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Coronavirus going to hit its peak and start falling sooner than you think
Posted on 3/17/20 at 11:20 pm
Posted on 3/17/20 at 11:20 pm
LINK /
quote:
The rate also varies tremendously according to age, with a Chinese government analysis showing 0.2 percent deaths below age 40 but 14.8 percent above 80. A study published last month in the Journal of the American Medical Association found zero deaths worldwide among children 9 and under. Zero.
Like the flu, the coronavirus is afflicting high-risk groups: the elderly, those with *underlying health conditions like diabetes or heart disease and those with compromised immune systems. Are there exceptions? Sure. But that’s the case with almost every complex biological phenomenon of the kind.
More good news. This month, the Northern Hemisphere, which includes the countries with the most cases, starts heating up. Almost all respiratory viruses hate warm and moist weather. That’s why flu dies out in America every year by May at the latest and probably why Latin America has reported only 25 coronavirus cases. The Philippines, where I live, has about a third of the US population, but it’s so damned hot and humid here, so far we have had no confirmed cases of internal transmission.
Both the surgeon general and head of the CDC have advised we nix the masks; they don’t work. Instead, wash your hands with hot water and soap or an alcohol solution for at least 10 to 20 seconds. That way you won’t spread any germs when you use the TV remote to flip off the latest hysterical news report.
13
Posted on 3/17/20 at 11:24 pm to Presidio
Good I had a Get Together for my daughters cape hanging cermlemony yesterday and no body has got sick
Posted on 3/17/20 at 11:53 pm to Presidio
I give it roughly a week, to a week and half to hit its peak in the US. I think seasonality and/or a treatment and/or our extreme measures will knock it down at around that point. I’ll admit I’ve been wrong about all of this so far (never thought it would go this far), but I feel good about this prediction.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 12:02 am to Presidio
horse shite. they arent even allowing people to get tested in most instances
Posted on 3/18/20 at 12:02 am to Presidio
I wish I could say I believe any information that comes from Chinese sources...
But I don't.
Not to disagree with OP... I believe based on what data has been released by other nations with similar population density and weather as the US, that the trend would seem to appear like the virus may run its course sooner than later, but in no way would I suggest we abandon the race to develop a vaccine.
The virus will likely try to make a comeback in the fall and winter. I'm fond of elderly people and I don't want them to die of an illness we could possibly cure, earlier than they need to.
But I don't.
Not to disagree with OP... I believe based on what data has been released by other nations with similar population density and weather as the US, that the trend would seem to appear like the virus may run its course sooner than later, but in no way would I suggest we abandon the race to develop a vaccine.
The virus will likely try to make a comeback in the fall and winter. I'm fond of elderly people and I don't want them to die of an illness we could possibly cure, earlier than they need to.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 12:10 am to Presidio
If heat kills it why is New Orleans a hot spot for it with temps around 80 degrees? I have been hopeful and banking on “once we get to late spring and into summer, this will die down just based on weather” but seeing New Orleans being so high per capita and then checking the weather worried me a bit.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 12:34 am to Presidio
Today was the 2nd highest growth rate since the US started tracking these things. We have so many people walking around and spreading the disease without showing any signs of symptoms. We’re a long was from being out of the woods. And many of the people testing positive passed it to people that are just now starting the incubation period.
It’s going to be an interesting couple of weeks.
It’s going to be an interesting couple of weeks.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 1:10 am to Presidio
My wife thinks a month and I think 2 weeks it will probably be somewhere in between.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 2:19 am to Presidio
quote:
Like the flu, the coronavirus is afflicting high-risk groups: the elderly, those with *underlying health conditions like diabetes or heart disease and those with compromised immune systems
No shite?!?
It's almost like we crashed the fricking economy to rig an election...
Posted on 3/18/20 at 4:51 am to Presidio
There could be a million people a day dead in China from this virus and we'd never know.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 6:52 am to Presidio
Yep
Posted on 3/18/20 at 7:17 am to Presidio
good thing Mark E over reacted and shut down all NCAA sports instead of the prudent move of suspending.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 7:42 am to Presidio
Or it’s already peaked and we didn’t even know it.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 7:42 am to Presidio
My back-of-the-napkin guess is that we're about 2-3 days from peak. I'm using South Korea as a comparable...
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