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re: Do people REALLY not understand why you go for two after the first TD when down 15?

Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:23 am to
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
111139 posts
Posted on 9/23/20 at 11:23 am to
quote:

Go for 1 to get it to a one possession game
See, perfect example of assuming it's a 1 possession game and the 2pt conversion will be made.

There's just as high of a chance that an 8 point game is a 2 possession game as it is a 1 possession game.

quote:

You go for 2 the first time and
- if you make it, it's still a one possession game. Same deal
Being down 7 is not the "same deal" as being down 8.

Posted by CocomoLSU
Inside your dome.
Member since Feb 2004
150867 posts
Posted on 9/23/20 at 12:20 pm to
I missed this thread, but my assumption has always been to go for one now, then go for two as late as possible. If you go for two now, you essentially play yourself out of the game much earlier than going for it later. And this is all assuming there is limited time on the clock to where you won't have lots of possessions to see how it plays out.

Getting the ball on an onsides kick isn't likely to happen (unless you play the Saints or Falcons apparently). So you have to assume you only have one more possession (that if you score you can try for two) to work with.

I've always been a proponent of going for one now and two later. And being down 8 is definitely a one possession game...not sure what that argument is all about.
Posted by made4lsu
New Orleans, LA
Member since Apr 2009
5357 posts
Posted on 9/23/20 at 2:24 pm to
quote:

See, perfect example of assuming it's a 1 possession game and the 2pt conversion will be made.

There's just as high of a chance that an 8 point game is a 2 possession game as it is a 1 possession game



I don't think you understand what a "1 possession game" is. Being down 8 points is a one possession game because you have the possibility of scoring 8 points without having to kick off to the other team. So whether or not it is difficult to score 8 is not the point. It is the fact that you have the possibility to.

Being down 9 is literally a 2 possession game. You can't score 9 points on one possession.


The term one possession game is simply referring to the fact that you have possibility to score that amount of points in one possession. By your logic a 7 point game isn't truly one possession because you might end up with a field goal on the possession.
This post was edited on 9/23/20 at 2:33 pm
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