re: Do people REALLY not understand why you go for two after the first TD when down 15?

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Do people REALLY not understand why you go for two after the first TD when down 15?

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You should do the same thing down 14 points as well. This is copied and pasted from a 2018 article that talks about the Winning Percentage of going for two after being down 14 points and scoring a TD (ETA, I see the 538 Article corroborates this as well):

1. Convert on the two-point attempt, successfully kick a PAT after the second touchdown and win: 46 percent

2. Convert on the two-point attempt, but miss the PAT and tie: 3 percent

3. Fail on the first two-point attempt, but succeed on the second and tie: 25 percent

4. Fail on both two-point attempts and lose: 26 percent

Again, it’s important to remember 14 points is not the destination, 15 or 17 or 21 or any number greater than 14 is. You haven’t won the game when you’ve kicked two PATs to rally for a tie. You’ve simply extended it, requiring your defense to get another stop and your offense to put together another drive.

The goal isn’t to come back but to do so in as few plays as possible, thereby limiting your exposure to a coverage bust by your cornerback, a crippling holding penalty by your right tackle or any of the infinite variables that can derail a comeback. You’re asking your team to execute 10, 15, 25 or more plays at that point rather than just one — the 2-point conversion.