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re: Sprint for the 8th Seed
Posted on 8/2/20 at 9:20 pm to GOP_Tiger
Posted on 8/2/20 at 9:20 pm to GOP_Tiger
quote:Meh.
Memphis will be an underdog in every remaining game. They likely luck into one win.
Utah and OKC will be tough. I'd say we, at best, are a bit above 50% to beat them, not sure why anyone would think MEM is just an auto win for us.
Problem with the last 3 games, TOR and MIL have nothing to play for and BOS may not either. It's entirely possible at least 2 and maybe all 3 of those games have starters playing limited minutes or not at all.
Memphis could easily go 3-3.
quote:And zero reason to have any confidence that we do go 5-1. None.
If my guesses about the other teams are correct, then we likely need to go 5-1 in our remaining games to feel comfortable in getting the #9 slot (with a real chance at #8).
quote:They play us twice, no reason to think we'll win both. LAL the final game of the season, nothing to play for. SAC likely gets 3 more wins IMO, certainly not "likely" to just win 1 or 2.
Sacramento will be favored over only the Nets. They also likely have one or two wins left in that schedule.
This post was edited on 8/2/20 at 9:24 pm
Posted on 8/2/20 at 9:29 pm to shel311
quote:
I'd say we, at best, are a bit above 50% to beat them, not sure why anyone would think MEM is just an auto win for us.
We're a lot better than them, and we beat them both times that we played them already. That's partly why 538 puts our chances at 76%.
LINK
Posted on 8/2/20 at 9:34 pm to shel311
quote:yeah... at best we go 4-2. Blazers will go 3-3 and if so they finish ahead of us on tiebreaker
And zero reason to have any confidence that we do go 5-1. None.
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