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Black voting just 23 percent of their population in Florida this year.Down from last year.

Posted on 10/30/20 at 1:43 pm
Posted by Yankeeman3033
Member since Dec 2017
168 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 1:43 pm
Per "Clipboard" Karl Rove on Fox just a few minutes ago. And with more Blacks voting for Trump this year, that is GREAT NEWS for Trump voters!
This post was edited on 10/30/20 at 1:45 pm
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23479 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 1:46 pm to
We need similar news in NC.

Early voting there looks much worse for Trump, though I recall a similar scenario in 2016...
Posted by Mickey Goldmill
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2010
26355 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 1:47 pm to
quote:

So far, Black voter turnout is up statewide over the same period in 2016, as is most every other demographic in an election that has already seen a record number of early votes cast. But it’s also true that Black voters are casting ballots at lower rates than their white counterparts, setting up a crucial final five days heading into Nov. 3.

Statewide, Black voters had nearly matched their entire 2016 output by Wednesday, according to Shropshire, similar to other voting groups. But Hawkfish’s analysis found that in Broward, Black voters had cast only 74 percent of their total 2016 Black vote.
https://www.tampabay.com/news/florida-politics/elections/2020/10/29/florida-democrats-look-to-increase-black-voter-turnout-as-biden-visits-florida/
Posted by ClientNumber9
Member since Feb 2009
9949 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 1:48 pm to
What was the black vote percentage that voted in 2016?
Posted by dhuck20
SCLSU Fan
Member since Oct 2012
22943 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 1:51 pm to
If these numbers are similar in NC and Florida, is VA in play? Probably not but a man can dream.
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
50797 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 1:51 pm to
What happened last year?
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

Early voting there looks much worse for Trump,


Explain please.
Posted by Yankeeman3033
Member since Dec 2017
168 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 1:54 pm to
Trump would need 15 to 20 percent of the Black Vote to win Virginia IMHO.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23479 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

Early voting there looks much worse for Trump,
quote:

Explain please.



Trump behind 270k in NC and only behind 130k currently in FL, which is is a bigger state.

Not as many votes remain in NC and Trump has a bigger deficit. Gonna need a huge election day. I think he'll get it, but it looks like FL will come easier than NC this year...
Posted by Yankeeman3033
Member since Dec 2017
168 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 1:55 pm to
More Blacks had voted and were supporting the Dims.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23479 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

Trump would need 15 to 20 percent of the Black Vote to win Virginia IMHO.

26% is what he would need to win VA

Correction: if the Hispanic vote remained the same (it won't) then Trump would need 30% of the black vote to carry VA.
This post was edited on 10/30/20 at 1:58 pm
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 1:56 pm to
quote:

Trump behind 270k in NC and only behind 130k currently in FL, which is is a bigger state.

Not as many votes remain in NC and Trump has a bigger deficit. Gonna need a huge election day. I think he'll get it, but it looks like FL will come easier than NC this year...



So, it's not terrible just not as good as FL?
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23479 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

So, it's not terrible just not as good as FL?

It's not good, nor is it as good as Florida.
Posted by windshieldman
Member since Nov 2012
12818 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 1:59 pm to
quote:

Trump behind 270k in NC and only behind 130k currently in FL, which is is a bigger state.


Irrelevant, there's a lot more Ds voted so far in La than Rs. NC is much like La, many Ds vote R in national elections.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35373 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 1:59 pm to
quote:

Black voting just 23 percent of their population in Florida this year.Down from last year. by
41.5% of all register black voters have voted. That’s considerably less than whites (51.9%) but higher than Hispanic (40.4%) and the remaining ethnic/racial groups (41.1%).

Now I guess 23.5% could be of all black adults, but obviously non-register voters are irrelevant at this point.
Posted by Yankeeman3033
Member since Dec 2017
168 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 2:01 pm to
Sure hope he gets 26, but I think Trump will get more Dems voting Rep than what the polls suggest. We shall see.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35373 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

Trump behind 270k in NC and only behind 130k currently in FL, which is is a bigger state.
I think Florida will go for Trump, but I don’t know where you’re getting your margins from.
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 2:04 pm to
Wasn't it like 300k in 2016?
Posted by N97883
New Dehli Forsyth GA
Member since Nov 2013
8490 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 2:08 pm to
I follow Larry Schweikart on Twitter, basically Florida looks good. AZ looks good.

He speaks in worse gibberish than Biden though. You have to read the comments from normal people.

Posted by FlyingTiger1955
Member since Jan 2019
5765 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 2:22 pm to
I live in NC and everyone around me is Biden. NC is going to be tough for Trump to win. Lots of Yankees and they don’t vote Trump.
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