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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 4/9/20 at 8:45 pm to Chromdome35
Posted on 4/9/20 at 8:45 pm to Chromdome35
The number of new cases rose 1,600 over yesterday while the growth rate continued to decline. There were 170K new tests today which is a 35K increase from yesterday and the highest number we've seen yet to date. The 170K tests yielded 34.7K of new tests a 20.4% positive rate for the day. The cumulative positive rate is now up to 19.4%.
New Deaths fell by 40 from yesterday's number, and over the last three days appear to flatten...This is great! Let's hope this continues; however, the IHME model says the peak isn't for 2 more days at 2,212 Deaths. We should know how correct the IHME model is about 5-6 days from now, as that model shows declining daily death numbers after the 12th.
The Days to Double for Deaths will go above 6 tomorrow.
Mortality is up to 3.56% the rate continues to increase and it looks like the increase is accelerating.
I'm optimistic that we are seeing the start of the peak for deaths. If we are, then an early May relaxation could be a reality.
New Deaths fell by 40 from yesterday's number, and over the last three days appear to flatten...This is great! Let's hope this continues; however, the IHME model says the peak isn't for 2 more days at 2,212 Deaths. We should know how correct the IHME model is about 5-6 days from now, as that model shows declining daily death numbers after the 12th.
The Days to Double for Deaths will go above 6 tomorrow.
Mortality is up to 3.56% the rate continues to increase and it looks like the increase is accelerating.
I'm optimistic that we are seeing the start of the peak for deaths. If we are, then an early May relaxation could be a reality.
This post was edited on 4/9/20 at 8:51 pm
3
Posted on 4/9/20 at 8:49 pm to Chromdome35
quote:
the IHME model says
Posted on 4/10/20 at 3:37 am to Chromdome35
quote:
We should know how correct the IHME model is about 5-6 days from now, as that model shows declining daily death numbers after the 12th.
Mortality is up to 3.56% the rate continues to increase and it looks like the increase is accelerating.
This number better start decreasing - or at least stop increasing - after the 12th.
The problem is that it is still increasing whether you track the data for the US, worldwide, Italy, or Germany (has practically tripled in the past ten days).
I'm really interested to see where Sweden ends up with no quarantines, open borders, and really no efforts at containment or mitigation so far. Just started tracking them, they're at 8.7%.
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