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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - April 1, 2020 Update: 6,424 Cases - 45,776 tested - 273 dead
Posted on 4/1/20 at 4:14 pm to tommy2tone1999
Posted on 4/1/20 at 4:14 pm to tommy2tone1999
For the flu and for this demographers will eventually use deaths per 100000 population.
In a typical flu season the us has 15 to 20 deaths per 100000 and Louisiana has 18 to 23.
In 1957 there were 80 and in 1918 there were 300 deaths per 100000.
If Louisiana gets to 2000 deaths, that is 44 per 100000.
In 1957, there was no social distancing or cancelation of sports.
Baton Rouge has about 40 new HIV infections per 100,000. So dying from covid will be about as likely as getting HIV in Baton Rouge.
In a typical flu season the us has 15 to 20 deaths per 100000 and Louisiana has 18 to 23.
In 1957 there were 80 and in 1918 there were 300 deaths per 100000.
If Louisiana gets to 2000 deaths, that is 44 per 100000.
In 1957, there was no social distancing or cancelation of sports.
Baton Rouge has about 40 new HIV infections per 100,000. So dying from covid will be about as likely as getting HIV in Baton Rouge.
This post was edited on 4/1/20 at 4:21 pm
1
Posted on 4/1/20 at 4:30 pm to Shaun176
right now just based on actual confirmed cases and deaths, actual mortality rate is
World - 874,000 cases 43,200 deaths = 4.9%
US - 185,900 cases 3800 deaths = 2.0%
Louisiana - 6,424 cases 273 deaths = 4.2%
lots of unknows like: how many had it and got over it that didnt report, how many in hospitals will die, how does weather play in, etc etc etc.
Just going off what is concrete, it aint good. Long LONG two weeks ahead
edit: 7.2% of US deaths are in Louisiana
World - 874,000 cases 43,200 deaths = 4.9%
US - 185,900 cases 3800 deaths = 2.0%
Louisiana - 6,424 cases 273 deaths = 4.2%
lots of unknows like: how many had it and got over it that didnt report, how many in hospitals will die, how does weather play in, etc etc etc.
Just going off what is concrete, it aint good. Long LONG two weeks ahead
edit: 7.2% of US deaths are in Louisiana
This post was edited on 4/1/20 at 4:33 pm
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