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re: Sprint for the 8th Seed

Posted on 8/2/20 at 9:20 pm to
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
111206 posts
Posted on 8/2/20 at 9:20 pm to
quote:

Memphis will be an underdog in every remaining game. They likely luck into one win.

Meh.

Utah and OKC will be tough. I'd say we, at best, are a bit above 50% to beat them, not sure why anyone would think MEM is just an auto win for us.

Problem with the last 3 games, TOR and MIL have nothing to play for and BOS may not either. It's entirely possible at least 2 and maybe all 3 of those games have starters playing limited minutes or not at all.

Memphis could easily go 3-3.

quote:

If my guesses about the other teams are correct, then we likely need to go 5-1 in our remaining games to feel comfortable in getting the #9 slot (with a real chance at #8).
And zero reason to have any confidence that we do go 5-1. None.

quote:

Sacramento will be favored over only the Nets. They also likely have one or two wins left in that schedule.

They play us twice, no reason to think we'll win both. LAL the final game of the season, nothing to play for. SAC likely gets 3 more wins IMO, certainly not "likely" to just win 1 or 2.
This post was edited on 8/2/20 at 9:24 pm
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
18018 posts
Posted on 8/2/20 at 9:29 pm to
quote:

I'd say we, at best, are a bit above 50% to beat them, not sure why anyone would think MEM is just an auto win for us.


We're a lot better than them, and we beat them both times that we played them already. That's partly why 538 puts our chances at 76%.

LINK

Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
18140 posts
Posted on 8/2/20 at 9:34 pm to
quote:

And zero reason to have any confidence that we do go 5-1. None.
yeah... at best we go 4-2. Blazers will go 3-3 and if so they finish ahead of us on tiebreaker
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