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Message
re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
Posted on 9/16/20 at 8:59 pm to SlidellCajun
Posted on 9/16/20 at 8:59 pm to SlidellCajun
quote:
The Safir Simpson scale does not take into consideration factors like the speed of movement or amount of rain or tornado impact.
Some cat 1’s have more tornado activity than cat 2 or 3. Some cat 3 move in and out real fast and do less damage than a 1 that sits a long time or rains a lot it sits and rains!
It’s time for a new scale!
The category is mainly for relaying general strength to the public. I wide ranging survey of the impacts are done starting as soon after a storm as it is safe to do so and continued well into the offseason. The offseason report is where the true extent of impacts is tallied. It sometimes sees upgrades in a storm's category, like Michael recently. It is also what determines if a name will be retired or not. We have everything from a Tropical Storm to a Category 5 Hurricane that have been retired.
It isn't really feasible to have a real time scale that is fully encompassing of all potential impacts. It takes time and response to determine the true impact of any storm.
3
Posted on 9/16/20 at 9:05 pm to LegendInMyMind
TIKE could be used to an extent. It at least takes size into account as well as wind speed but might not be great for a small intense storm.
Posted on 9/16/20 at 9:06 pm to LegendInMyMind
House I was renting had two massive oak trees go through the den . Luckily everyone is safe and we were able to get most of my stuff out today, but that house is totaled. Last night was the scariest night of my life.
Posted on 9/17/20 at 5:27 am to LegendInMyMind
quote:
It isn't really feasible to have a real time scale that is fully encompassing of all potential impacts. It takes time and response to determine the true impact of any storm.
It’s quite feasible.
It just takes someone with the Ability to model the other factors beside just wind and then start a rating system.
It doesn’t have to replace the safir Simpson but could be an additional measurement. Other parts of the world use different scales so that alone proves it can be done.
I like that Saf Simpson is easy to understand but here we are in 2020 and we ONLY use the same scale that has been used for decades. Saf simp measures one minute of wind. Why not 2 or 3 or 4 ... or 10? So even this simplistic scale could be altered.
It’s not impossible to create another scale. It’s quite possible.
I could throw in Just rain, longer sustained winds, and storm size and create something different.
Heck... I just might do that.
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