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Posted on 1/1/21 at 10:00 pm to bbvdd
quote:
Here is what I don’t understand, why is the us death rate static with last year’s during a pandemic?
It’s understandable to be confused by that.
Given that it’s wrong, obviously it doesn’t line up with with you expect with reality.
Not only did more people die in 2020 than 2019, it comfortably passed that goal with more than 3 months left in the year.
LINK /
Posted on 1/1/21 at 10:04 pm to bbvdd
quote:
Here is what I don’t understand, why is the us death rate static with last year’s during a pandemic?
Because it's not. Through September of 2020, 73,000 more people had died than in 2019. Extrapolated through the end of 2020 and using the death rate from the previous 3 months of July, Aug and Sept, it works out to about 240,000 more deaths.
This post was edited on 1/1/21 at 10:07 pm
Posted on 1/1/21 at 10:19 pm to bbvdd
quote:
Here is what I don’t understand, why is the us death rate static with last year’s during a pandemic?
Could be a number of reasons that aren't part of a vast conspiracy. Sure, there are probably a lot of gaming of stats where people die of other things but they tested positive for COVID and therefore it is listed as a COVID death. Somebody from a hospital system told me they get more money for a patient if they have the COVID which seems like a moral hazard to me.
It would be really interesting/telling to see which types of deaths the pandemic cannibalized. Maybe all the sanitary precautions we are taking is helping stave off other types of deaths related to the flu, pneumonia, chronic respiratory diseases, staph, etc. We'd need to see the breakdown to know.
People doing more cooking from home and being exposed to fewer toxins/smoke from going out and about has to help as well.
Posted on 1/1/21 at 10:43 pm to bbvdd
quote:It's... not.
Here is what I don’t understand, why is the us death rate static with last year’s during a pandemic?
Total US deaths by year, through week 48:
2014 - 2.39m
2015 - 2.48m
2016 - 2.50m
2017 - 2.57m
2018 - 2.61m
2019 - 2.61m
2020 - 2.97m
And as death rate per 1k pop:
2014 - 8.2
2015 - 8.4
2016 - 8.4
2017 - 8.6
2018 - 8.7
2019 - 8.6
2020 - 9.8
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