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re: If TRUMP wins, like I hope he does, then most polls are complete BS!
Posted on 10/18/20 at 2:57 pm to memphis tiger
Posted on 10/18/20 at 2:57 pm to memphis tiger
quote:
Didn’t we learn this 4 years ago?
Why does anyone still believe anything from a poll?
Once is an outlier/mistake. Twice is a trend.
2
Posted on 10/18/20 at 3:09 pm to Sev09
I think that obviously they have some flaws....You have some that oversample Dems and then you have some that sample registered voters as opposed to likely voters.
But the main thing is that there is no way to account for people that hang up or the people that will not answer truthfully or at all.
But the main thing is that there is no way to account for people that hang up or the people that will not answer truthfully or at all.
Posted on 10/18/20 at 4:08 pm to Sev09
quote:
Once is an outlier/mistake. Twice is a trend.
It's more than twice. Obama, considering his opponents, was a lock. Looking back at Kerry v Bush, and Gore v Bush, there were significant polling errors in both elections. I distinctly remember Wolf Blitzer claiming a Kerry victory at 5PM citing polling and exit interviews. Ooops. The Media is still chasing unicorns.
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