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re: It’s over. Biden has a 71% chance of winning

Posted on 8/12/20 at 9:50 am to
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
84304 posts
Posted on 8/12/20 at 9:50 am to
quote:

But Clinton had only a small advantage in most surveys
That's some serious revisionist history spin.
Posted by Ted2010
Member since Oct 2010
38958 posts
Posted on 8/12/20 at 9:51 am to
quote:

That's some serious revisionist history spin.


That’s what I thought when I read it. She was up well over the margin in most polls.
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
19698 posts
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:08 am to
quote:

That's some serious revisionist history spin.


Hillary ahead by 22 points and with a 98% chance of winning was within the margin of error?
Posted by RuLSU
Chicago, IL
Member since Nov 2007
8090 posts
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:20 am to
quote:

That's some serious revisionist history spin.

Is it? Take a look at the RCP averages from ‘16 [ LINK ]

The polls were closing up quickly in ‘16. By the end, Trump was well within the MOE in almost every state he won, with the sole exception of Wisconsin.

The media narrative did not match the actual polling evidence.
Posted by Fat Bastard
coach, investor, gambler
Member since Mar 2009
73014 posts
Posted on 8/12/20 at 11:02 am to
IKR? hitlery had a double digit lead in some polls up to election night!
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