same teams in over and over again because of the above.
College football would be more interesting if teams like Texas, Michigan, Florida State, Tennessee, Nebraska, Penn State, USC began carrying their water again.
Posted on 1/13/21 at 2:06 pm to RollTide1987
There was never much parity dating back to the days of Harvard and Yale. If you’re asking if today’s dominant programs will ever loosen their grip, I don’t know but I could see some familiar powers rising up in the 2020s
Posted on 1/13/21 at 2:10 pm to RollTide1987
If saban is still alive and has a healthy QB, then no, we will not see parity return to CFB
Posted on 1/13/21 at 2:11 pm to RollTide1987
Honestly i think we are seeing the slow death of the Pac-12. Effectively eliminating an entire region from contention and lowering interest out West each year.
This post was edited on 1/13/21 at 2:16 pm
Posted on 1/13/21 at 2:17 pm to RollTide1987
quote:
2003 - LSU/USC
Posted on 1/13/21 at 2:22 pm to RollTide1987
quote:
Will college football return to a "state of normalcy" once a certain head coach retires or have we reached a point of no return?
I would normally say "things are cyclical" but in this instance the interest and money are so heavily-weighted in the South and to a lesser extent, the Midwest. The new SEC TV deal with ESPN is only going to exacerbate the disparity. NIL may end up following the interest, which has a chance to widen the gap.
CFB desperately needs USCw (or Oregon as a lesser substitute) to be contenders, to at least maintain a semblance of national interest.
Posted on 1/13/21 at 2:23 pm to RollTide1987
quote:
2003 - LSU/USC
WRONG.
Posted on 1/13/21 at 2:36 pm to RollTide1987
The gap between schools in terms of recruiting and just overall resources is only getting bigger between the big name schools compared to everyone else. Rating were down big time for the Natty. I asked a couple of my buddies who are big NFL guys that also used to love CFB why they weren't watching the national championship this year and the answer was "Oh Alabama or some SEC school is just gonna win it again this year" and that's exactly what happened
If the Chiefs won the Super Bowl last year and got the first 10 picks in the following draft, nobody would give a shite about the NFL either.
If the Chiefs won the Super Bowl last year and got the first 10 picks in the following draft, nobody would give a shite about the NFL either.
This post was edited on 1/13/21 at 2:41 pm
Posted on 1/13/21 at 2:41 pm to RollTide1987
I said this on the rant, but scholarship reductions is needed, and on the horizon. 85 is too much. When the next TV contracts are sign and the B10 sees what the SEC gets, they will be screaming for a balance to competition.
Posted on 1/13/21 at 3:05 pm to RollTide1987
Hmmm right around the time ESPN started to have a boner for the SEC.... interesting how that works
Posted on 1/13/21 at 3:35 pm to RollTide1987
The only way to create parity is to create one national league instead of having 5 or 6 regional leagues with their own interests in mind.
Everything else is crybaby shite.
And FYI, we've never had parity in college football. And the way it's designed, the sport is a war of attrition over time.
Everything else is crybaby shite.
And FYI, we've never had parity in college football. And the way it's designed, the sport is a war of attrition over time.
Posted on 1/13/21 at 3:40 pm to RollTide1987
Yes. The new transfer rules are going to even things out. That freshman 4 star sitting on the bench at Bama is gonna now be able to transfer to Memphis or Kentucky and ball out immediately and get to the NFL quicker.
Posted on 1/13/21 at 4:19 pm to RollTide1987
Doubtful. Significant system changes would be required, and I'm not even sure what those changes are or if they would even be that effective. Scholly limit reduction may help, but that's an assumption until we see it actually implemented anyway.
There's still the issue of what even defines 'parity' in CFB. In the general sense of parity, CFB has never had parity, period. If you mean at least more than 10 teams have a remote chance, then there's an argument. To argue for parity in a system in which the P5 & G5 is still linked however is purely wishful thinking.
To go on top of that, there's the issue of the post-season being decided by non-objective factors. Even during the BCS, this was an issue, so lets not pretend it's just the committee, although they're a problem in their own right.
Tl;dr CFB sucks as a competitive sport to crown a champ. It has other redeeming qualities.
There's still the issue of what even defines 'parity' in CFB. In the general sense of parity, CFB has never had parity, period. If you mean at least more than 10 teams have a remote chance, then there's an argument. To argue for parity in a system in which the P5 & G5 is still linked however is purely wishful thinking.
To go on top of that, there's the issue of the post-season being decided by non-objective factors. Even during the BCS, this was an issue, so lets not pretend it's just the committee, although they're a problem in their own right.
Tl;dr CFB sucks as a competitive sport to crown a champ. It has other redeeming qualities.
This post was edited on 1/13/21 at 4:20 pm
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