re: A history of the CFB Playoff Selections

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t’s not exactly a large sample size though

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sure it's not 30 years, but it's all we've got. I see people make predictions time and time again (primarily that bama can lose to lsu and have no problem still getting in becuase of the "eye test") without realizing that the committee has been remarkably consistent. 5 years of data beats 1 or 2 years at least.

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One day there will come a situation where it’s1 loss CChamp vs. 1 loss non CChamp, and eye test will rein supreme in all but the closest of those comparisons

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One day there will be a toughie like that, but I fully believe the committee will go with the conference champion. In fact let's use this year as an example. Wisconsin has a bad loss to illinois but wins out to win the big 10, including an elite win over ohio state. Bama has an elite loss to LSU but doesn't win their division. I fully and wholeheartedly believe Wisconsin would get the nod basd on the committee's track record of strongly valuing conference champions.