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Biden will lose tens of thousands of votes each in MI, WI, and PA
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:29 pm
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:29 pm
Due to colleges in these Dem run swing states being “ghost towns”. I alluded to this in my exceptional Marquette Law School WI poll thread earlier, and it’s nice seeing the great Larry Schweikart confirm it.
Up to (or maybe exceeding) 20K fewer votes from liberal stronghold counties in WI, MI, PA and probably at least 20K fewer in MN OH and IA. The eventual numbers could actually be much, much higher.
Up to (or maybe exceeding) 20K fewer votes from liberal stronghold counties in WI, MI, PA and probably at least 20K fewer in MN OH and IA. The eventual numbers could actually be much, much higher.
This post was edited on 10/28/20 at 2:52 pm
14
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:32 pm to SirWinston
I am sure there will be a marked decline in votes for those specific counties, but I am not sure it will translate to that amount of less votes.
I would assume that most of the larger schools (Wisconsin, MSU, UM, Penn State, etc.) are state schools. Therefore most of their students are likely still in the state and will vote in their home counties instead, no?
I get the feeling that this redistribution of the student vote would impact the House races moreseo than POTUS.
I would assume that most of the larger schools (Wisconsin, MSU, UM, Penn State, etc.) are state schools. Therefore most of their students are likely still in the state and will vote in their home counties instead, no?
I get the feeling that this redistribution of the student vote would impact the House races moreseo than POTUS.
This post was edited on 10/28/20 at 2:37 pm
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:33 pm to SirWinston
When I was in school I never voted in the location of my school. I absentee voted back home. Not sure how this tracks. Wonts those kids just vote absentee?
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:37 pm to SirWinston
I feel like most college students vote in their home state not in the state they are going to college in though?
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:38 pm to SirWinston
Dims displaced young voters all over the country with the COVID bullshite. College campuses, high tourism and entertainment areas, Las Vegas, etc.
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:39 pm to SirWinston
One thing that could be taken into account is the voter enthusiasm that you see when other college kids are around other college kids. They might be less inclined to go vote living with their parents?
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:40 pm to SirWinston
Are these college kids who didn't enroll this year?
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:41 pm to SirWinston
How many college aged kids actually get their voter registration changed to their college town? I didn't know a single a person that did this while i was in college.
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:42 pm to SirWinston
Wow, great point. Never considered this. 
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:46 pm to SirWinston
I was worried the Dems would cheat in Pitt. Good point,the Dems like to be present on colleges and give away free pizza and laptops in 08
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:49 pm to SirWinston
we don't think they are just voting in their hometown instead?
what percentage of their students are OOS?
what percentage of their students are OOS?
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:50 pm to SirWinston
Why wouldn’t they just vote at home in the same state? I get there may be a few less but this seems a little overstated unfortunately.
Ahh now that makes some sense
quote:
So kids from NY or MA attending Penn State or Pitt or Carnagie Mellon would have been activated and changed registration from their safe blue states to these key swing states when they arrived on campus in August and then would have voted en masse on campus either early or on Election Day.
Ahh now that makes some sense
This post was edited on 10/28/20 at 2:53 pm
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:56 pm to SirWinston
Wouldn't the majority of students be registered to vote in the county where their parents live and not in the county where school is? I was always registered at my home address, not my school's. Further, I voted via absentee every year I was in college and grad school because where I was registered was 6 hours away. I would assume a majority of college kids will still be voting. It might affect numbers a little bit, but they're not going to lose the majority of college votes simply because of schools being shut down.
I think a smaller effect you may see is the lack of voting drives on college campuses that help get kids registered and whatnot not being present may lower the numbers slightly but not enough to swing a state. I know I registered to vote when I turned 18 years old. I had to get a new DL when I turned 18 and registered at the county clerks office at the same time I got my new DL. I turned 18 before I went to college.
I think a smaller effect you may see is the lack of voting drives on college campuses that help get kids registered and whatnot not being present may lower the numbers slightly but not enough to swing a state. I know I registered to vote when I turned 18 years old. I had to get a new DL when I turned 18 and registered at the county clerks office at the same time I got my new DL. I turned 18 before I went to college.
This post was edited on 10/28/20 at 3:00 pm
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:58 pm to SirWinston
College students are pretty much all first time voters, if they are registered at all.
The problem for Dems is that their usual campus voter registration drives and GOTV drives are nonexistent this year.
College students, in general, aren't going to take the steps on their own to register to vote. They need someone holding their hand and almost doing the work for them.
The problem for Dems is that their usual campus voter registration drives and GOTV drives are nonexistent this year.
College students, in general, aren't going to take the steps on their own to register to vote. They need someone holding their hand and almost doing the work for them.
Posted on 10/28/20 at 4:18 pm to SirWinston
I’m assuming because they have to vote in the county in which they are registered (which is the county where they go to school)?
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