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Started By
Message
Herd Immunity - Expect it by October
Posted on 4/12/20 at 9:00 am
Posted on 4/12/20 at 9:00 am
Herd Immunity occurs when 50% of the population becomes infected.
Medical professionals don't expect this to occur in the U.S. until late September or early October.
People may return to work. People will continue to get sick and die from Covid-19.
Until herd immunity occurs, we will not be on the far downside of Covid-19.
Medical professionals don't expect this to occur in the U.S. until late September or early October.
People may return to work. People will continue to get sick and die from Covid-19.
Until herd immunity occurs, we will not be on the far downside of Covid-19.
14
Posted on 4/12/20 at 9:01 am to 3rd Try Tiger
Models disagree
Posted on 4/12/20 at 9:02 am to 3rd Try Tiger
K keep me posted.
Posted on 4/12/20 at 9:02 am to 3rd Try Tiger
That CDC article linked in the other thread states that the reproductive value for this disease is around R5.7, and for that reproductive value, herd immunity is 80%
Posted on 4/12/20 at 9:02 am to 3rd Try Tiger
quote:And?
Herd Immunity occurs when 50% of the population becomes infected. Medical professionals don't expect this to occur in the U.S. until late September or early October. People may return to work. People will continue to get sick and die from Covid-19. Until herd immunity occurs, we will not be on the far downside of Covid-19.
The point of the shutdown was to prevent overrun hospitals and allow allocation of supplies.
It was never to result in zero deaths.
Deaths secondary to this were always inevitable.
All we have done is slow down herd immunity for the sake of preventing overrun hospitals.
This post was edited on 4/12/20 at 9:05 am
Posted on 4/12/20 at 9:03 am to 3rd Try Tiger
Hope you find something worth living for in the mean time.
Perhaps you can update The Dismal Theorem.
Perhaps you can update The Dismal Theorem.
Posted on 4/12/20 at 9:05 am to Scruffy
quote:
And?
The point of the shutdown was to prevent overrun hospitals and allow allocation of supplies.
It was never to result in zero deaths.
Deaths secondary to this were always inevitable.
Agreed. And if that CDC article is even close to accurate, we’re probably all gonna get it eventually.
Posted on 4/12/20 at 9:06 am to MsState of mind
quote:
Models disagree
Models change.
I asked someone who is paid to know. I'll stick with what he told me.
Posted on 4/12/20 at 9:09 am to 3rd Try Tiger
quote:Who specifically?
I asked someone who is paid to know. I'll stick with what he told me.
Otherwise, no you didn't.
Posted on 4/12/20 at 9:12 am to 3rd Try Tiger
Too late by then. The economy will be destroyed so much that we will have no businesses to back to.
Posted on 4/12/20 at 9:17 am to 3rd Try Tiger
quote:
Herd Immunity occurs when 50% of the population becomes infected. Medical professionals don't expect this to occur in the U.S. until late September or early October. People may return to work. People will continue to get sick and die from Covid-19. Until herd immunity occurs, we will not be on the far downside of Covid-19.
"Medical professionals"
Whenever I see this or "experts" or "scientists", I start to roll my eyes.
Nothing should have been locked down to start with!
Posted on 4/12/20 at 9:18 am to 3rd Try Tiger
quote:
I asked someone who is paid to know. I'll stick with what he told me.
Paid to know what?
Posted on 4/12/20 at 9:22 am to 3rd Try Tiger
quote:
50% of the population becomes infected.
You are still buying the myth that infection some how means something more with the China Virus than it doe any other flu that runs its course through the country. As we have clearly seen, China Virus is an overhyped political weapon.
Posted on 4/12/20 at 9:23 am to 3rd Try Tiger
quote:
I asked someone who is paid to know. I'll stick with what he told me.
The old argument through authority. Well my source has a higher degree than yours so I am right.
You don't need a degree in virus mutation to see what is going on here. No amount of authority changes the facts.
Posted on 4/12/20 at 9:23 am to 3rd Try Tiger
quote:Again, who did you ask and what are their credentials?
I asked someone who is paid to know. I'll stick with what he told me.
Posted on 4/12/20 at 9:23 am to MsState of mind
quote:
Models disagree
when you look back, they are universally wrong
they never agree with what really happened
Posted on 4/12/20 at 9:24 am to 3rd Try Tiger
quote:
I asked someone who is paid to know
you got played...
Posted on 4/12/20 at 9:25 am to BobBoucher
quote:
And if that CDC article is even close to accurate, we’re probably all gonna get it eventually.
The same people saying it had a R2.x a couple months ago? The same ones saying millions of Americans were going to die? The same ones saying 60% of the world would get infected? The blind faith people put in "experts" is astounding.
Posted on 4/12/20 at 9:26 am to TrueTiger
Right now, 0.16% of the US population has tested positive for the virus. 50% is a long way to go.
Posted on 4/12/20 at 9:27 am to 3rd Try Tiger
Ok thanks doc
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