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re: Beta - Downgraded to TD - Now Short Break in Storms or Season Over?

Posted on 9/19/20 at 7:53 pm to
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35643 posts
Posted on 9/19/20 at 7:53 pm to
quote:

I won’t be upset if it just fizzles out


Never upset to see them die.

It looks sheared still. Everything is still pushing the clouds NE. This can lead to pulsing of the convection but also ingesting some dry air would cause the storms to collapse too. This is exactly what we want to see tonight.

Whats interesting is the latest bit of convection firing off is well NE of where I assume the center to be. Recon is in there and flying an odd route too. (Nevermind, it's normal after the newest set of data came in)
This post was edited on 9/19/20 at 7:55 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19813 posts
Posted on 9/19/20 at 9:24 pm to
quote:

It looks sheared still. Everything is still pushing the clouds NE. This can lead to pulsing of the convection but also ingesting some dry air would cause the storms to collapse too. This is exactly what we want to see tonight.


It is still getting sheared pretty good tonight and the center is likely convection free again with all the current storms north of 27.



Unfortunately, the heavy rain threat remains.

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