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re: Dr. Saphier breaks down 'very encouraging' COVID-19 numbers: 'We are slowing'

Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:16 am to
Posted by Colonel Flagg
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2010
22817 posts
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:16 am to
The only number that I feel is a good indicator is the number of deaths. Everything else can be skewed by our testing practices.

I don’t think there is anything to draw from the numbers. If you were scared previously then you should still be scared imo.
This post was edited on 3/26/20 at 11:17 am
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
76549 posts
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:24 am to
quote:

The only number that I feel is a good indicator is the number of deaths. Everything else can be skewed by our testing practices.

I don’t think there is anything to draw from the numbers. If you were scared previously then you should still be scared imo


Deaths can also be skewed if COVID-19 isnt the cause of death but the patient had the virus.
Posted by tigereye58
Member since Jan 2007
2669 posts
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:26 am to
Number of deaths is the worst indicator. All of those cases still open all could potentially be a death so that percentage is constantly moving and won’t settle until AFTER the pandemic is over or significantly stabilized.

% of tests positive and hospitalization rates are the best indicators right now. If those flatten then we’ll be fine. Both appear to be flattening right now. I think we’ve passed the peak but not significantly declining yet. By NEXT Friday the decline will be visible.
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