re: Lonzo Ball is now at 40% from 3. Check in here to eat crow. I am.

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how can you say he is so limited offensively?

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Because he is? Roughly 65% of his shots come from three. The majority of which are catch and shoot generated by someone else.

He’s only shooting 40% on half court driving layups, of which he averages just one a game. He’s not particularly great in running the PnR. Which he does too infrequently as well. And while his efficiency in ISO situations isn’t terrible, we both know it’s not a strength of core component of his game.

I don’t get the Harris comparison, not saying he’s worth that contract, he’s not, but he’s a legit 20-8 guy that can score at all three levels, with an elite three point shot on high volume and high contest rates. But Bogdanovic is a cautionary tale, if anything, for me. I think Lonzo is going to get an offer in the 20-25 million range, and that puts you in the awkward position of having to match a guy on the hopes he will eventually live up to his overpay. Possibly in a city he is going to not really want to be in, which could create it’s own challenges.

In Jrue’s case it happened eventually, but every other example we have cautions against doing that: Asik, Evans, Gordon, Hill.